ISW Profile picture
Feb 21 6 tweets 3 min read
Ukrainian officials reported that Russian forces continue to militarize the #Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP).

Ukrainian officials reported that Russian recon groups are decreasing their activity in the Dnipro River delta near #Kherson City.
isw.pub/UkrWar022023
2/ Ukrainian state nuclear energy agency Energoatom reported on 20 FEB that Russian forces deployed more than 600 mobilized personnel and cadets to the ZNPP and are continuing to build fortifications & military facilities around the ZNPP’s dry spent nuclear fuel storage facility.
3/ Energoatom also reported that Russian forces have stationed a machine-gun position on the roof of the fifth power unit at the #ZNPP.
4/ Russian forces may be increasing efforts to militarize the ZNPP to increase pressure on the IAEA in negotiations concerning the creation of a safety zone around the ZNPP, likely hoping to prompt the IAEA to concede on formally recognizing Russia’s control of the plant.
5/ Ukrainian officials reported that Ukrainian forces are continuing to target Russian logistics in southern #Ukraine.

Russian officials formally accused Ukrainian special services of conducting a terrorist attack on the Kerch Strait Bridge in #Crimea on October 8, 2022.
6/ Russian forces continued routine fire west of Hulyaipole and in Dnipropetrovsk, Mykolaiv, and Kherson oblasts on February 19 and 20. isw.pub/UkrWar022023

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Feb 23
Eastern #Ukraine: #Donetsk

Russian forces continued to make marginal advances near #Bakhmut on February 22.

Geolocated footage posted on February 22 shows that Russian forces advanced towards the E40 highway south of Zaliznyanske and north of Bakhmut. isw.pub/UkrWar022223 Image
2/ Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted limited counterattacks against #Wagner positions 3km southwest of Ivanivske (2km southwest of #Bakhmut).
3/ Russian forces increased their tempo of operations around #Avdiivka but did not secure significant territorial gains on February 22. Russian forces continued limited ground attacks in western #Donetsk Oblast on February 22.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 23
#Putin's speech also followed his February 21 decree revoking his May 2012 edict on Russia's position on #Moldova's territorial integrity. isw.pub/UkrWar022223
2/ #Putin revoked his 2012 orders to the Russian Foreign Ministry to firmly uphold the principles of the United Nations Charter - which require the development of friendly relations between states on the basis of equality, respect for their sovereignty and territorial integrity -
3/ ...and also revoked #Russia's commitment to actively seek ways to resolve the #Transnistria issue on the basis of respect for Moldovan territorial integrity.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 23
Russian President Vladimir #Putin revived his imperialistic narrative that #Russia is fighting for Russia's "historic frontiers" today, a narrative that he had similarly voiced in his speech before the re-invasion of #Ukraine on Feb. 24, 2022.

isw.pub/UkrWar022223 ImageImageImageImage
2/ #Putin gave a four-minute speech at the rally for the Defenders of the Fatherland Day in #Moscow, stating that there is currently "a battle going on for [Russia's] historical frontiers, for [Russian] people."
3/ #Putin had similarly called territories adjacent to #Russia "[Russian] historical land" when announcing Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 22
1/5 🧵 #Putin's announcement of #Russia’s suspension of participation in the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) captured more attention than the relatively boilerplate content of the rest of his February 21 address to the #Russian Federal Assembly.
isw.pub/UkrWar022123
2/5 #Putin claimed that the collective West has used START to try to inflict a strategic defeat on #Russia and that Russia is therefore suspending its participation in START, although Putin did emphasize that suspension is not a full withdrawal.
3/5 #Putin called on the #Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) and Russian nuclear energy agency Rosatom to ensure readiness for testing nuclear weapons.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 22
Ukrainian officials reported that Russian forces continue to reinforce and build fortifications in rear areas in southern #Ukraine. isw.pub/UkrWar022123 ImageImage
2/ Ukrainian Melitopol Mayor Ivan Fedorov reported that Russian forces increased the number of #WagnerGroup forces, mobilized personnel, and battalions of Ossetian and Dagestani personnel in unspecified areas of #Zaporizhia Oblast.
3/ @TheStudyofWar has previously tracked and reported on the formation deployment of Russian volunteer battalions in Russian federal subjects (regions), including in North Ossetia and Dagestan.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 22
Eastern #Ukraine: #Donetsk Oblast 🧵

Russian forces made incremental tactical gains in and around #Bakhmut and continued ground attacks near #Avdiivka on February 21. (1/12)

isw.pub/UkrWar022123 ImageImageImageImage
2/ #Bakhmut area:

Geolocated footage taken on February 14 and posted on February 20 shows Ukrainian tanks firing at Russian infantry in the tree line along the E40 Bakhmut-Slovyansk highway, confirming that Russian forces have succeeded in cutting the E40 northwest of Bakhmut. Image
3/ However, the fact that Russian forces interdicted the E40 a week ago and still have not forced Ukrainians to withdraw from Bakhmut suggests that it is not the vital logistics artery into the city that milbloggers often claim it is.
Read 12 tweets

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