,
4 tweets,
1 min read
Read on Twitter
Hi folks, here's my first big deep dive into 2020!!
The 5 Key Constituencies Of The 2020 Democratic Primary
53eig.ht/2D3l8jF
The 5 Key Constituencies Of The 2020 Democratic Primary
53eig.ht/2D3l8jF
Here are the constituencies. They are NOT mutually exclusive, a voter can be in more than one of these groups at once:
1. Party Loyalists
2. The Left
3. Millennials & Friends
4. Black voters
5. Hispanic voters (sometimes along with Asian voters)
1. Party Loyalists
2. The Left
3. Millennials & Friends
4. Black voters
5. Hispanic voters (sometimes along with Asian voters)
The key idea is that a candidate needs to build a majority coalition that encompasses at least 3 of these 5 groups. Which candidate might be best equipped to do that? We'll cover that next week, but this chart provides some hints. 
I also hope this method emphasizes the importance of black, Hispanic and other nonwhite voters. About 40% of the D primary electorate is nonwhite. But you don't hear much about them in the arguments between the (mostly white) establishment and the (mostly white) left.
