1/3 If you think the entity that has been moving this wall of #BTC bid liquidity around the order book for the last 5 weeks is trying to help #Bitcoin moon, you are wrong.
The strategy seems clear...
2/3 Yesterday they moved the buy wall to just above the trend line. Today they moved it just above the 21DMA
They are using technical levels to raise the floor of local support. At some point it may get filled, but based on past behavior it's likely to move again or get rugged.
3/3 They are attempting to create what looks like a bull market breakout. We already have 2 rejections so if they get it, it's a bonus.
IMO, the goal was to raise the distribution range and drop ask liquidity on to bull market maxis. #MissionAccomplished#WhalishDivergence
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1/23 It's easy to find bullish and bearish elements in the charts to fit you bias, but being a maxi can be risky. Remember:
Markets ebb and flow
Data constantly changes
Your bias only needs to match the TF you are trading
A 🧵 on the #data influencing the #BTC trend and PA. #NFA
2/23 Before we dive into the macro for #Bitcoin, let's look at what's happening this week. It's rare to have a Daily MA #GoldenCross and a Weekly MA #DeathCross happening on the same asset.
3/23 The #GoldenCross printed and the #DeathCross between the 200 & 50 WMA's is coming on the next candle. Knowing why we have conflicting signals isn't as critical as knowing how price will react, but if I had to guess, I'd say, short term manipulation.
If you are questioning how or why anybody would even consider the possibility of a green Monthly close today for #Bitcoin, congrats on not being a blind sheep follower. You should question every trade setup before you push any buttons. Let's analyze 🧵...
Depending on what exchange you're on, #Bitcoin had a July low of ~$18,763 and closed ~$23,322. A rally to that level would require a 15% move from here. Is that a high probability outcome? Absolutely not. More on that in a bit...
We can all agree that a one day, 15% run for #Bitcoin is ambitious, unlikely, and a bit crazy to consider.
We can also agree that PA has been crazy lately, and if any asset class has the ability to move like that, it's #Crypto.
1/11 We've been trading sideways most of the weekend, but today is a Daily, Weekly and Monthly candle close. Expecting some volatility.
This 🧵 will analyze #Ethereum charts and Trend Precognition signals to see how things are developing as we near the close. #NFA
2/11 Yesterday I shared an #ETHUSDT chart showing a tentative short signal from the Trend Precognition A2+ algo. At last night's D close the signal printed and new short signals appeared on both the A2+ algo (arrows) and A1 algo (dots).
3/11 Trend Precognition signals won't print until the D close, but confluence between the A1 and A2+ algos increases the probability of accuracy. The fact that the short signals also have confluence with technical resistance at the 100 DMA increases probability that #ETH is toppy
1/4 Trend Precognition made perfect calls at the start of a 10 Day, 725% rally on @Barn_Bridge coin #BOND and then signaled SHORT for a 53% dump.
Note: The strength of the signal has no relation to the size of the move, it only indicates the probability of an accurate call....
2/4 Through the cycle, the MTF Mean Reversion indi gave a bunch of #TradingSignals. MTF has an impressive hit rate, but I don't want to create the illusion that these indicators nail it 100% of the time.
3/4 Spot checking through MTF signals you can see that even some of the higher entries scalped profits quickly before the cascade continued down. This is why we choose lower TP targets in these market conditions, and it illustrates why #riskmanagement is critical to your success.
2/In bear markets everyone is looking for a relief rally to exit or add short. Those are good strategies if you can tell the difference between a fakeout and a breakout. #FOMO + failure to identify invalidation levels are why so many people get rekt. #BullTrap#ShortSqueeze
3/ Identifying targets is easy. Determining breakout or fakeout is more challenging, and while there are no sure things, there are some things we can look at to help mitigate risk of getting trapped. To get some perspective, let's start with an ultra wide macro view of #BTC