ISW Profile picture
Jun 16 6 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Russian milbloggers continue to credit alleged superior Russian electronic warfare (EW) capabilities and defensive doctrine for Russian forces’ successful defenses against Ukrainian #counteroffensive operations in southern #Ukraine. isw.pub/UkrWar061523 Image
2/ A prominent Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces are implementing a “strategic defense” that seeks to attrit advancing Ukrainian forces in extended positional battles along a first line of defense before later counterattacking against weakened UKR assault units.
3/ ISW continues to assess that Russian forces are maintaining doctrinally sound defensive operations in this sector in which a first echelon of forces repels or slows attacking forces before a second echelon of forces counterattacks against any enemy breakthrough.
4/ Another prominent Russian milblogger claimed that Russian EW complexes prevent Ukrainian forces from using precision-guided munitions guided by GPS coordinates and heavily disrupt Ukrainian radio communication.
5/ ISW has previously assessed that Russian EW capabilities have been critical in complicating Ukrainian attacks in the Zaporizhia direction. It is unclear whether successful Russian EW tactics are a result of superior capacities or improved Russian employment of these systems.
6/ ISW has previously noted that initial Ukrainian assaults and Russian defensive operations should not be extrapolated to predict the outcome of all Ukrainian #counteroffensive operations. isw.pub/UkrWar061523

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Jun 18
NEW: #Ukrainian forces continued #counteroffensive actions on at least four sectors of the front on June 17.

Details below and in tonight's update on #Ukraine: isw.pub/UkrWar061723 ImageImageImageImage
2/ The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) and other Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted localized ground attacks west and south of #Kreminna. isw.pub/UkrWar061723 Image
3/ Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar stated that Ukrainian forces continue counteroffensive operations near #Bakhmut, and Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces attacked on the northern and southern outskirts of Bakhmut. isw.pub/UkrWar061723 Image
Read 6 tweets
Jun 17
RU sources claimed UKR sabotage and reconnaissance groups landed on the east (left) bank of #Kherson Oblast and established positions there.

ISW has seen no visual evidence of UKR forces operating on the left bank of Kherson Oblast since the destruction of the #KakhovkaDam. ImageImage
2/ Russian forces are reportedly reestablishing defensive positions on the left bank of #Kherson Oblast as flood waters continue to recede. isw.pub/UkrWar061623 Image
3/ #Ukraine’s Southern Operational Command reported that water levels in the Dnipro, Inhulets, and Southern Bug rivers continue to decrease.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 17
Southern #Ukraine:

Ukrainian forces continued limited ground attacks in western #Zaporizhia Oblast and made gains in this area on June 16. (1/4) isw.pub/UkrWar061623 Image
2/ The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces conducted successful offensive operations in the direction of the Novodanylivka-Robotyne line (6km to 15km south of Orikhiv).
3/ A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces made unspecified progress near Robotyne and captured new positions near Dorozhnyanka (35km southeast of Orikhiv).
Read 4 tweets
Jun 17
#Ukrainian forces continued #counteroffensive actions on at least three sectors of the front on June 16 and reportedly made gains. 

#Russian forces targeted #Kyiv and Kryvyi Rih with cruise missiles and kamikaze drones on June 15-16.

Latest on #Ukraine: isw.pub/UkrWar061623 ImageImageImageImage
2/ The UKR General Staff stated that UKR forces conducted successful counteroffensive operations 12km SW of #Bakhmut near Stupochky, in western #Donetsk Oblast near #Vuhledar...
3/ ...in the western #Donetsk-eastern #Zaporizhia Oblast border area along the Levadne-Staromaiorske line, and in western #Zaporizhia Oblast along the Novodanlylivka-Robotyne line.
Read 5 tweets
Jun 16
#China questioned the United States’ motives for re-joining the United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization (#UNESCO) in a likely attempt to establish the conditions for discrediting US global leadership. 1/4

NEW: isw.pub/ChinaTaiwan061… Image
China’s Foreign Ministry responded by claiming that the United States’ exit from UNESCO “negatively impacted” the organization & accusing the US of re-entering UNESCO to achieve the self-centered geopolitical aim of countering #Chinese influence in international orgs. 2/4
This is similar to China’s reaction to the United States 2021 re-entry into the Paris Climate Agreement, where #Chinese state-controlled media accused the United States of “betray[ing]” the agreement. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
Jun 16
Russian Occupation Updates:

1/ #Ukrainian officials reported that #Russian occupation authorities continue to forcibly relocate Ukrainian children from #Ukraine to #Russia and repopulate occupied areas of Ukraine with Russian civilians. isw.pub/UkrWar061523 Image
2/ Russian authorities continue preparing for the September 2023 elections in occupied regions. isw.pub/UkrWar061523 Image
3/ Russian occupation authorities expanded their patronage networks with Russian regions at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum.
isw.pub/UkrWar061523
Read 4 tweets

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