—If a Green candidate weren't running, their voters would all vote for the Dem by default
But would they? Perhaps they support Greens on principle, or they wouldn't turn out *at all* without a Green candidate?
—Dems don't need to earn votes
They do.
—Manu has not sent out a tweet about the Montana Senate race.
There the 3rd party candidate is a Libertarian - likely to take Right/GOP voters, an approx mirror of Left/Dem and Greens
—Arizona: Green 2.2%
—Montana: Libertarian 2.9%
If Tester eeks out a win, will there be a @mkraju tweet implying Matt Rosendale would have won without a 3rd party siphoning off votes?
I doubt it