Ukrainian sources reported that Russian forces launched 6 Kh-47 #Kinzhal air-launched ballistic missiles from 6 MiG-31K aircraft at Kyiv, as well as 9 Kalibr cruise missiles and 10 land-based S-400 and Iskander-M missiles at other rear areas of Ukraine Russia overnight May 15-16.
2/ #Ukraine claims to have shot down all missiles, including all six Kinzhals (repeatedly touted by Russian forces as unstoppable) and nine total drones, including six Shahed-131/136s.
3/ It is unclear which systems Ukrainian forces used to shoot down the Kinzhals, but Ukrainian officials previously attributed the defeat of a #Kinzhal missile to US-provided #Patriot air defense system on May 4.
4/ Ukrainian Joint Forces Commander Lieutenant General Serhiy Nayev noted that the missile strike on #Kyiv is the eighth in the month of May alone.
5/ The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) notably claimed that one of the Kinzhals struck a #Patriot air defense system in #Kyiv.
6/ An unidentified US defense official told @CNN that the #Patriot system has likely suffered damage but has not been destroyed and that the US is still assessing the extent of the damage. isw.pub/UkrWar051623
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2/ A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces conducted a failed ground attack west of #Bakhmut near Ivanivske (6km west of Bakhmut) but advanced northwest of Bakhmut near the Bakhmut-Khromove highway, Orikhovo-Vasylivka (11km northwest), and Mynkivka (13km northwest).
3/ Another milblogger claimed that Wagner forces completed the capture of a Ukrainian fortified area in western #Bakhmut and began pressuring Ukrainian forces in an adjacent contested area.
2/ Employees of the Institute of Theoretical and Applied Mathematics of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Science published an open letter on May 15 in defense of three of their scientists— Anatoly Maslov, Alexander Shiplyuk, and Valery Zvegintsev —
3/ ...whom Russian authorities reportedly arrested in the past year under suspicion of committing “high treason.”
The letter also noted that these arrests deter the younger generation from pursuing careers in science.
2/ Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar stated that Ukrainian forces are advancing in unspecified areas on #Bakhmut’s flanks.
3/ Ukrainian Eastern Group of Forces Spokesperson Colonel Serhiy Cherevaty stated that Ukrainian forces advanced up to 500 meters in the #Bakhmut direction in the past day and continue to attack Russian flanks.
Russian forces are continuing to panic about maintaining their positions in the east (left) bank #Kherson Oblast ahead of an anticipated Ukrainian #counteroffensive.
2/ The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) published a video on May 15 claiming that Russian airborne (VDV) artillery units are shelling Ukrainian infantry units in forested areas on the eastern bank of the #Dnipro River in #Kherson Oblast.
3/ A #Kremlin-affiliated milblogger claimed that there are ”witch hunts” among Russian troops in #Kherson Oblast because many accuse each other of exposing Russian positions to Ukrainian forces by cooperating with Russian volunteers or reporting about the situation on the ground.
Russian forces have made marginal gains within #Bakhmut as of May 16.
Geolocated footage published on May 15 indicates that Russian forces likely made marginal gains in southwestern Bakhmut along the road that leads to Khromove (just west of Bakhmut). isw.pub/UkrWar051623
2/ #WagnerGroup financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin claimed on May 15 that Wagner fighters advanced 220m in #Bakhmut and that Ukrainian forces currently control 1.59 square kilometers of the city.
3/ Russian sources claimed on May 15 and 16 that #Wagner fighters have cleared several remaining contested areas in western #Bakhmut and control at least half of these areas.
Russian forces continued limited assaults along the Svatove-Kreminna line on May 16 and are reportedly deploying additional manpower and equipment from #Belarus to reinforce their positions in #Luhansk Oblast. isw.pub/UkrWar051623
2/ The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces conducted offensive operations in the vicinity of Masyutivka (about 13km northeast of Kupyansk) and Novoselivske (about 16km northwest of Svatove).
3/ Russian milbloggers continued to claim that unspecified elements of the 6th Combined Arms Army (Western Military District) captured Masyutivka and pushed Ukrainian forces across the western bank of the Oskil River on May 15.