Guy Laron Profile picture
Historian @hebrewu. @TheWilsonCenter fellow 2022-23. Published with @yalebooks _The Six Day War_ More here: https://t.co/MbRvR9FIad
Mar 7 โ€ข 18 tweets โ€ข 6 min read
1. Is Trump planning to "Venezuelize" Iran? This analysis deviates from the mainstream media portrayal of a fickle, senile, or Bibi-led president. It assumes Trump is evil but rational. A thread. ๐Ÿงต Image 2. What is Kharg Island, & why does it matter? A tiny strip of land, half the size of Manhattan, nestled in the northern Persian Gulf, one hour by boat from the Iranian shore. Gazelles roam next to oil terminals through which Iran exports 90% of its crude. geographical.co.uk/news/kharg-islโ€ฆ
Jun 19, 2025 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
1. So, In a recent @ForeignAffairs article, @ProfessorPape argues that Israelโ€™s air war on Iran is futile. Airstrikes, he claims, canโ€™t stop nuclear programs or topple regimes. But history tells a more complicated story. Image 2. Letโ€™s start in 1981. Israel bombs Iraqโ€™s Osirak reactor in Operation Opera. Critics said it would only accelerate Saddamโ€™s nuclear drive. It didnโ€™t. It delayed it by years and meant that when Saddam invaded Kuwait in 1990, he had no nuclear deterrent. Image
Jun 14, 2025 โ€ข 7 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
1. ืื– ื”ื›ืชื‘ ืœื‘ื™ื˜ื—ื•ืŸ ืœืื•ืžื™ ืฉืœ ื”-@nytimes ืฉืžืชื‘ืกืก ืœื“ืขืชื™ ืขืš ื”ืžื•ื“ื™ืขื™ืŸ ื”ืœื•ื•ื™ื™ื ื™ ืฉืœ ืืจื”"ื‘ ื›ื•ืชื‘ ืืชืžื•ืœ: "the first phase of the Israeli attacks *did not hit* the most likely repository of Iranโ€™s near-bomb-grade nuclear fuel [at Isfahan] โ€” and that may have been deliberate." ืœืžื” ื‘ืขืฆื ืœื? 2. ื’ื ื›ืฉื”ืคืฆืฆื ื• ืฉื (ื‘ืื™ืกืคื”ืืŸ) ืืชืžื•ืœ ื ื–ื”ืจื ื• ืฉืœื ืœืคื’ื•ืข ื‘ืžืื’ืจ ื”ืจืืฉื™ ืฉืœ ื”ืื•ืจืื ื™ื•ื ื”ืžื•ืขืฉืจ ื”ืื™ืจืื ื™, ืืœื ื‘ืžืชืงื ื™ื ื”ืกืžื•ื›ื™ื ืืœื™ื•: Image
Jan 24, 2025 โ€ข 14 tweets โ€ข 4 min read
ืขืกืงืช ื”ื—ื˜ื•ืคื™ื, ื”ื”ืชืคื˜ืจื•ืช ืฉืœ ื‘ืŸ ื’ื‘ื™ืจ, ืงืจื™ืกืช ื”ืงื•ืืœื™ืฆื™ื”, ืชื•ื›ื ื™ืช ืžืฉืจื“ ื”ืืจื’ื™ื” ื”ื™ืฉืจืืœื™ ืœืืžืฅ ืื ืจื’ื™ื” ื’ืจืขื™ื ื™ืช, ืื•ืจ ืื“ื•ื ืœืชืงื™ืคื” ื‘ืื™ืจืืŸ, ื”ืžื’ืขื™ื ืขื ืกืขื•ื“ื™ื”. ืื™ืš ื”ื›ืœ ืงืฉื•ืจ? ื‘ืจื•ื›ื™ื ื”ื‘ืื™ื ืœืžื“ื™ื ื™ื•ืช ื”ืžื–ืจื— ื”ืชื™ื›ื•ืŸ ืฉืœ ืงื•ืืœื™ืฆื™ื™ืช ื”-AI ื•ื”ื ืคื˜ ืฉืœ ื˜ืจืืžืค ๐Ÿงต ืื™ื ื˜ืœื™ื’ื ืฆื™ื” ืžืœืื›ื•ืชื™ืช, ืฆ'ืื˜ ื’'ื™ ืคื™ ื˜ื™ ื‘ืขืžืžื™ืงื•, ื”ื™ื ื”ืžืืžืฅ ื”ืืกื˜ืจื˜ื’ื™ ืฉืœ ืกืงื˜ื•ืจ ื”ื”ื™ื™ ื˜ืง ื”ืืžืจื™ืงืื™ ืœืคืจื•ืก ื˜ื›ื ื•ืœื•ื’ื™ื” ืฉืชื—ืœื™ืฃ ืขื•ื‘ื“ื™ื - ื‘ืขื™ืงืจ ื‘ืžืขืžื“ ื”ืžื ื”ืœื™ ืžืงืฆื•ืขื™ (ืžืž"ืž) - ื•ืœื”ื—ืœื™ืฉ ืืช ื”ื›ื•ื— ื”ื›ืœื›ืœื™ ื•ื”ืคื•ืœื™ื˜ื™ ืฉืœื”ื. ื—ื•ื•ืช ื”ืฉืจืชื™ื ืฉืžืฉืจืชื•ืช ืืช ื”-AI ืฆื•ืจื›ื•ืช ื›ืžื•ื™ื•ืช ืื“ื™ืจื•ืช ืฉืœ ืื ืจื’ื™ื”. ืขื•ื‘ื“ื” ื–ื• ื”ื•ืคื›ืช ืืช
Aug 11, 2024 โ€ข 5 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
ืžืฆื“ ืื—ื“, ื”ื˜ืขื ื” ืฉืœื™ ื•ืฉืœ ืื—ืจื™ื - ืฉืžื—ืื” ืจืง ืฉืœ ื”ืžืž"ืž (ื”ืžืขืžื“ ื”ืžื ื”ืœื™-ืžืงืฆื•ืขื™), ื•ืจืง ืœืžืขืŸ ื”ืžืž"ืž ืœื ืชืฆืœื™ื— ืœื”ืคื™ืœ ืืช ื”ืžืžืฉืœื” - ื ืคืœื” ืขืœ ืื•ื–ื ื™ื™ื ืขืจืœื•ืช. ืืžืจื ื•: ืชืฆื™ืขื• ืกื•ืฆื™ืืœื™ื–ื. ืชื‘ื™ื›ื• ืืช ื”ืœื™ื›ื•ื“ ื•ืชื–ื›ื™ืจื• ืœื”ื ืฉื”ืชื—ื™ื™ื‘ื• ืœื—ื•ืงืง ื—ื•ืง ื—ื™ื ื•ืš ื—ื™ื ื 0-3. ื”ื ื”ื’ืช ื”ืžื—ืื” ื”ืชืขืœืžื”. ืžืฆื“ ืฉื ื™,
haaretz.co.il/news/magazine/โ€ฆ ืืฉืจ ื™ื’ื•ืจื ื• ื‘ื. ื”ื‘ื•ืจื’ื ื•ืช ื”ืžืฉื›ื™ืœื” ื”ื™ื”ื•ื“ื™ืช - ื”ื‘ื™ื™ืก ืฉืœ ื”ืžื—ืื” - ืœื ื”ืฆืœื™ื—ื” ืœื”ืคื™ืœ ืืช ื”ืžืžืฉืœื” ื‘ื›ื•ื—ื” ืฉืœื”. ื’ื ืืช ื”ื‘ื•ืจื’ื ื•ืช ื”ืขืจื‘ื™ืช ื”ื™ื ืœื ืจืฆืชื” ืœืฆืจืฃ ืœืžื—ืื”. ื›ืฉื”ื–ืžื™ื ื• ืžื ื”ื™ื’ื™ ืฆื™ื‘ื•ืจ ืขืจื‘ื™ื™ื ืฆื ื–ืจื• ืœื”ื ืืช ื”ื ืื•ืžื™ื ื›ื“ื™ ืฉืœื ื™ื“ื‘ืจื• ืขืœ ื”ืฉื˜ื—ื™ื. ืืช ื”ืฆื™ื‘ื•ืจ ื”ืงื˜ืŸ ืฉืœ ื”ื‘ื•ืจื’ื ื•ืช ื”ื—ืจื“ื™ืช ื’ื ื“ื—ืคื• ื”ื—ื•ืฆื” ืขื ื”ื“ืจื™ืฉื” ื”ื‘ืœืชื™
Jun 12, 2024 โ€ข 12 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
ื”ืžืืžืจ ืžื‘ื•ืกืก ืขืœ ืชืขืžื•ืœื” ืฉืœ ื”ื—ื–ื‘ืืœืœื” ืื‘ืœ ื”ื•ื ื ื•ืชืŸ ืชืžื•ื ื” ื”ืจื‘ื” ื™ื•ืชืจ ื˜ื•ื‘ื” ืฉืœ ืžื” ืฉืžืชืจื—ืฉ ื‘ืฆืคื•ืŸ; ื›ื–ื• ืฉื”ืชืงืฉื•ืจืช ื”ื™ืฉืจืืœื™ืช - ืฉืžืฆื™ื’ื” ืžืŸ ืจืฆืฃ ืžื‘ื•ืœื’ืŸ ืฉืœ "ืชืงืจื™ื•ืช" - ืœื ื ื•ืชื ืช. ื”ื˜ืขื ื” ื”ื™ื ืฉืฆื”"ืœ - ืœืžืจื•ืช ื”ืฉื’ื™ื ื˜ืงื˜ื™ื™ื ืžื–ื”ื™ืจื™ื - ื ื—ืœ ืชื‘ื•ืกื” ืืกื˜ืจื˜ื’ื™ืช. ื—ื–ื‘ืืœืœื” ื”ื•ืฆื™ื ืžื”ืœืš ืžืกื•ื“ืจ...
thecradle.co/articles-id/25โ€ฆ ืœืขื•ื•ืจ ืืช ืขื™ื ื™ ืฆื”"ืœ ืื• ื™ื•ืชืจ ื ื›ื•ืŸ ืืช ืžืขืจื›ืช ื”ื”ื’ื ืช ื”ืื•ื•ื™ืจื™ืช ืฉืœื•. ื”ืžื”ืœืš ื”ื—ืฉื•ื‘ ื‘ื™ื•ืชืจ ื”ื™ื” ืœืคื’ื•ืข ื‘ื‘ืกื™ืก ื‘ื”ืจ ืžื™ืจื•ืŸ ืฉืžื ื˜ืจ, ืžืคืงื—, ื•ืžื ื—ื” ืืช ื›ืœ ื”ืคืขื™ืœื•ืช ื”ืื•ื•ื™ืจื™ืช ืžื•ืœ ืœื‘ื ื•ืŸ ื•ืกื•ืจื™ื”. ืžื”ืœืš ื—ืฉื•ื‘ ื ื•ืกืฃ ื”ื™ื” ื”ื•ืจื“ืช ื‘ืœื•ืŸ ื”ืชืฆืคื™ืช ืฉื’ื™ื‘ื” ืืช ืžืข' ื”ื”ืชืจืขื” ื‘ื”ืจ ืžื™ืจื•ืŸ. ื”ืžืืžืจ ืžื“ื’ื™ืฉ ื›ื™ ืžืขืจื›ืช ื”ื”ื’ื ื” ื”ืื•ื•ื™ืจื™ืช ืฉืœ ื™ืฉืจืืœ...
Apr 28, 2024 โ€ข 42 tweets โ€ข 9 min read
1. ื”ื”ืคื’ื ื” ืืชืžื•ืœ ื‘ื“ืจืš ื‘ื’ื™ืŸ ื”ื™ืชื” ืฉื•ื‘ ื™ื—ืกื™ืช ืงื˜ื ื”. ื”ืžื—ืื” ื‘ืžื‘ื•ื™ ืกืชื•ื. ื›ื“ื™ ืœืฆืืช ืžืฉื ืฆืจื™ืš ืœื”ืกื‘ื™ืจ ืžื™ ืื ื•, ื”ืžื•ื—ื™ื (ื”ื’ื“ืจื” ืžืขืžื“ื™ืช), ืžืื™ืคื” ื‘ืื ื• (ื”ื™ืกื˜ื•ืจื™ื”), ืžื” ืžืื™ื™ื ืขืœื™ื™ื ื• (ื”ืžื”ืคื›ื” ื”ื ื™ืื•ืœื™ื‘ืจืœื™ืช ื”-2), ืœืืŸ ืื ื• ืฆืจื™ื›ื™ื ืœืœื›ืช (ื‘ืจื™ืช ืขื ืžื™ืขื•ื˜ื™ื ื•ืขื•ื‘ื“ื™ื), ื•ืžื” ื˜ื‘ืขื• ืฉืœ ื”ื™ืจื™ื‘ (ื”ื”ื•ืŸ). "ื”ืžื ื™ืคืกื˜ ื”ื‘ื•ืจื’ื ื™" ๐Ÿงต 2. ืื ื—ื ื• ื”ืžืž"ืž - ื”ืžืขืžื“ ืžื ื”ืœืชื™ ืžืงืฆื•ืขื™. ื™ืฉ ื›ืžื•ื ื• ื‘ื›ืœ ื”ืขื•ืœื. ืื ื—ื ื• ื”ืฉื“ืจื” ืฉืœ ื”ื—ื‘ืจื” ื”ืžื•ื“ืจื ื™ืช. ืื ื—ื ื• ืžืชืคืจื ืกื™ื ืžื”ืฉื›ืจืช ื”ื™ื“ืข ืฉืœื ื• ืœืžืขืกื™ืงื™ื ื•ืืช ื”ืื™ืฉื•ืจ ืขืœ ืจืžืช ื”ื™ื“ืข ื•ืื™ื›ื•ืชื• ืื ื• ืจื•ื›ืฉื™ื ื‘ืื•ื ื™ื‘ืจืกื™ื˜ื”. ืื™ืŸ ื‘ื™ืจื•ืงืจื˜ื™ื” ืžืฉืคื˜ื™ืช, ื›ืœื›ืœื™ืช, ื•ื˜ื›ื ื•ืœื•ื’ื™ื” ื‘ืœืขื“ื™ื ื•. ืœื›ืŸ ื”ื”ืฉืคืขื” ืฉืœื ื• ื‘ื—ื‘ืจื” ื’ื“ื•ืœื” ืžื”ืžืฉืงืœ...
Dec 16, 2023 โ€ข 9 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
1. "Israel mourns as the accidental killings of hostages reverberate" reads the headline @nytimes But the real headline is that yesterday the penny dropped for many Israelis: they finally realised that they've been lied to by the government. The leaders of the unity cabinet... 2. promised a bewildered and terrified public that a land operation #Gaza can both topple #Hamas AND bring about the release of the hostages and there was no contradiction between these 2 goals. Those that tried to say that a noisy ground operation in Gaza would put the lives..
Dec 6, 2023 โ€ข 33 tweets โ€ข 9 min read
1. "Israel Knew Hamasโ€™s Attack Plan a Year Ago" wrote @ronenbergman @nytimes
But if Israel knew the plan, why was it caught unawares?
We're seeing these leaks bc of Israel's Game of Thrones - Bibi's throne - and winter (of discontent) is coming. A ๐Ÿงต
nytimes.com/2023/11/30/worโ€ฆ 2. I want to start by recreating the chain of events that led to the "Walls of Jericho" story before supplying running commentary.
Obviously the shock of 7 Oct. raised a question: how come Israel's vaunted intelligence services could have missed a Hamas operation on this scale?
Nov 25, 2023 โ€ข 9 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
The best explanation I read in a long time on why the whole "decolonization" discourse isn't just counter-productive but also plays into the hands of far-right nationalists on both sides. Written by an Israeli human rights activist, it's so good. I'll try to translate key parts: "[Decolonization discourse] has really become very trendy in the academy and he fits in well within the Palestinian right, some of whom believe that soon all the Jews will leave here and [they] will get the entirety of Palestine...
Nov 24, 2023 โ€ข 20 tweets โ€ข 5 min read
1. ืžื” ืฉืงืจื” ืœื ื• ื‘-2023 ื”ื•ื ื‘ื“ื™ื•ืง ืžื” ืฉืงืจื” ืœื ื• ื‘-1973. "ื”ืงื•ื ืกืคืฆื™ื”" ื”ื™ื ืœื ื ืขื™ืœื” ืžื ื˜ืœื™ืช ืฉืžื•ื ืขืช ืžืžืขืจื™ื›ื™ ื”ืžื•ื“ื™ืขื™ืŸ ืœืจืื•ืช ื ื›ื•ื—ื”. "ื”ืงื•ื ืกืคืฆื™ื”" ื”ื™ื ื‘ื™ื˜ื•ื™ ืœืคื—ื“ื ื•ืช ื‘ื™ืจื•ืงืจื˜ื™ืช ื•ืฉืืคืชื ื•ืช ืฉืœ ืคืงื™ื“ื™ื. ื”ื ืžืชื™ื™ืฉืจื™ื ืœืคื™ ื”ืžืžืฉืœื” ืฉื‘ืฉืœื˜ื•ืŸ ื•ื”ื—ื–ื•ืŸ ืฉืœื” ื›ื“ื™ ืœื ืœื”ืขื ืฉ ื•ื›ื“ื™ ืœื”ืชืงื“ื. "ื”ืงื•ื ืกืคืฆื™ื”" ืฉืœ ื”ืฉื ื™ื... 2. 1967-1973 ื”ื™ืชื” ืฉื”ื’ื‘ื•ืœื•ืช ืฉื ื•ืฆืจื• ืื—ืจื™ ืฉืฉืช ื”ื™ืžื™ื ื”ื "ื‘ืจื™ ื”ื’ื ื”" ื™ื•ืชืจ ืžืืœื• ืฉืงื“ืžื• ืœื”ื. ืœืคื™ ืชืคื™ืกื” ื–ื•, ื™ืฉืจืืœ ืฆืจื™ื›ื” ืœื”ื—ื–ื™ืง ื‘ื”ื ื›ื“ื™ ืฉืชื•ื›ืœ ืœื”ื›ืชื™ื‘ ืืช ืงื•ื•ื™ ื”ื”ืกื“ืจ ื”ืžื“ื™ื ื™ ืขื ืžื“ื™ื ื•ืช ืขืจื‘. ืืฃ ื’ื ืจืœ ืœื ื”ื™ื” ืžื•ื›ืŸ ืœื”ื’ื™ื“ ืœืžืžืฉืœื” ืื• ืœืืžืจ ืœืฆื™ื‘ื•ืจ ื›ื™ ืœืฆื”"ืœ ืื™ืŸ ืžืกืคื™ืง ื›ื•ื—ื•ืช ืกื“ื™ืจื™ื ื›ื“ื™ ืœืขืžื•ื“ ื‘ืžืชืงืคืช ืคืชืข...
Nov 22, 2023 โ€ข 24 tweets โ€ข 8 min read
1. Did Iran support Hamas because it knew the org would disrupt the Israeli-Saudi rapprochement? Does Russia support Hamas because it knows the war has the potential to make Europe dependent on Russian gas again? A ๐Ÿงตabout the Gaza War, Energy, and disruption of energy trade. 2. Before I delve into the matter, I want to bring up an analogy: In 1973, the Soviet Union, as a major energy producer benefitted greatly from the Yom Kippur War. The war pushed gas prices up and increased the export revenue of the Soviet Union. Image
Nov 14, 2023 โ€ข 28 tweets โ€ข 9 min read
1. By reading closely this @washingtonpost in-depth piece on #Hamas preparation for its attack on #Israel we can understand in what ways Israel's debacle was self-inflicted, how it was exploited by Hamas, & why the operation was a a political failure
A ๐Ÿงต

washingtonpost.com/national-securโ€ฆ 2. We learn 3 key facts out of it:
A. Hamas had been planning it for over a year.
B. The planner of the operation, Yihia Sinwar, was hoping that the operation's success would create a pile-up effect: ie that other Iran-affiliated militias, like Hizbullah, would join the fray. Image
Nov 10, 2023 โ€ข 22 tweets โ€ข 8 min read
1. The Gaza War โ€“ The Highest Stage of The Sectocracy
The basic argument of this ๐Ÿงต is that the Israeli response to "the flood of al-Aqsa" continues the pattern we've seen during the struggle against the judicial coup, ongoing since January. Image 2. Israeli society is torn by cross-cutting cleavages which create a cold civil war that dictates the response to any crisis. Each side to the conflict is reading any situation through the lens of "Is it good for me or bad for me?" Image
Nov 2, 2023 โ€ข 13 tweets โ€ข 4 min read
So why did Hamas attack on 7 Oct.? Why at that point? Why not sooner or later? What was it trying to achieve? A ๐Ÿงต
Answering this question helps explain how deluded the cheerleaders of this org, who believe it is a liberation movement. It also dispels the theory that there... was some grand Iranian or Russian design behind the timing of the operation, for instance disrupting the Israeli-Saudi normalization process.
To understand Hamas you need to think about it as a crime outfit. It keeps the majority of Gaza's pop in extreme poverty while...
Oct 31, 2023 โ€ข 12 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
1. ืื—ืช ื”ืฉืืœื•ืช ืฉืขื•ืœื•ืช ืฉื•ื‘ ื•ืฉื•ื‘: ืœืžื” ืขื›ืฉื™ื•? ืœื™ืฉืจืืœ ื”ื™ืชื” ืขืกืงื” ืขื ื”ื—ืžืืก, ื›ืš ื—ืฉื‘ื” ื”ื”ื ื”ื’ื”. ืœืžื” ืœื”ืคืจ ืื•ืชื” ื‘ื ืงื•ื“ืช ื”ื–ืžืŸ ื”ื–ื•? ืžื›ืืŸ ื›ืœ ืžื™ื ื™ ืชืื•ืจื™ื•ืช ืงื•ื ืกืคื™ืจืฆื™ื” ืฉื–ื•ื›ื•ืช ืœืชืคื•ืฆื” ืจื‘ื” ืขืœ ืžื–ื™ืžื” ืื™ืจืื ื™ืช-ืจื•ืกื™ืช ืœื—ืกืœ ืืช ืชื”ืœื™ืš ื”ื ื•ืจืžืœื™ื–ืฆื™ื” ื‘ื™ืŸ ื™ืฉืจืืœ ืœืกืขื•ื“ื™ื” ืฉืขืฉื•ื™ ืœื”ืงื™ื ืงืฉืจ ื™ื‘ืฉืชื™ ื‘ื™ืŸ ืื™ืจื•ืคื” ืœืžืฉืื‘ื™ ื”ื ืคื˜ 2. ื‘ืžืคืจืฅ ื”ืคืจืกื™. ืขื•ื“ ืชืื•ืจื™ื” ืฉืฉืžืขืชื™ ื”ื™ื ืขืœ ื›ืš ืฉื—ืžืืก ื”ื™ื” ืžื•ื“ืื’ ืฉื”ืžื’ืขื™ื ืขื ืกืขื•ื“ื™ื” ื™ื•ืจื™ื“ื• ืœื—ืœื•ื˜ื™ืŸ ืืช ื”ื‘ืขื™ื” ื”ืคืœืกื˜ื™ื ื™ืช ืžื”ืฉื•ืœื—ืŸ ื•ื”ืคืขื•ืœื” ื ืขืฉืชื” ื‘ืฉืžื• ืฉืœ ื”ืขื ื”ืคืœืกื˜ื™ื ื™.
ืื ื™ ืจื•ืฆื” ืœื”ืฆื™ืข ื”ืฉืขืจื” ืื—ืจืช: ื—ืžืืก ื”ื•ื ืื™ืจื’ื•ืŸ ืคืฉื™ืขื” ืฆื™ื ื™ ืฉื ืœื—ื ืงื•ื“ื ื›ืœ ืขื‘ื•ืจ ื”ืื™ื ื˜ืจืกื™ื ืฉืœื•. ื”ื•ื ืœื ื‘ื•ื‘ื” ืื™ืจืื ื™ืช ืจื•ื‘ ื”ืกื™ืžื ื™ื...
Mar 31, 2023 โ€ข 21 tweets โ€ข 5 min read
1. ืœืื•ืจืš ื›ืœ ื”ืžืฉื‘ืจ ื”ืชื™ื™ื—ืกืชื™ ืœืฉืืœื” ื”ืื ื ืชื ื™ื”ื• "ืฉื•ืœื˜ ื‘ืื™ืจื•ืข" ืื• ืœื, ื›ืฉืืœื” ืจื›ื™ืœื•ืชื™ืช. ืžื” ื–ื” ืžืฉื ื”? ื”ืœื ื”ืชื•ื›ื ื™ืช ืื•ืชื” ืชื•ื›ื ื™ืช? ืขื›ืฉื™ื• ื ืคืœ ื”ืืกื™ืžื•ืŸ ืฉื–ื” ืฉืืœืช ืžืคืชื— ื•ืฉื”ื•ื ืœื ืฉื•ืœื˜ ื•ืฉื›ืœ ื”ืจืคื•ืจืžื” ื”ื–ืืช ื”ื™ื ืชืžืจื•ืŸ ืคื ื™ื-ืœื™ื›ื•ื“ื™ ื•ืคื ื™ื-ื™ืžื ื™ ื›ื“ื™ ืœื”ืฉืชืœื˜ ืขืœ ื ืชื—ื™ื ืฉืœ ื›ื•ื— ื‘ื™ื•ื ืฉืื—ืจื™ ืชื•ื ืขื™ื“ืŸ ื ืชื ื™ื”ื•. 2. ื”ื”ื‘ื ื” ืฉื ืชื ื™ื”ื• ื‘ื“ืจืš ื”ื—ื•ืฆื” ืคื•ืชืจืช ืืช ื”ืฉืืœื” ืฉืœ ืกื“ ื”ื–ืžื ื™ื. ืœืžื” ืœืขื–ืื–ืœ ื“ื—ื•ืฃ ืœื”ืฉืชืœื˜ ืขืœ ื”ื•ื•ืขื“ื” ืœื‘ื—ื™ืจืช ืฉื•ืคื˜ื™ื? ืืช ื”ืžื”ืœื›ื™ื ืœืขื™ืฆื•ื‘ ืจื•ื‘ ืฉืžืจื ื™ ื‘ื‘ื™ืช ื”ืžืฉืคื˜ ื”ืขืœื™ื•ืŸ ื”ื™ืžื™ืŸ ื›ื‘ืจ ื‘ื™ืฆืข ืชื—ืช ืื™ืœืช ืฉืงื“ ื•ื”ื‘ืจื™ืช ืฉืœื” ืขื ืืคื™ ื ื•ื•ื”. ืื ืœื•ื™ืŸ ื”ื™ื” ืจื•ืฆื” ื”ื•ื ื™ื›ื•ืœ ืœืžื ื•ืช ื‘ืงืœื•ืช 2 ืฉื•ืคื˜ื™ื ืฉืžืจื ื™ื
zman.co.il/383651/
Jan 28, 2023 โ€ข 12 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
1. ืื ื™ ื–ื•ื›ืจ ื›ืื™ืœื• ื–ื” ื”ื™ื” ืืชืžื•ืœ ืืช ืคืจื•ืค' ืžืฉื” ืฆื•ืงืจืžืŸ ืขื•ืžื“ ืžื•ืœื ื• ื•ืื•ืžืจ "ืฉืื™ืŸ ื“ื‘ืจ ื›ื–ื” ื”ื—ื“ืจ ืฉื‘ื• ืžืชื›ื ืกื™ื ื‘ืขืœื™ ื”ื”ื•ืŸ ื›ืฉื”ื ืฉื•ืชื™ื ื•ื•ื™ืกืงื™ ื•ืžืขืฉื ื™ื ืกื™ื’ืจื™ื ื•ืžืงื‘ืœื™ื ื”ื—ืœื˜ื•ืช. ื–ื” ืื’ื“ื”." ื˜ื•ื‘, ืื– ืืชืžื•ืœ ื–ื” ื‘ื“ื™ื•ืง ืžื” ืฉืงืจื” ื•ื”ืžืขืจื›ืช ื‘ื›ื–ื” ืกื—ืจื•ืจ ืฉืœื ืจืง ืฉื™ื“ืขื ื• ืฉื–ื” ืงืจื”...
ynet.co.il/news/article/rโ€ฆ 2. ... ืืœื ื’ื ืฉืžืขื ื• ืžื” ื ืืžืจ ืฉื.
ื•ื‘ื–ืžืŸ ืฉื›ืœ ื”ืขื™ื ื™ื™ื ื ืฉื•ืื•ืช ืขืœ ืืจื ื•ืŸ ื‘ืจ-ื“ื•ื“ ื”ืžืกื›ืŸ ืขื ื“ืจื™ืฉื•ืช ืฉื™ืฉืชืง ืืช ื”ืžื“ื™ื ื” ื•ื™ืฆื™ืœ ืื•ืชื ื• (ื–ื” ืœื ื”ื•ืœืš ืœืงืจื•ืช ืžืคื ื™ ืฉื”ื”ืกืชื“ืจื•ืช ื—ืœืงื™ืช ื‘ื™ื“ื™ื™ื ืฉืœ ื”ืœื™ื›ื•ื“), ื ืชื ื™ื”ื• ื–ื™ื”ื” ืžื™ ื‘ืืžืช ื™ื›ื•ืœ ืœื”ืฉื‘ื™ืช ืืช ื”ืžืฉืง. ืžื™? ื”ื”ื•ืŸ!
themarker.com/news/politics/โ€ฆ
Jan 27, 2023 โ€ข 6 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
"ื”ืจืคื•ืจืžื” ื”ืžืฉื˜ืจื™ืช" ืžืฆื˜ื™ื™ืจืช ื›ื’ืจืกื ื™ืฉืจืืœื™ืช ืฉืœ ื”ื‘ืจืงื–ื™ื˜. ืฉื™ื ื•ื™ ื›ื•ืœืœ ื‘ื™ื—ืกื™ื ืฉืœ ื”ืžื“ื™ื ื” ืขื ื”ื”ื•ืŸ ื”ืคื ื™ืžื™ ื•ื”ื‘ื™ื "ืœ ื•ื‘ืžื‘ื ื” ืฉืœ ื”ื›ืœื›ืœื” ื”ื™ืฉืจืืœื™ืช.
Mar 15, 2022 โ€ข 24 tweets โ€ข 9 min read
1. Most interesting presentation by a prominent Russian academic of the economic and geopolitical rationale behind a #ChinaRussia strategic alliance. This is a key piece of the puzzle of "how we got #Putin wrong when we thought he wouldn't invade."
globalaffairs.ru/articles/rossiโ€ฆ 2. All evidence coming from Russian independent journalists and American intelligence sources point to the same story: In Putin's mind #UkraineInvasion remained a possibility rather than a certainty until his summit with #XiJinping
Xi was key!
theintercept.com/2022/03/11/rusโ€ฆ
Feb 26, 2022 โ€ข 5 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
1.Add to that Saudi-Arabia's decision to stand by the 2020 oil pact with #Russia (ie not pump more #Oil into the market)
#Putin seems to have had a clear picture when he made the decision that in the short-term he has #OPEC backing and that the West was still dependent on his gas 2. The pact was achieved after the price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia in early 2020. The Saudis were willing to reach a compromise with Russia after #Trump intervened and threatened to halt military aid to #Riyadh if it doesn't come to terms with Moscow.