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Faisal Islam @faisalislam
, 5 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Raab: “our approach acknowledges there are some risks in a No Deal scenario” but can mitigate them, and there are opportunities
Starmer: “impossible to see the Chequers Deal commanding a majority” when vote is likely...
Starmer to Raab: “being told we only have to stockpile medicines for 6 weeks, doesnt reassure anybody”
Starmer: “incredibly irresponsible” of government to assume “arithmetic in this House will change”
Raab asks Starmer to clarify the idea re a second referendum that “all options are open” says he agrees with Barry Gardiner on this... Labour would “roll over in Brussels and fail to stand up for this country” he says
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More from @faisalislam see all

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Government defeat 303-296 on Cooper No Deal amendment on finance bill - inconvenient embarrassing defeat but big symbolic expression of will of Commons to prevent No Deal Brexit
This is the start of constitutional trench warfare where Parliament will try to assert its power over the executive to prevent No Deal - highly significant. As is the open expression that UK not ready for No Deal from likes of Letwin and Boles.
Twenty Tory rebels voting against Government: Including Sir Michael Fallon... Greening, Gyimah, Soames, Vaizey, Letwin, Boles,
Read 4 tweets
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Sir Oliver Letwin - “we will not allow a No Deal exit at the end of March” and this amendment shows the Government... “for 5 years I was in charge of the resilience of this country...preparation for no Deal wasn’t done... we can not impose on our country a risk of severe impacts”
Letwin almost emotional there - bit between tooth on stopping No Deal will vote for Cooper amendment, said as former Cabinet Office minister responsible for resilience - essentially UK not ready for No Deal. This said as a loyalist who fought hard to get A50 Bill through for PM
Nick Boles sounding pretty furious now about Tory MPs sniping... says manifesto clearly not Moses tablet

“did not say No Deal is better than any deal..” says No Deal prep woeful.

“I will vote on any legislation proposed by anyone that we will leave EU with a deal or not at all”
Read 4 tweets
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EU sources say there will be “no summit” and there are “no actual talks”, some discussions on reassurances. Another diplomatic source tells me even those will not come before the vote next week. /1
Still not entirely sure whether the Meaningful Vote debate that resumes tomorrow will be the continuation of the one curtailed last month or a new one. Former more likely. Would have to make special provision for previous speakers to speak again /2
Tory MPs who attended the Downing St drinks were expecting a bit of a rousing unity speech from PM - surprised there wasn’t one at all even “none of you will be back here” type cajoling. On the way out none I spoke to had changed mind.
Read 5 tweets

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No alternative Brexit plan yet from the ERG. But @SteveBakerHW tells PA May risks "catastrophic split" in party if she doesn't chuck Chequers. Says 80 MPs ready to vote in down in Commons 1/3
@SteveBakerHW Warning comes as @BorisJohnson sketches out a domestic policy platform that will infuriate No10/Hammond & delight grassroots: No more tax hikes under a [Johnson] Tory govt. (no mention of the Treasury warning of a £80bn no-deal black hole in public finances) 2/3
@SteveBakerHW @BorisJohnson Baker warning comes after significant @FT splash saying EU leaders will give Barnier new instructions to help close a Brecit deal at informal Salzburg summit later this month: lifeline for No 10's Chequers plan >> ft.com/content/477ac3…
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Inside the minds of Conservative Party voters - a thread
We seem to be talking a lot about what Conservative MPs want but not a lot about what Conservative voters want
One of the reasons that many in Britain have been repeatedly shocked by political change -Ukip, Corbyn, Brexit- is because they've not been paying sufficient attention to public opinion & voters
Read 23 tweets
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Chequers latest:

Am told that Andrea Leadsom and Esther McVey grumbled about the Brexit offering....but Boris was very quiet and Gove enthusiastic while Fox and Grayling (who’s doing Today tomorrow) were on good behaviour: some Tory Eurosceptics annoyed that no one resigned....
Indeed apparently Boris gave a mini speech at dinner supporting the deal, some colleagues found it “moving” apparently, that bit may or may not be sarcastic
this is like being promised Butch Cassidy & The Sundance Kid and getting Love Actually instead
Read 4 tweets
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So @MichelBarnier
may have appeared to pull his punches today, but don't be fooled. He stuck firmly to EU guns.

This is a key word "de-dramatise" and you'll hear it a lot more - and it is not good news for Mrs May. Here's why /1
If EU sticks to guns on cherry-picking, then that leaves UK with basic FTA...and that means an Irish sea goods border.

When Barnier says "de-dramatise" he means May and Davis need to give over on their contention that such a border is a threat to UK constitutional integrity /2
So when Barnier uses this word, it's code for "the only compromise we need here is by the UK" on the question of the east-west border that would be thrown up by hiving of Northern Ireland into separate regulatory orbit. Something May has said is "unacceptable". /3
Read 9 tweets
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1) #Chequers today with the scene set for a big showdown. Six Brexiteers - led by Johnson & Davis - to tell PM her plan not acceptable; told that Javid, Williamson & Alan Cairns behind them. PM can’t afford to alienate 9 cabinet ministers
2) Brexiteers baulked at language around a “common rule book” for goods & agribusiness, which will undermine a future trade deal with US. Brexiteer source told me last night this part of the paper needs reworking
3) Phone calls going on as No 10 tries to reassure angry Brexiteers. Source says claims this plan will mean UK can’t sign trade deals ‘simply wrong’
Read 10 tweets
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Chequers. A brief retrospective from my representative's ancestors:

1/5 Here we have James Ramsey MacDonald (first Labour PM) and daughter, Joan, reflecting on national negotiations of the time. Well NOT Brexit. #chequers
2/5 Dennis and The Boss. Good times (mostly). I believe Mr T once said "Chequers is why you get the job". That, and "Shut up, Fool!".
[She'd have sorted out this bloody Brexit nonsense, I can tell you.] #chequers
3/5 Ladies' day. The G8.
Meryl Streep taking a role in close international relations, apparently.
(Blair too, being well non-Brexit. GAME ON, GIRLFRIEND.) #chequers
Read 5 tweets

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