Anas Alhajji Profile picture
Nov 21 8 tweets 5 min read
Thread on OPEC
For those who are attacking OPEC. Hear me out:
1-9 I am a strong believer in free markets. Yet, natural resource economics dictate that natural resources need market management

2-9 Where did the idea of #OPEC come from?
Yep.. Texas Railroad Commission!
#Oil #OOTT
3-9 Just so you know in case you have no idea, Oklahoma and Texas used the armed national guards to occupy privately owned oil fields so both states can manage the oil market! This happened in the United States of America!
4-9 Has the US federal government managed the oil market? Yes, and for a long time via different means. For example, the US federal government adopted a communist-style price control that controlled all energy prices throughout the 1970s.
cato.org/commentary/rem…
5-9 Just to be clear, the US energy crisis was present two years before the embargo,, and price controls were before the embargo.
6-9 The US federal government supported and cooperated with the Seven Sisters who managed the oil market outside the US for decades
oxfordre.com/americanhistor…
7-9 In OCED, especially in the US, the oil industry is the most regulated industry. Gasoline and diesel are among the most taxed commodities in Europe. #Taxes collected on gasoline and diesel in Europe are higher than revenues collected by OPEC members in most years. #Oil #OOTT
8-9 Do not lecture me on OPEC, free markets & how bad & insensitive OPEC is. When people were suffering from low oil prices in Nigeria & Ecuador, you did not even care. When Biden used the SPR to manipulate prices, you said nothing about "free markets"
shorturl.at/AJOQ1
9-9 Here is a summary of why the oil market needs management. If OPEC+ is dissolved today, Western governments will invent one... or create new laws to do the same job. We have been there before.
anasalhajji.com/uncategorized/…

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More from @anasalhajji

Nov 16
Thread 🩸

1- To think #Russia & #oil traders have not prepared for the Dec 5 deadline is naive.. however, everyone wants to take advantage of the weeks and days before the deadline.. activities increase, then decline, making the deadline looks more effective than reality #Russia
2- Remember:
A- the December 5 deadline is for crude only … not petroleum products

B- Five European countries are exempt in one way or the other

Question: do sanctions apply to oil via rails and trucks? 😳👿
3- Russia has already built the infrastructure to do what Iran has done for years, but on a larger scale… the ban and the price cap applies only to “official” imports…
Read 4 tweets
Nov 4
On Latin America turning left:
1-5 Leftists rely on populism & the mobilization of the poor, who are the majority in society. This requires spending huge money on this group. Where does the money come from in light of the dwindling private sector and the flight of capital? #oil
2-5 Solution? Interfere in the affairs of the NOCs in two ways: The first is to employ their supporters to satisfy them regardless of their competencies. This leads to higher company costs and lower efficiencies, which leads to permanent deterioration in production.
3-5 The second is milking the company to the point that it cannot spend on exploration and production, and sometimes even maintenance. For this, the decline in production becomes an inevitable result, and the evidence from the aforementioned countries and others is numerous.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 14
سلسلة تغريدات عن أسعار الغاز الأميركي في أوروبا
1- يستخدم الكثير من المعلقين بيع الولايات المتحدة الغاز المسال بأربعة أضعاف سعره في أوروبا كحجة ضد أميركا بسبب انزعاحها من تخفيض أوبك+ للإنتاج.

الحقيقة أن استخدام هذه الحجة يضعف حجة دول الخليج ويميّع الموضوع، ويعبر عن جهل شديد.
2- اختار الأوروبيون والهنود منذ فترة، وقبل الغزو الروسي لأوكرانيا، التحول من العقود الطويلة المدى التي تربط أسعار الغاز المسال بأسعار النفط والمنتجات النفطية إلى الأسواق الفورية، وكان أحد الأسباب وفرة الغاز المسال وانخفاض أسعاره وقتها.
3- أزمة الطاقة بدأت في آسيا وأوروبا قبل الغزو الروسي لأوكرانيا، حيث زاد الطلب على الغاز المسال، فارتفعت أسعاره في الأسواق الفورية، والغاز الأميركي يباع في الأسواق الفورية. ثم غزت روسيا أوكرانيا وزاد الطلب على الغاز، خاصة الغاز المسال الأميركي، فارتفعت أسعاره بشكل كبير.
Read 9 tweets
Oct 10
Short thread on #Iran:

1- I am getting numerous questions about Iran.

a- If you study how dictators & governments collapsed, you find a common thread: Regime's lines of communication collapsed!

b- If you think global superpowers want #democracy in Iran, think again. #Iran
2- A regime collapse leads to a major decline in oil & natural gas production and exports. We have seen this before. President Biden cannot have it both ways.

3- A regime collapse might lead to the "Iraqization" of Iran wth rampant sectarian and ethnic violence. #Iran #Iraq
4- The Iranian regime is not only a brutal murderous regime, but it is also a terrorist regime that violated all principles of human rights & gave Islam a bad name.
We have seen what foreign interference has done in Iran before & minorities will be supported by other countries.
Read 7 tweets
Oct 8
Thread on California Gasoline Crisis:

1- I wish I was still teaching at the university. I would have used the recent Valero letter to the #California Energy Commission as the main reference for a two-hour lecture on the impact of public policy on the oil sector. $VLO #Oil #OOTT
2- The commission sent Valero a letter requiring answers to certain questions within ONE business day. Yep, ONE!
Velero responded with a two-page letter within one business day. I am impressed, as you can tell, with the letter. #Oil #Gasoline #Climate
3- The letter highlighted the "countless investigations" every time gasoline prices increased in the state. The investigations "have demonstrated, market drivers of supply and demand, together with government-imposed costs and specifications, determine market price" #OOTT #oil
Read 14 tweets

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