Thread by @kenwinkler

Taking the situation on the ground in #bakmut as a case study for #fogofwar the following conclusions can be drawn, after 30h of Twitter observation:



#bakmuth
#Thread 🧵

1/6

- real #facts accounts and accounts inside #ukraine going silent until more information become available in difficult situation: see #voicesfromukraine and @AndrewPerpetua

#FFF

2/6

- 99% account active last 24h retweet very limited information, regardless of it's quality for propaganda purpose. French and Italian accounts stand out in terms of troll factor along with omnipresent German peace trolls.3/6

- 180% difference about significance of #artemovsk battle (#Russie refer to "temporary occupied bakmuth" by its old Soviet name): Their unstoppable route to #Kyiv over frozen land. Ukraine refer to #WagnerGroup meat grinder and #UkraineFrontLines keep operativ silence 4/6

Both sides suffer huge losses, with hundeds of KIA's. Battle outcome will reveal if #Ukraine claim about distruction of #WagnerGroup elite forces (they clearly fight there) is real, or suggested cutoff in supply routes create another Mariupol, as claimed by the Russian side. 5/6

Ukraine Fortress strategy against concentrated artillery supremacy repeats itself. #UkraineWillWin expectations are once again, that strategic preparation on other fronts will justify heroic sacrifices in the #treches of Bakmuth.

#crimea
#Kinburn

End 6/6