Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #nc09

Most recents (24)

NEW from me @TheSpectator:

I’m at today’s long awaited @tiktok_us hearing, where the Communist spyware CEO is going to gaslight America

He’s now on on Cap Hill with a Socialist Congressman and a Biden-tied Mao lover's firm in his pockets…

(1/xx) Image
TikTok’s CEO is gearing up for a grilling in Congress, but he’s got some new, powerful allies in his corner: a political consulting firm whose founder lavished praise on Mao Zedong and is now one of Biden’s top aides — and a socialist congressman who……
Shou Zi Chew, the company’s CEO, is at @HouseCommerce, where Republicans are planning to press him on the national security concerns posed by the video app’s parent company ByteDance’s ties to the Chinese Communist Party.…

Read 97 tweets
2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander

A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)

To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter ImageImageImageImage

I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf

Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.… ImageImageImage
Read 111 tweets
NEW List of Dem candidates running for Congress in 2022 against GOP incumbents! Please take a minute and follow them! It’s the least we can do to show our support for the folks who are literally trying to save our democracy! RESISTERS RESIST #VoteThemAllOut2022
@abbybroyles vs Stephanie Bice House #OK05 electoral objector
@adammgentle vs Mario Diaz Balart House #FL25 electoral objector
@AlishaKShelton vs Don Bacon House #NE02
@AndreaRSalinas House #OR06
@AngieNixon vs Scott Franklin House #FL14 electoral objector
@AnnieAndrewsMD vs Nancy Mace House #SC01
@anthonyjtristan vs Michael Cloud House #TX27 electoral objector
@ashley_ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick House #PA01
@AramisAyalaFL House #FL10
@atticaforky House #KY03
@baxterstapleton vs Michael Turner House #OH10
Read 38 tweets
Powerful history. Should be required viewing for all of us, not just voters in #NC09.

NC state legislator @CharlesGrahamNC is running to be the first American Indian serving as a NC US Representative.

District #NC09 is 7.7% Native American. Nationally, 2.9% of us are Native American or Alaska Native (alone or combo with another ethnicity). The district was redrawn because of GOP gerrymandering. The GOP has held the district for almost 60 years.
Read 4 tweets
As a legislator, I don't play politics. I study, listen, and vote my conscience. Those values are absent in Washington today and it's tearing us apart.

I'm running as a Democrat to represent #NC09 in the U.S Congress and finally mend our divided spirits.
The pundits and politicians want us to believe that America is at war with itself. I don’t accept that. When we come together as neighbors, we can knock down the walls of hate and oppression. Join me in this fight and let's forge a new path ahead.…
I'm running as a Democrat to represent #NC09 in the U.S Congress. Please take a moment to retweet this and follow this twitter account to join our campaign!
Read 3 tweets
Of all the ridiculous schemes that have been floated by the President or AG Barr for how mail-in ballot fraud could affect the election, the possibility of a foreign entity swaying election by mailing fraudulent absentee ballots is the most ludicrous. It defies common sense. /1
To begin with, mail-in ballots are very hard to duplicate on the fly. Each jurisdiction has their own ballot format, form of paper, and races differ for voters by their respective districts. Ballot envelopes also often contain coding that helps election officials track them. /2
Ballot forms must contain certain information that must be verified, like a signature, identification information, and sometimes witness requirements. These would all have to be faked, and done in a way to escape attention. /3
Read 16 tweets
New at @CookPolitical: House rating changes in 20 districts, all towards Democrats. I can’t recall the last time we moved so many races at once, let alone in the same direction.
More @CookPolitical: for the first time this cycle, Democrats have at least as good a chance of picking up House seats as Republicans on a net basis.…
(Here’s a graphic corrected for #WA03)
Read 8 tweets
In case everyone forgot the #nc09 scandal because I sure as fuck have not. The @GOP should be reminded of this every time they clutch their pearls over made-up fraud by voters based on disinformation these exact same people have been circulating baselessly for years about
undocumented people voting. They should be laughed out of the room every time they invoke that specter…
Read 4 tweets
NEW at @CookPolitical: 10 rating changes (7 towards Ds, 3 towards Rs) as Democrats' edge in the battle for the House grows...
Basically, #COVID19 has all but frozen House recruitment & severely curtailed fundraising. That's an advantage for incumbents & bad news for upstates.

At end of 2019, median House D in a Trump district had $1.8 million cash on hand while median leading R challenger had $247,000.
Today, we've moved four freshman Dems out of Toss Up based on the weakness of their GOP opposition:

#IL14 Lauren Underwood (D) - Toss Up to Lean D
#MI08 Elissa Slotkin (D) - Toss Up to Lean D
#NY19 Antonio Delgado (D) - Toss Up to Lean D
#UT04 Ben McAdams (D) - Toss Up to Lean D
Read 6 tweets
40 Republicans voted NO on the #FamiliesFirst #coronavirus relief bill.

17 of them have lone challengers ready to take them on in November. We at #DemCast have compiled that list for you.

🚨 Please share this thread and follow/support the Democratic challengers listed!
(Note - we are only listing races in which either there is an established Democratic nominee or there is only a single declared Democratic candidate.)
TEXAS has a lot of Republicans who voted NO on #FamiliesFirst.

Chip Roy in #TX21 voted NO.
His opponent: Wendy Davis @WendyDavis.

Randy Weber in #TX14 voted NO.
His opponent: Adrienne Bell @AdrBell

Louie Gohmert in #TX01 voted NO.
His opponent: Hank Gilbert @Hank4Texas
Read 12 tweets
Big: the new map the #NCGA just passed is an insurance policy for Dems' House majority. It effectively gifts Dems two additional seats in 2020 (#NC02 & #NC06).

And, a pending Dem lawsuit against it could put one *more* seat in play, giving Dems/Pelosi even more insurance.
So why are Dems suing to invalidate a new map that converts a 10R-3D map to an 8R-5D map? Because they have nothing to lose: a map drawn by a special court-appointed master would only get even better for them vs. the remedial map just drawn by the GOP-led #NCGA.
The key region in dispute? Fayetteville, Robeson Co., & the Sandhills. The new R-drawn map still divides Dem votes there between #NC08 & #NC09 to protect two R incumbents who live in the far-away Charlotte suburbs.
Read 4 tweets
What happens to that argument if he wins
Pelosi is under the bizarre impression that Republicans will not rally behind a candidate who has obviously benefited from massive corruption but, you know, they did in 2016
As a bellwether for Republican tolerance of institutional misbehavior, consider that the Republican candidate won in #NC09, where a special election was held due to massive evidence of Republican electoral fraud
Read 4 tweets
Ah, the WashPo! Its headline says GOP “tried” to steal black #VotingRights. No, they succeeded!!!… #NC09 #NorthCarolina #NorthCarolinaSpecialElection #VoterSuppression #ElectionFraud #StopTheSteal
Of course, the #JeffBezos House Organ cannot bring itself to say that these #JimCrow tricks stole #NC09. So, may this one time statistician and sometime journalist say, “they stole the 9th.”… #NorthCarolina
Hey, @WashingtonPost, we've fixed your headline:

The ‘Smoking Gun’ Proving North Carolina Republicans Disenfranchised Black Voters…

You're welcome!
Read 3 tweets
Here's why the "let's win without working-class whites" mentality doesn't hold water for Dems. That demog comprises 45% of all eligible U.S. voters, but:

61% in Wisconsin
61% in New Hampshire
56% in Michigan
56% in Minnesota
56% in Pennsylvania
47% in North Carolina

Good luck.
Dems' backslide w/ these voters is the main reason IA (66%) and OH (60%) have already exited stage right off the EC battleground, and why a Dem nominee who performs even worse w/ them could risk losses in ME (66%), NH (61%) or MN (56%).
Dems' path to beating Trump absolutely depends on retaining the gains they made in diverse, college-educated burbs - the kinds we saw in 2018 & #NC09.

But even a slight drop among white non-college voters could negate all of it, given the demog's size & geographic distribution.
Read 6 tweets
Hey #NC09: no matter how many elections North Carolina Republicans steal and no matter how brazenly they gerrymander maps to suppress the black vote and no matter how many hearings they hold while Democrats are at a 9/11 memorial please never stop voting cultishly for them thanks
PS/ It's important #NC09 keep voting for people they know to be horrible humans, as it allows the rest of us to say you better never complain about bad governance or dishonest politicians or Washington not serving your interests because it was you who begged for this "leadership"
PS2/ As the healthcare system collapses and the economy slips into recession and North Korea and Iran and Russia get more dangerous and trade wars destroy farms make sure you thank avid Republicans for voting for all this and then *immediately* losing the right to *ever* complain
Read 3 tweets
In the summer of 2016 a friend of mine who works for a big advertising firm (and is a 9/11 survivor, so maybe this is a good day for this) asked me why the Dems ads suck so much. I said, good question.

I had no idea what kind of Mr Toad's Wild Ride I was signing up for. 1/11
What I found pretty quickly was that the problem was *not* that Dems weren't using enough AI or psychographics or advanced stuff. Those tactics help on the margins and campaigns should absolutely be looking into them, but their absence wasn't the big problem. 2/11
The much bigger problem was this strong, overwhelming tendency to avoid making an effective argument. Basic blocking and tackling stuff, in terms of marketing: defining and positioning your product/worldview and explaining the benefits in a clear, emotionally compelling way. 3/11
Read 12 tweets
#DanBishop won the #NC09 election. Trump is taking credit for that--as well he should. Trump and Bishop share the same ugly homophobic and transphobic POV and it was support for Bishop's grotesque #HB2 that helped him win.…
We can claim that #DanBishop won because that #NC09 has always been a GOP seat, but really, this is about GOP support for discriminatory anti-LGBTQ, anti-queer and anti-trans bills. Folks like Bishop propose and promote them, as I wrote two years ago.…?
At some point we have to acknowledge that while racism and misogyny are a GOP backdrop, they raise money and thrive on their homophobic and transphobic attacks and those assaults on queer and trans people are behind their "religious freedom" bills.…
Read 3 tweets
Last night I congratulated Dan Bishop on his victory. Our refrain on this campaign was Country over Party. I believe that when our country succeeds, we all succeed. For me, that means offering my help to Dan Bishop as he takes over his job representing us. I wish him the best.
To everyone who gave what you could in this campaign, thank you. I am so proud of you, and you should be proud of what we did together! #nc09 has been in Republican hands since 1963. A Democrat was never even supposed to be competitive here, and we came within an inch of winning.
Today is 9/11, and my thoughts are with my Marines. I must tell you that after serving with my platoon in Iraq, I learned not to use the word 'honor' lightly. Serving side by side with my Marines from every part of our country, that was an honor.
Read 12 tweets
(Thread) A Crown or Prison?

Much of Twitter believes it’s an obvious truth that Trump’s mental instability makes him unfit to govern.

Meanwhile, Trump’s supporters like his personality over his policies. The article is here:…

This isn’t changing . . .
1/ Through the chaos, Trump approval remains steady at 40+% (as per @538). The RNC raised $105 million in the 2nd quarter

Some believe a Trump dynasty will last generations.

Others wonder if the Trumps will be hauled to prison.
@538 2/ Sociologist Max Weber theory explains this divergence as two different kinds of authority:

💠Charisma: Authority derives from force of personality; the leader evokes emotions and loyalty. Also known as a personality cult.

💠Rational/Legal: rule of law…
Read 24 tweets
BREAKING: In an absolute stunner, @NCHouseGOP calls surprise vote on morning of #9/11, override @NC_Governor veto to pass budget with barely half of members present. @ABC11_WTVD @ABCPolitics @NCGOP @NCDemParty @JTHVerhovek @rickklein #ncpol #ncga
MORE: Surprise move by @NCHouseGOP & @NCHouseSpeaker brings dramatic - if not chaotic - to budget standoff with @NC_Governor & @NCDemParty who broke supermajorities in 2018 election. @ABC11_WTVD @rickklein @JTHVerhovek @ABCPolitics #ncpol #ncga
EVEN MORE: Latest @NCHouseGOP move caps remarkable week for @NCGOP, including @realDonaldTrump visit to push @jdanbishop to #NC09 win; Republicans also conceded defeat in state court on #gerrymandering & began work on new maps. @ABC11_WTVD @ABCPolitics @JTHVerhovek #ncga #ncpol
Read 21 tweets
If Bishop wins in #NC09, let's all laud Trump's game plan!

1) Being a draft-dodger and calling a marine a coward;
2) being America's least successful businessman and calling a successful entrepreneur a socialist; and
3) being a man with no beliefs who calls a moderate a radical.
1/ I was worried the GOP would again commit systemic election fraud in #NC09, but then Democrat Dan McCready's *best* counties starting reporting their votes en masse and Republican Dan Bishop immediately began pulling away, so now I feel much better that perfidy will be punished
2/ I'm sure it makes sense that Bishop would start to pad his lead as his opponent's best counties report the bulk of their votes—in the same way the last election the GOP won in #NC09 made sense until we found it was stolen

Here's to punishing election fraud with election wins!
Read 11 tweets
The North Carolina #NC09 race is sooooooooo close!

Dan Bishop *(R) just pulled ahead of the Democrats by a little over 500 votes with about 55% of precincts reporting.
Oh snap, Bishop just pulled ahead even he's ahead by little over 1,000 votes!

Sorry for the sucky screenshot, but it's NYT and I can't actually access the whole page.
But if you can or want to access it, here's the link:…
Read 20 tweets
NC9 very close
41.46% counted
McCready (D) 50.39%
Bishop (R) 49.05%
NC3 (already called) but lead growing
42.51% counted
Murphy (R) 59.53%
Thomas (D) 39.70%
NC9 coming to almost dead heat😬
43.55% counted
McCready 49.77
Bishop 49.66
Read 28 tweets
Remember, Bishop (R) probably needs ~61% in Union Co. to win #NC09. Right now he's at 56.5% w/ 16/52 precincts reporting, but that'll go up as Election Day vote is counted.
Bishop (R) now up to 57.9% in Union Co. w/ 23/52 precincts counted. Once again, #NC09 headed for a photo finish.
Union Co. watch: Bishop (R) now up to 58.9% w/ 29/52 precincts counted. He ultimately needs to be at around 61% there...on his current trajectory he's a good bet to get there.
Read 3 tweets

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