NEW -- 2023 ANNUAL THREAT ASSESSMENT OF THE U.S. INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY
Some highlights:
"#China will persist w/efforts to acquire foreign science & technology information & expertise,
making extensive use of foreign scientific collaborations & partnerships, investments..."
MORE
Intel/2
"...and acquisitions, talent recruitment, economic espionage, & cyber theft to acquire & transfer technologies & technical knowledge."
"China’s dominance in the mining & processing of several strategic materials, including rare-earth
elements, presents a major..."
MORE
Intel/3
"...vulnerability to the U.S."
"China produces 40% of the world’s active pharmaceutical ingredients; and China’s global share across all the manufacturing stages of solar panels now exceeds 80% and is set to rise to more than 95%."
MORE
Intel/4
"Moscow has cont'ed to show that it views its nuclear capabilities as necess for maintaining deterrence & achieving its goals in a potential conflict
against the U.S. & NATO & it sees its nuclear weapons arsenal as the ultimate guarantor of the Russian Federation."
MORE
Intel/5
"Moscow views U.S. elections as opportunities for malign influence as part of its larger foreign policy
strategy. #Moscow has conducted influence ops against U.S. elections as recently as elections in 2022. It will try to strengthen ties to U.S. persons..."
MORE
Intel/6
"...in the media & politics in hopes of developing vectors for future influence operations."
"As temperatures rise & more extreme #climate effects manifest, there is a growing risk of conflict over resources associated w/water, arable land, & the #Arctic ."
MORE
Intel/7
"Geopolitical tensions between countries about how to accelerate reductions in #GreenhouseGas
emissions are likely to grow, and states will compete to try to control resources and dominate the new
technologies needed for a global transition to low-carbon energy."
MORE
Intel/8 #COVID19
"During the next year, #pandemic -related higher debt burdens, constrained govt spending &
ongoing employment disruptions & insecurity are expected to heighten the risk of financial instability
& poverty, particularly in low-income countries..."
MORE
Intel/9
"All agencies assess that 2 hypotheses are plausible explanations for the #origin of #COVID19 : natural exposure to an infected animal & a laboratory-associated incident. Beijing continues to hinder the global investigation, resist sharing information, & blame..."
MORE
Intel/10
"...other countries, including the U.S."
"A lack of global field #biosafety standards & protective measures continues to raise concerns of viral spillover worldwide."
"Global shortcomings in preparedness for the #COVID19 #pandemic & concerns w/biosecurity..."
MORE
Intel/11
"...fabricated public claims about U.S. biological weapons development fueled by U.S. adversaries, as well as continued questions surrounding the origins of the #COVID19 virus, may inspire some adversaries to consider ops related to the devel of biological weapons."
MORE
Intel/12
"Rapid advances in dual-use technology, including bioinformatics, synthetic biology, nanotechnology,
and genomic editing, could enable development of novel biological weapons that complicate detection,
attribution, and treatment."
MORE
Intel/13
"Push & pull factors that drive #migrants from L. America & the Caribbean to the U.S.—such as deteriorating socioeconomic & security conditions in certain countries, misperceptions of U.S. policies & employment opportunities—probably will persist thru 2023."
MORE
Intel/14 Transnational Racially or Ethnically Motivated Violent Extremists (RMVEs)
"Transnational RMVEs continue to pose the most lethal threat to U.S. persons & interests, & a significant threat to a number of U.S. allies & partners through attacks & propaganda that..."
MORE
Intel/15
"...espouses violence. RMVEs are largely a decentralized movement of adherents to an ideology that espouses the use of violence to advance white supremacy, neo-Nazism, & other exclusionary cultural-nationalist beliefs..."
MORE
Intel/16
"...RMVEs increasingly seek to sow social divisions, support fascist-style governments, and attack government institutions."
"RMVEs capitalize on societal & political hyperpolarization to try to legitimatize their aims & mainstream their conspiracy theories..."
MORE
Intel/17
If you think you can handle it, and manage to sleep tonight, there's plenty more to worry about: dni.gov/files/ODNI/doc…

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More from @Laurie_Garrett

Mar 3
Today @DrTedros @WHO on #COVID19 origins:
"#WHO continues to call for #China to be transparent in sharing data, and to conduct the necessary investigations and share the results. To that effect, I have written to, and spoken with, high-level Chinese leaders..."
MORE ImageImage
2/"...on multiple occasions, as recently as just a few weeks ago.
Until then, all hypotheses on the origins of the virus remain on the table.
At the same time, the continued politicization of the origins research has turned what should be a purely scientific process into..."
MORE Image
3/"...a geopolitical football, which only makes the task of id'ing the origins more difficult, & that makes the world less safe.
Understanding the origins of the #COVID19 #pandemic remains a scientific imperative, to inform measures to prevent future epidemics & pandemics.."
MORE Image
Read 4 tweets
Feb 16
I’m just spit-balling here, not more than that. Work with me on this silliness.
What if this story (from PRC State media) is actually true: ??
Meaning, something that seems like #SpyBalloons are drifting over #China
MORE
2/
If I were writing a movie script, my opening fast/cut scenes would depict “#SpyBalloons ” causing panic in Canada, the USA…and then in China. Cross accusations would heighten tensions between East & West.
Cut to Scene 2 --MORE
3/
Scene: a #Russian dictator is in his war room, going over plans to celebrate the 1st anniversary of the “liberation” of #Ukraine. He asks a General, “When do we start launching the rest of the diversionary balloons? Are the ones for Straits ready?”
Cut to Scene 3 MORE
Read 10 tweets
Feb 14
Amen, Sisters.
“I see my male counterparts — they’re also abused, but not abused for their bodies, their genital parts. If they’re attacked, they’re just targeted for their political views. When a woman is attacked, she’s attacked about her body parts.”
washingtonpost.com/investigations…
“Heavily partisan pseudo-journalists & disinfo agents trigger pile-ons against particular journalists...to discredit them. Ultimately, they discredit the journalist not just w/their audience but also to their employers, who in the worst cases have pushed them out of their jobs.”
“If you don’t respond to [the smears and online attacks], the lie told a million times becomes a fact,” she said. “It’s about power. And the people who held power in the old world [legacy institutions] don’t understand the power of the new world.”
Read 8 tweets
Feb 10
In coming days the UK and much of Europe is going to suffer DEEP freeze due to a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event. Warnings are out all over Europe due to a dramatic shift in atmospheric air moving from the North Pole. MORE
news.sky.com/story/uk-weath…
2/SSWs are tied to #GlobalWarming weakening of the #PolarVortex system that clockwise circles the North Pole, holding subzero air over the #Arctic. Severe SSWs reverse the spin, shift warm ocean currents & slam the No Hemisphere w/deep freeze air.
MORE
washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/0…
3/Irish forecasters say that a SSW will slam Ireland next week.
In a SSW stratospheric winds, "reverse frm westerly to easterly & the temps in the stratosphere over polar regions rise significantly in just a few days."
Pole gets hotter; Europe colder.
MORE
irishtimes.com/ireland/2023/0…
Read 6 tweets
Feb 4
I don't think we can rule out mega-error as the source of the #ChineseSpyBalloon . Whether it was launched for "research" or "intelligence" purposes, it may never have been intended for Montana skies.
Here's my thinking (thread).
In the last week of January China --
MORE
2/
...from Beijing to Siberia, experienced the coldest weather ON RECORD, with temperatures hitting -63 F in the far north. The frigid Polar Vortex air moved east, hit ocean, warmer air, and soared in an atmospheric river north towards Alaska/Yukon.
MORE
washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/0…
3/ On Jan 31 that cold front fell over #Bozeman, and wind chill temp fell to -23F. Since, it has warmed, winds calmed, & now it is 41 F.
Any gas-filled container launched into the atmosphere from China in late January would have been battered by that frigid air flow.
MORE
Read 8 tweets

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