NEW | The #Iranian regime will likely keep the mandatory hijab law but look for new, and perhaps more effective, ways to enforce it rather than using the morality patrol. Read CTP and @TheStudyofWar’s full update here:
The regime might expand an Orwellian surveillance-punishment model relying on collective punishment through shutting down non-compliant businesses and remote punishments, such as seizing financial assets in state banks, as alternatives to the morality patrol.
The Iranian regime is likely in a mounting confrontation with citizens in #Izeh, Khuzestan Province.
@VICENews published a video on December 17 indicating dissent among the Iranian state security services.
Unidentified individuals detonated explosives at a #Basij base in Ghahdrijan, Esfahan Province, marking a possible inflection in protester tactics.
Protest activity may increase on December 24 to commemorate 100 consecutive days of demonstrations. #mahsaami̇ni̇#IranProtests2022
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
NEW | Moscow has been setting conditions for a new most dangerous course of action (MDCOA)--a renewed invasion of northern Ukraine possibly aimed at Kyiv--since at least October 2022. Read the full update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar:
The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian attacks in Vysoke in Sumy Oblast (Vysoke is on the international border 50 km southeast of Sumy City) and Khatne in Kharkiv Oblast.
Russian forces continued to conduct offensive operations in western Donetsk Oblast on December 23.
#Russian forces continued to conduct limited counterattacks along the #Kreminna-#Svatove line and #Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in the Kreminna area.
The ongoing #Iran_protests reached their three-month anniversary on December 16. CTP and @TheStudyofWar present here visualizations produced from the open-source data to further inform the public discourse on this important moment in Iranian history. criticalthreats.org/analysis/data-…
This movement has seen several significant spikes in protest activity around preplanned dates followed by relative lulls in protest activity.
Protest activity decreased significantly between mid-November and late December following the regime’s harsh crackdown but has not yet stopped despite regime brutality and pressure.
#Ukrainian and #Russian sources reported ongoing fighting in the outskirts of #Bakhmut and to the northeast and south of the city. The Russian Ministry of Defense claimed that Russian forces captured #Yakovlivka, #Donetsk Oblast, northeast of #Soledar. (3/4)