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Nate Silver @NateSilver538
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Over the final 48 hours here, we should see most of the big traditional news organizations issue their final pre-midterm surveys; here's the one from my colleagues at @ABC (done in conjunction with the Washington Post, as usual). abcn.ws/2Di9WkJ
These polls are probably the last thing that could really influence our *overall* forecast, if there's evidence of a shift in the generic ballot. Recently, those polls have been clustering in the D+6 to D+10 range, and that's right where ABC has it (D+8) among likely voters.
These traditional polls are generally very high-quality data, although note that they're not able to detect truly last-minute movement—a poll released today will have been in the field late last week.
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