1/ The #Saudi kidnapping of #Khashoggi reminds me of the kidnapping of #Hariri. It is meant to embarrass the other party, this time the gov of #Turkey, and provoke a diplomatic crisis. This is drug Cartel methods. It has no other goal than to assert power over the other.
2/ However, resorting to these methods to assert power in the political and international affairs sphere is always a sign of weakness and a sign of a power in crisis. #SaudiArabia
#Lebanon: The final analysis of the #LebaneseElection2018 shows (a.) the electoral triumph of Hezbollah,Amal&allies (b.) division of Sunnis, with weakness of PM Hariri, & (c) a lesser division of the Christians. (1)
The Sunni vote was distributed among PM Hariri, Miqati, Karami & few others. Hariri, being not objectionable by Hezbollah, can still get another term. But this will depend on orientation of his program’s regional relations. (2)
President Aoun will be challenged by the new gains of the Lebanese Forces, but not a challenge strong enough to undermine his current position. (3)
Wow! I am watching @almanarnews discussing the parliamentary elections and they have shown videos in some voting locations of #Hariri men distributing money to voters waiting to vote. #lebanonelections2018
However, preliminary indications are that the candidate challenging #Hariri in his home turf #Saida, Ousama Saad, will be elected.
Polls will close in 4' in #Lebanon, the access to vote has been slow, news anchors are calling on voters to enter voting locations, even if it means they will be packed to earn the right to vote after 7 p.m. local because there will be no extension. #lebanonelections2018