🧡The #nickel #exploration success rates by #ASX companies are better in 2022 than the commonly cited 1/1000.

We counted 53 exploration campaigns that focused on new exploration targets. No appraisal, resource drilling.

Of these, 70% were maiden exploration. Image
2/5
30% of the companies drilled historical discoveries/mines. Not suprisingly these yielded no significant results.

Maiden exploration: 15 found no mineralisation, 13 only occurence, but we also had 1 discovery. Yet to be confirmed as significant. Image
3/5
From the 53 projects only 5 drilled in the favourable tectonic setting and had quality geochemical/geophysical anomaly support.

These are the targets we should be drilling more! Results are still pending from #S2R and $ADD in this group. Image
4/5 Lessons learned:

1⃣ Despite capital flow into industry. We are drilling few quality targets per year.
2⃣ Applying simple set of geological principles eliminates 90% of the current targets.
3⃣ We need more quality maiden drill campaigns in the industry.
5/5 Note: data used is imperfect and was extracted from press releases. I also asked the twitter followers to list nickel exploration projects that they followed last year to cross check.

If you know of agencies/individuals keeping stats pleae let me knowπŸ™

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More from @equivestinvest

Dec 31, 2022
What can we learn from $HUR $PANR $RECO. Geologists musings and personal opinions.

Best read with a glass of new years eve drink of your choice.
#oil #exploration
πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡
2/24 CHAPTER 1: "Story of geologists greed for discovery."

I first heard about $HUR fractured basement prospect as a student at Aberdeen Univ. I went to an evening lecture where geologist, Rob Trice HUR CEO was laughed by industry for his idea of oil in the basement rocks.
3/24 He proved them wrong several years later by making Bln+ recoverable oil discovery.
Read 24 tweets
Dec 19, 2022
🧡28 significant #discovery announcements on #ASX this year so far.

Will Santa bring us more discoveries this year?

How many will turn significant over time?
2/5 If you wondering, we had no "significant discovery" announencements since the beginning of October.
3/5 How many of the announced discoveries will turn out to be really significant? We can already see from below graph that market thinks that most of the discovery announcements this year were minor discoveries.
Read 5 tweets
Dec 15, 2022
Over the past years, I have read 100s of exploration news releases (NRs).

How to read them efficiently?

Breaking down my technique πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡
Tip #1: Headline - important or not?

I will only read NR if:

β€’ New discovery confirmed
β€’ Significant assay
β€’ New resource or bid
β€’ Company on my watchlist

This simple techniques allows you to only focus on most important news and filter the noise.
Tip #2: Scan through the highlights.

β€’ Does it still look positive?
β€’ Look for thick, high grade intervals or large step outs
β€’ Red flag: up to X% Cu
β€’ Red flag: grab/chip samples i.e. discovery not confirmed vertically

Quick note: Read only the first page!
Read 9 tweets
Dec 13, 2022
1/x Commonly asked question. What is a significant #mining #discovery? 🧡

In our book it is upper Tier 2, Tier 1 discovery.

Okay, how do these tiers actually work?
2/x
Tier 1 deposits have NPV greater than 1 Bln USD. Typical discount rate used is 8% i.e. NPV8

They are rare to find! See the graph below from BHP showing frequency distribution of copper discoveries between 1985-2003.
3/x
Tier 2 deposits have NPV of 200-1000 Mln USD.

They are also considered significant by many definitions.
Read 6 tweets
Nov 23, 2022
🧡#Uranium deposits in the #Athabasca basin have some of the smallest lateral foot print from all commodities. This is due to a high grade nature.

UEX has some brilliant visuals of Shea Creek deposits that we can learn from. Image
2/x Kianna and Anne deposits of "Shea Creek discovery" are the most interesting. These are 250-500 m long and c. 40-100 m wide. The high grade part is even smaller!

Kianna has 34 mln lbs @ 1.5% U3O8
Anne 24 mln lbs @ 2% U3O8 ImageImage
3/x Nice resources for such small uranium deposit footprint. What makes these deposits a bit challenging is the depth of 700m.
Read 6 tweets
Oct 21, 2022
1/x🧡
Most of remaining global #copper "yet to find" resources are estimated to be in sedimentary copper deposits.

Major sedimentary copper deposits occur on 170km lithosphere thickness boundaryπŸŒŽπŸ‘€

Nature likes order πŸ“

Why does it happen?

How can you use it as an investor? Image
2/x
Below paper summarised for non geos πŸ‘‡

I read it so you do not have to. Image
3/x Before we dive in, you need to know what is "lithosphere" .

Part of crust and upper mantle - the harder outer shell of planet earth.

Thickness can vary from few kms to 400km depending on the place on earth. Image
Read 11 tweets

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