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, 3 tweets, 2 min read
Latest Westminster voting intention (30 Sep - 1 Oct)
Con - 34%
Lib Dem - 23%
Lab - 21%
Brexit Party - 12%
Green - 5%
Other - 5%
yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister?
Boris Johnson - 40%
Jeremy Corbyn - 22%
Don't know - 35%
yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the European Union?
Right - 40%
Wrong - 49%
yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
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YouGov
@YouGov
With Labour reportedly now willing to back a general election, it looks like we're set for an election in December. Our most recent voting intention poll had the parties on:

Con - 36%
Lab - 23%
Lib Dem - 18%
Brexit Party - 12%
Green - 6%
Other - 6%

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
And our most recent survey on who people think would make the best Prime Minister showed:

Boris Johnson - 43%
Jeremy Corbyn - 20%
Don't know - 34%

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
Earlier this week we found that Britons expect the Conservatives to win the most seats and votes at the forthcoming election yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
Read 5 tweets
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YouGov
@YouGov
For #WorldEnergyDay here's the % of Britons who have a favourable view of each type of energy:

Solar - 86%
Offshore wind - 81%
Hydro - 80%
Onshore wind - 76%
Bio-fuels - 75%
Geothermal - 58%
Gas - 40%
Nuclear - 33%
Oil - 23%
Coal - 20%
Shale gas - 14%

yougov.co.uk/topics/science…
Our research shows that Britons have overwhelmingly positive opinions of renewable energy sources - even among those who also have a favourable view of fossil fuels

yougov.co.uk/topics/science…
In good news for clean energy campaigners, most Britons support renewables expansion, and those with favourable views of oil, gas and coal don't support greater use of those resources
yougov.co.uk/topics/science…
Read 3 tweets
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YouGov
@YouGov
Exploring how the Theresa May and Boris Johnson Brexit deals stack up among Brits, we find that while two thirds (64%) think Johnson’s deal is indeed different, only one in ten (10%) think it differs significantly yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
When it comes to whether Boris Johnson’s deal is actually better than the one Theresa May struck, public opinion is split:
- 27% say it is better
- 19% say it is worse
- 25% say it is neither yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
Asked a straight choice between which of the Brexit deals they would prefer, Brits favour Boris Johnson’s by 37% to 17%. Almost half (46%) can’t pick between them, however yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

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John Rentoul
@JohnRentoul
Latest @YouGov poll 8-9 Oct
Con 35% +1
Lab 22% +1
Lib Dem 20% -3
Brexit Party 12% ±0
Green 6% +1
Change since 30 Sep-1 Oct
yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
@YouGov Average of 4 polls from different cos this month (1-9 Oct)
Con 34%
Lab 24½%
Lib Dem 19%
Brexit Party 12%
Green 5%
People will vote differently in election, but projecting these vote shares leads to Con majority 62
electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/userco…
@YouGov If the UK left the EU, could imagine half of Brexit Party support going to Con, which would give an Electoral Calculus projection of 180 Con majority electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/userco…
Read 3 tweets
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Anthony Wells
@anthonyjwells
A longish thread about trying to explain the differences in party support - primarily Labour - in the polls.
It is often very difficult to get to the bottom of the differences between polls. There is rarely one big, easy simple answer, it's normally a bit of lots of little, different to explain things. Hence stupid & simple explanations prosper.
One current cause seems to be different approaches to past vote weighting. Most pollsters* weight by how people voted at the last election (ensuring that the sample has 44% people who voted Conservative in 2017, 41% Labour in 2017 and so on)
Read 18 tweets
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Flavible Politics
@flaviblePolitic
YouGov Scenario Thread (2) - 27-06-2019

Westminster Voting Intention if:

Corbyn Sticking to Labour Alternative Brexit
Starmer Sticking to Labour Alternative Brexit

Corbyn 2nd Ref & Opposing Brexit
Starmer 2nd Ref & Opposing Brexit

Source: yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
YouGov (Corbyn Labour Brexit) - 2019-06-27
LDem: 30%
Con: 24%
BRX: 19%
Lab: 17%
SNP: 4%
Grn: 4%
PC: 1%

Flavible Projection
LDem: 209 (+197)
Con: 181 (-137)
Lab: 150 (-112)
SNP: 48 (+13)
BRX: 38 (+38)
PC: 4 (-)
Grn: 1 (-)
Ind: 1 (+1)
Changes w/ 2017
flavible.com/politics/map/p…
YouGov (Starmer Labour Brexit) - 2019-06-27
LDem: 29%
Con: 24%
BRX: 19%
Lab: 17%
Grn: 5%
SNP: 4%
PC: 1%

Flavible Projection
LDem: 195 (+183)
Con: 191 (-127)
Lab: 154 (-108)
SNP: 48 (+13)
BRX: 38 (+38)
PC: 4 (-)
Grn: 1 (-)
Ind: 1 (+1)
Changes w/ 2017
flavible.com/politics/map/p…
Read 5 tweets
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Jon Worth
@jonworth
I'm wondering about #Brexit and political identity, and how much this can explain the #ep2019 result in the UK, and might inform what Tories and Labour might try to do if there were a UK General Election
What the UK population things about Brexit is well documented in this PDF ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl… by @UKandEU
The hardening of voter sentiment about the EU question is covered by this polling from YouGov yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
Read 7 tweets
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John Rentoul
@JohnRentoul
European election voting intention @YouGov 12-16 May
Brexit Party 35% +1
Lib Dem 16% ±0
Lab 15% -1
Green 10% -1
Con 9% -1
Change UK 5% ±0
UKIP 3% ±0
(Change since 8-9 May)
yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
Someone has updated the Wikipedia graph of European election opinion polls en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Euro…
Labour could be the 2nd best performing Remain party *and* the 2nd best performing Leave party next week
Read 3 tweets
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Sunder Katwala
@sundersays
"Pro-EU parties to use European elections as 'soft referendum'"
* the approach outlined (no alliances or pacts, compete with other pro-EU parties) is literally the opposite of a referendum approach (combine/aggregate: seek majority).
theguardian.com/politics/2019/…
It doesn't work as a proxy referendum
britishfuture.org/articles/europ…

Probable Change UK, Greens, LibDems, Renew contest in some regions reduces no of pro-Remain MEPs, eg 4-way split of 15-20% can "waste" votes under PR lists. (Eg waste < 5%, or end wasting 15% = no seats x4 if unlucky)
A particular risk in regions that are smaller & more challenging (eg especially north-east; also east midlands, east of england). It may be important in Wales, where Plaid means 5-way division of non-Labour pro-EU. Scotland a bit different again: major pro-EU party in SNP
Read 20 tweets

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