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Matt Grossmann @MattGrossmann
, 5 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
white Republicans who are both racially conservative & highly knowledgeable were most likely to believe Obama birther rumors
#SocSciResearch
cambridge.org/core/journals/…
In this study, racially conservative = higher scores on racial resentment index (explained below) & highly knowledgeable means answering more factual questions about American politics (eg what is the name of the Vice President?) correctly; interactive relationships figure below:
- “racially conservative” is authors’ term & in common academic usage, not mine or new
- 1 conclusion of near-30-year academic debate about what racial resentment items (in image above) measure is that views of racial group disadvantage are now integrated in conventional ideology
- showing that racists were more likely to hold “birther” views would not be much of a finding (authors assume, not afraid to say); this study’s advance is showing it was high-political-knowledge Republicans with racial views commonly held by conservatives who ?d Obama’s birth
Here are good starting points on racial attitude measurement research:
amazon.com/Racialized-Pol…
amazon.com/Post-Racial-Mo…
amazon.com/Us-Against-The…
& useful recent critiques of the racial resentment scale:
journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.108…
scholar.harvard.edu/files/rkcarney…
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.111…
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politicians rallying behind an in-party President could be surprising if you thought Trump’s uniqueness would change everything, but it is a normal pattern of US politics—especially for Republicans. Meanwhile, the admin has adopted congress’s priorities & passed zero of its own
Trump admin has taken lots of unilateral action, mostly in line with broader Republican agenda. The exception is trade, where his own admin postponed but didn’t stop him. Congress has not tried to reverse it, but neither have Republicans changed their own positions to match Trump
Many political scientists did predict this, but it is not true. Trump has changed the Republican agenda less than Bush had at this point (& it could be just as temporary) & Trump has changed the Democratic Party far more than the Republican Party
Read 3 tweets

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1. Okay, I'm finally sitting down to do my own #2018InReview thread. A lot has happened in my life this year. I've made concrete progress as a writer, speaker, activist, and #Exvangelical advocate.. I'm in a transitional space but feeling somewhat more hopeful about the future.
2. I think I'll go essentially chronologically. Back in January, I was teaching what would become my last semester at the University of South Florida in Tampa. I had hoped that maybe another temporary but full-time with benefits position there would come along, but it did not.
3. I was left with the choice of eking out a living as an adjunct instructor with no benefits, or moving back in with my parents in Indiana for a while to try and see if I could keep the momentum up with the popular engagement through writing, podcasts, radio, etc. I'd been doing
Read 57 tweets
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1/ All you want for Christmas is the story of a century of economists and engineers' interaction at Stanford (at least your econ subconscious does).

So here’s a long tweetstorm on the research Aurélien Saïdi and I will present at ASSA next week
2/ Why would you want such a story?

Because you know this famous paper in which Al Roth extends economists’ identity to designing markets, matching & other allocation mechanisms, and you wonder whether economist “as” engineer & comparison w/ bridge design is a metaphor, or....
3/ … given that Roth holds a Stanford Operations Research (OR) PhD & forged his view of “design” in relation to the research program of his wife Emily Roth, a cognitive engineer, his paper reflects some *substantive* influence of engineering on econs’ topics, methods & tools
Read 45 tweets
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1/There’s this economist few remember, who wrote the 1st 2-sectors growth model, brought Pontryagin to econ, played rugby w/ Inada, argue over Marxism & Keynes w/ Solow & Kahn, rediscovered Veblen & ended up contributing to a papal encyclical.

His name is Hiro Uzawa (宇沢弘文)
2/ A caveat: this is not a historical account, but a summary of Uzawa telling his own story in the wildest MD interview ever cambridge.org/core/journals/…

(TBH I also enjoyed this interview because the reluctant interviewer I am can relate so much with things going out of control)
3/ Uzawa was born in Japan in 1928, spent his spare time proving Newton’s theorem in middle school, graduated in math, struggled w/ depressed economy, shifted to econ.

Back then, in Japan, your typical econ textbook author was Stalin. Uzawa found it obscure, to say the least
Read 17 tweets
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Thank you to everyone who recently followed me.

As a gift, I offer this thread on how to communicate with conservative relatives.

We still have some holiday dinners with science-rejecting, racist, sexist, homophobic uncles, so let’s get to it. 1/ #FactsMatter #Resist
We have to understand why our conservative relatives think the way they do.

This comes down to three concepts:
1. Confirmation bias
2. Unconscious incompetence
3. Illusion of explanatory depth

Let’s take them one at a time. 2/
First, we have confirmation bias

Confirmation bias is the search for information that conforms to one’s preconceived notion of 'truth.' Think of your favorite Fox News viewer who only seeks out information that confirms his ‘truth’ and disregards information that does not. 3/
Read 16 tweets
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"New History of Capitalism" is a phrase used to describe a movement in history which, broadly, argues that cotton and slavery in the US were not merely evil, but were also essential for the rise of modern capitalism. Economic historians have responded in kind (thread)
Engerman (2017) is extremely critical of the underlying hypothesis (reviewing two books), but manages to sound rather anodyne: "The review argues that both books overstate the importance of slavery and cotton production for US economic growth."

aeaweb.org/articles?id=10…
Hilt (2017) reviews 10 (!) of these books, and tries to look for areas of collaboration but is ultimately highly skeptical: "Yet specious arguments and failures of analytical reasoning sometimes undermine these books' effectiveness as social criticism."

cambridge.org/core/journals/…
Read 9 tweets
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Let's be clear Zoe. This is an hypothesis that has all available evidence against it.

USDA and FAO data both show fat going up since the dietary guidelines were released--and more than carbohydrates.

Thread. With graphs and data. 1/n
Here are USDA and FAO dietary trend data in the attached graphs.

As we can see, the "gap" between carbohydrates and fats narrows over time, indicating a faster rise of fats compared to carbohydrates. 2/n
Below is the above data, but with a breakdown for each nutrient class.

These observations suggests that the claim that reduced fat caused carbohydrates to go up is wrong. 3/n
Read 76 tweets

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