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Nov 3 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
Over 400,000 migrants bound for the U.S. are expected to cross the Darién Gap, an inhospitable jungle controlled by one of Colombia’s most powerful cartels.
They risk theft, extortion, rape and even death.
A broad regional effort is needed to change this situation.🧵: 1/11
Severe economic and security crises in countries like Venezuela and Ecuador have driven families out.
The Darién affords possibilities that other routes do not: its borders are porous, controls are poorly enforced, and many locals offer their services as guides.
Jun 5 • 10 tweets • 4 min read
Our research on the links between climate, environment and conflict in #Somalia focuses on the impact of the devastating drought, compounded by conflict and Al-Shabaab’s harsh policies, on the displacement of millions.
🧵 for #WorldEnvironmentDay.
Deforestation in Somalia for wood burning and charcoal production leads to catastrophic consequences.
It exacerbates the effects of drought and floods and provides funding opportunities to the militant group Al-Shabaab.
In 2022, Russia’s war in Ukraine overshadowed much of global politics and other conflicts exacted a high toll, with the number of people fleeing violence reaching a new high.
But there’s also been good news!
Here are @CrisisGroup's 10 reasons to be hopeful in 2023 ⬇️
1️⃣ The deal between 🇪🇹Ethiopia's government and Tigray leaders could end one of the world’s bloodiest conflicts and offer relief to millions in northern Ethiopia. Plenty could still go wrong, but any lull in the horrific violence is good news.
🇭🇹1. The political crisis and gang violence in #Haiti are generating shortages and making basic products impossible to afford.
@ICGlatam is currently in #PortAuPrince and this is some of what it has seen of this escalating humanitarian crisis. 🧵👇 unicef.org/lac/en/press-r…
⛽️2. In mid-September, the G9 gang group blocked @TVarreux in #PortAuPrince, the country's main oil terminal. For 2 months, fuel could only be found in the informal market, where the price per gallon exceeded $30 USD (5,000 gourdes).
Or tune in to our YouTube live stream 👇
“If something changes U.S. policy on the war in #Ukraine it’s not going to be pressure from Congress, it’s going to be events on the ground,” argues @OlyaOliker.
Nov 9, 2022 • 13 tweets • 5 min read
A far-right coalition is set to govern #Israel after #Netanyahu and his ultra-conservative allies won last week’s elections.
What are the implications for the country’s policy and foreign relations?
Q&A w/ @MairavZ & @USMEP’s Daniel levy 👇 crisisgroup.org/middle-east-no…
The election represents a triumph of the far-right, with three ultra-conservative parties forming the winning coalition. The outcome will see former PM @Netanyahu return to power in spite of his ongoing trial for corruption.
Nov 9, 2022 • 9 tweets • 9 min read
📢 LIVE NOW
How can leaders at #COP27 better support countries which suffer from the combined effects of #climatechange & conflict?
Tune in 👇 twitter.com/i/spaces/1lPJq…
50% of climate-affected countries are also impacted by violent conflict. Yet countries who suffer from this deadly combination receive less funding than conflict-free ones.
Vital that leaders at #COP27 rectify this imbalance.
#Ecuador’s reputation as one of the safest Latin American countries is changing as homicides and violence rise at alarming rates.
2022 is already its deadliest year ever registered.
What’s behind this surge in violence?
New @ICGlatam commentary 👇🧵 crisisgroup.org/latin-america-…#Ecuador had a stable security situation between 2011 and 2017 that former president Rafael Correa attributed to the adoption of a number of reforms such as the creation of a Ministry of Justice.
But criminal organisations were also invigorated over the same period.
Nov 7, 2022 • 12 tweets • 8 min read
Climate change is fuelling deadly conflict in a number of ways.
@CrisisGroup we highlight how this dangerous dynamic works and what world leaders can do to mitigate it.
Follow this live #COP27 thread for daily updates on climate security.
1) Cascading risks. How climate change can undermine livelihoods and induce competition over land, water, and other resources, driving conflict.
Sep 14, 2022 • 8 tweets • 5 min read
“There is very little time left to save lives here in #Somalia” warns @nazaninemoshiri from Dollow, a town situated on the border with #Ethiopia.
In the absence of a significant scale-up of humanitarian supplies, @FEWSNET predicts an alarming acceleration of death and destitution in the coming months as more and more families exhaust their last options for survival 👇