Share this page!

Critical Threats Profile picture
Twitter logo
Dec 2 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
#Turkish military activity in #Syria will accelerate the strengthening of the #IslamicState in #Iraq and al Sham, writes @brian_cartr for @criticalthreats. criticalthreats.org/analysis/isis-… 1/4 Image
The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) announced on November that it would stop counter-ISIS operations in northeastern Syria so that it could address the Turkish threat, decreasing counterterrorism pressure on #ISIS. 2/4
ISIS is gradually increasing its attack capabilities in northeastern Syria and will use these capabilities to continue freeing imprisoned members and absorbing expertise and personnel in preparation for a larger resurgence. 3/4 Image
The group will attempt to exploit weaknesses in US-supported SDF counterinsurgency efforts to create sanctuaries. ISIS will use new sanctuaries to mount larger and more sophisticated attacks to degrade the SDF. 4/4

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Critical Threats

Critical Threats Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @criticalthreats

Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 5
Western media inaccurately reported that the #Iranian regime abolished its morality patrol on December 4. The regime has not made such a concession. Read today’s update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar. criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-… 1/5 Image
Western outlets misinterpreted remarks from Prosecutor General Mohammad Javad Montazeri on December 3. 2/5
Montazeri noted in response to a journalist’s question that security forces have reduced morality patrols in recent months—a statement that some Western media has mistakenly framed as confirmation that the regime abolished the patrols. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 5
#Ukrainian officials have indicated that Ukrainian forces will continue counteroffensive operations over the upcoming winter. Read today’s update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar. 1/4 criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… Image
#Russian sources reported that Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in the directions of #Kreminna and #Svatove. 2/4 Image
#Russian forces continued to conduct offensive operations around #Bakhmut and #Avdiivka. 3/4 Image
Read 4 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 4
The @nytimes and other Western outlets reported that #Iran has abolished its #morality_patrol, which enforces the mandatory hijab. But this is an overstatement. The regime has not made any such concession as #Iran_protests enter their twelfth straight week. (1/7)
This reporting is based on misinterpreted remarks from Iranian Prosecutor General #Montazeri on December 3. Montazeri noted that the regime has reduced morality patrols—comments mistakenly framed by Western media as confirming the abolition of the patrol. (2/7)
Iranian state media quickly clarified that Montazeri was only acknowledging the reduced morality patrols but not confirming their abolition. No other regime official has indicated the end of the patrol. (3/7)
Read 7 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 3
The #Mashhad Neighborhood Youth issued further instructions for the planned protests on December 5-7. Read today's update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar: criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-… (1/7) Image
The behavior of the #Mashhad Neighborhood Youth suggests that it may be more coordinated and organized than some other youth groups in the protest movement. (2/7) #IranProtests2022
Anti-regime outlet #IranInternational published an article suggesting that the regime is struggling to shore up the necessary equipment and manpower to continue its protest crackdown. (3/7)
Read 7 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 2
NEW | Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko continued to set informational conditions to resist Russian pressure to enter the war against Ukraine by claiming that NATO is preparing to attack Belarus. Read today’s update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar:

criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi…
Russian forces continued efforts to defend against Ukrainian counteroffensive operations and regain lost positions along the Svatove-Kreminna line on December 1.
Russian forces continued to make incremental gains around Bakhmut and to conduct offensive operations in the Avdiivka-Donetsk City area.
Read 4 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 1
NEW | Protesters in #Zahedan, Sistan and Baluchistan Province rhetorically defended Sunni cleric Abdol Hamid against the regime on December 1. Read CTP and @TheStudyofWar’s full #Iran update here:

criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-…
The Raisi administration may be conducting a purge of local officials across Iran to install more loyal cadres.
At least five protests took place in four cities across four provinces.
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Send Email!

:(