1- The Maritime Agreement between Israel and Lebanon deserves support for 2 main reasons: First, No matter how you look at it, this is an agreement between #Lebanon and #Israel, and an actual recognition of Israel by #Hezbollah. #ترسيم_الحدود_البحرية
2- The rhetoric of “Israel does not exist and this is an occupied land etc…” will become irrelevant under the new reality. Hezbollah cannot say they will never negotiate with an enemy/occupier, because they just did.
3- Second, an agreement that focuses on the econ. interests of the 2 countries will elevate stability. Hezbollah’s war rhetoric will eventually fade out. On the long run, the resistance narrative will be outdated – the group itself chose the benefits of negotiations with Israel.
4- Third, no matter how hard Hezbollah is trying to spin it as a victory, it’s not working. The internal Lebanese reactions – except the group’s and Bassil’s crowds – are happy with the deal but are critical of Hezbollah’s role in it.
5- Basically, Hezbollah cannot translate this into a political win in the presidential elections or even the government formation. It cannot use it to wash away its terrible actions and stances since 2019 (and earlier).
6- Regarding the opinion that Israel made too many concessions to Lebanon, that is not true –at least that’s not how many Lebanese political circles and media sees it. Lebanon started at a very low bar from the get go, and Hezbollah/Aoun actually made real concessions: 👇
7- Israel got all of #Karish – See this clip from #Nasrallah’s earlier comments on the negotiations. Lebanon completely dropped line 29, and although they got #Qana, we all know that Israel still has a share in its profits.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1579752305301553152
8- Israel will immediately start extracting gas and will gain most, while Lebanon will still has to see what Qana contains. What really happened is that Hezbollah gave security guarantees to Israel and the Lebanese people, but the economic benefits will depend on Qana AND Reforms
8-
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