And don’t forget the political coordination with DeSantis and others on the “woke” catch-all, as if the Right’s push against #publiceducation is anything other than a political strategy
First: a win’s a win. It’s good to see #schoolvouchers stopped anywhere. The push to privatize is so relentless, so well-funded by such a narrow swath of backers, it can feel like swinging in the dark against it.
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But more concretely: the KY Court found that #schoolvouchers tax credit shell game was a budget commitment even though it’s not a direct appropriation. Reducing revenue by $10 is the same as spending $10.
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The actual researchers clearly say their results are due to changes in student composition—with #schoolvouchers by design drawing more lower income students (ie also lower ave test scores) away from districts.
So districts didn’t actually improve #education due to vouchers 2/
They just lost lower scoring kids.
“But wait!” #schoolvouchers activists may say, “that shows vouchers are admitting poorer kids!”
True enough but there’s no evidence voucher programs know how to *serve* those kids.
For example there is vastly more and stronger evidence that funding public schools has substantial and long-term effects that dwarf the tiny “competitive effects” on public schools that some #schoolvouchers studies find #schoolfinance@SchlFinance101@dsknight84
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And Fordham glaringly ignores its own previous study showing that students who actually use #schoolvouchers had test score drops ~ 4x the test gains by competition in the new study @Network4pubEd@OhioPEP@PV4PS
First and most important: the study presents a ton of zero impacts and tiny effects. Mostly this is #schoolvouchers report about statistical noise, packaged as a win. The beauty of null results is one can see what one wants.
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But in what’s become a trend for Fordham, its house-written Forward makes way more of the externally done results than it should.
Basically the argument goes
“#schoolvouchers” critics say vouchers hurt but we find no evidence of vouchers doing anything! Critics are wrong!”
3/
🤑 long-standing #privateschool parents cashing in—far the largest group
🤔 voucher-curious kids leaving soon after (most of the rest)
😵💫 some stray sorters—often susceptible to recruiting
2/
There is NO evidence that #schoolvouchers give long-term “lifelines” out of so-called failing schools. They’re a tax-giveaway to parents already sending kids private…
…and for the rest a crypto-like short-term gamble that they usually back out of soon after enrolling.