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Nov 28 7 tweets 6 min read
📢 LIVE NOW!

How could the #MidtermElections impact U.S. foreign policy?

With @CrisisGroup experts @itbriscoe, @mwhanna1, @amanda_hsiao & @OlyaOliker.

Follow this 🧵 for key quotes and takeaways.

Or tune in to our YouTube live stream 👇
“If something changes U.S. policy on the war in #Ukraine it’s not going to be pressure from Congress, it’s going to be events on the ground,” argues @OlyaOliker.
“We’ve already seen criticism from Republicans that the current administration has been ‘weak’ on #China,” says @amanda_hsiao.

Join the conversation 👇
“There’s no doubt that Ron DeSantis will continue to make a lot of noise on Latin American policy,” predicts @itbriscoe, especially as Democrats abandon efforts to cater to more conservative voices in the state of Florida.
“The policy of shoring up Taiwan’s defence has a bipartisan consensus.”

Democrats and Republicans are aligned on the need to bolster #Taiwan’s defence explains @amanda_hsiao 👇
“The surge of populism in certain countries in Latin America, whether from the left or the right, will make it difficult for the U.S. to handle relations with these countries,” warns @itbriscoe.
It’s a wrap!

Thank you for attending and make sure to follow @itbriscoe, @mwhanna1, @amanda_hsiao and @OlyaOliker for regular updates.

Check out the recording below in case you missed the session ⬇️

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More from @CrisisGroup

Dec 1
After a three-year rupture marked by vitriol, #Colombia and #Venezuela have resumed diplomatic relations.

Our newest report argues that, above all, the détente should generate significant benefits for citizens of both countries.

THREAD [1/6] 🧵👇
crisisgroup.org/latin-america-…
Rebuilding trust and redressing bilateral tensions will take time.

Coordination in health, security, trade, consular and other matters is vital to protecting public well-being, especially of #Venezuelan migrants and refugees in #Colombia. [2/6]
crisisgroup.org/latin-america-…
Negotiations with the #ELN, which restarted on 21 November, will depend to an extent on support from #Venezuela’s government, which is a guarantor and host of the talks but may be reluctant to terminate its partnership with the rebels. [3/6]
crisisgroup.org/latin-america-…
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Nov 30
🇭🇹1. The political crisis and gang violence in #Haiti are generating shortages and making basic products impossible to afford.

@ICGlatam is currently in #PortAuPrince and this is some of what it has seen of this escalating humanitarian crisis. 🧵👇
unicef.org/lac/en/press-r…
⛽️2. In mid-September, the G9 gang group blocked @TVarreux in #PortAuPrince, the country's main oil terminal. For 2 months, fuel could only be found in the informal market, where the price per gallon exceeded $30 USD (5,000 gourdes).
🚔3. On 3 November @PrimatureHT announced that @pnh_officiel had recovered @TVarreux. Although distribution to stations was restored days later, the gangs still control transportation routes and hinder the supply of fuel in the north and south of the country.
Read 8 tweets
Nov 30
#Russia’s attack on #Ukraine has put tremendous strain on the @OSCE.

Yet the organisation has unique value for European & Eurasian security.

With foreign ministers meeting in #Lodz tomorrow, here is how states can preserve the #OSCE:

#OSCEMC2022🧵[1/15]
crisisgroup.org/global/sb009-s…
Russia’s attack on Ukraine challenges the #OSCE’s viability as an organisation built to promote cooperative security arrangements between Russia and the West.
The situation is quite dire: the war has reinforced political blockages and upended #OSCE’s field operations in #Ukraine.

Some observers predict the organisation’s demise, citing its inability to promote security in Europe.
Read 15 tweets
Nov 9
A far-right coalition is set to govern #Israel after #Netanyahu and his ultra-conservative allies won last week’s elections.

What are the implications for the country’s policy and foreign relations?

Q&A w/ @MairavZ & @USMEP’s Daniel levy 👇
crisisgroup.org/middle-east-no…
The election represents a triumph of the far-right, with three ultra-conservative parties forming the winning coalition. The outcome will see former PM @Netanyahu return to power in spite of his ongoing trial for corruption.
The election results are the culmination of a steady increase in religiosity and a growing rightward shift in #Israel society over the last two decades.
Read 13 tweets
Nov 9
📢 LIVE NOW

How can leaders at #COP27 better support countries which suffer from the combined effects of #climatechange & conflict?

🗣️ @nazaninemoshiri @AndrewCiacci & @OECDdev's Giorgio Gualberti.

Tune in 👇
twitter.com/i/spaces/1lPJq…
50% of climate-affected countries are also impacted by violent conflict. Yet countries who suffer from this deadly combination receive less funding than conflict-free ones.

Vital that leaders at #COP27 rectify this imbalance.

Tune in to learn more.
crisisgroup.org/content/fair-s…
“When funding arrives it’s often in the form of loans. This is troubling as climate-affected countries who also experience conflict are under high levels of debt,” says
@AndrewCiacci
twitter.com/i/spaces/1lPJq…
Read 9 tweets
Nov 8
#Ecuador’s reputation as one of the safest Latin American countries is changing as homicides and violence rise at alarming rates.

2022 is already its deadliest year ever registered.

What’s behind this surge in violence?

New @ICGlatam commentary 👇🧵
crisisgroup.org/latin-america-…
#Ecuador had a stable security situation between 2011 and 2017 that former president Rafael Correa attributed to the adoption of a number of reforms such as the creation of a Ministry of Justice.

But criminal organisations were also invigorated over the same period.
Homicides and violence surged in 2018 due to a repeated attacks by FARC dissidents, demobilised in 2017.

During these attacks other criminal networks took advantage of the mayhem to flex their muscles across #Ecuador and increase their activity.
Read 13 tweets

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