, 3 tweets, 2 min read
Latest @YouGov poll 8-9 Oct
Con 35% +1
Lab 22% +1
Lib Dem 20% -3
Brexit Party 12% ±0
Green 6% +1
Change since 30 Sep-1 Oct
yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
@YouGov Average of 4 polls from different cos this month (1-9 Oct)
Con 34%
Lab 24½%
Lib Dem 19%
Brexit Party 12%
Green 5%
People will vote differently in election, but projecting these vote shares leads to Con majority 62
electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/userco…
@YouGov If the UK left the EU, could imagine half of Brexit Party support going to Con, which would give an Electoral Calculus projection of 180 Con majority electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/userco…
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