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If you extend this to parties that didn't finish 3rd, and use 2PP prefs, there was no seat the Coalition would have lost with a 50% 2PP split of ON prefs, but there is one (Bass) which was won on *UAP* preferences.
I also looked to see if the Coalition won any other seats on combined friendly preferences from multiple (non-Nats) candidates. Longman was close but Chisholm was actually won on combined prefs of UAP, Rise Up and Ian Dobby (IND).
(Dobby had the donkey vote which flowed to Gladys Liu (Lib) ahead of Labor. But for this I think Liu's win would have been caused by UAP prefs alone, or UAP and Rise Up combined.)
Method in that article also misses seats where Labor led through cutup but would have lost with a 50-50 2PP split of Greens votes. There are two of those, Blair and Gilmore. So 15 seats where Labor's win required >50% 2PP of Greens prefs.
The number of seats where Labor needed >50% 2PP of Green prefs is the same as in 2016. But in 2016 there were also two seats that Labor would have won with a 50% 2PP share of Greens prefs, but only because they got a >50% share from some other party.
