I'll make the point though that influencers w the reach of @Nate_Cohn and @NateSilver538 have a special obligation to acknowledge the limits of low name ID analysis up front & clearly bc of the danger for it to set narratives that actually impact the race.
As this work will.
As this work will.
like I said, @MorningConsult's @cameron_easley will be releasing a study this week that show's Warren's DK/Never Heard Ofs are more than double Biden's and Sanders among GE voters. You literally can not make electability or head to heads with Trump vs anyone but Sanders & Biden
Now, I release that lots and lots of survey research firms are doing this (NYT/Sienna is not special here) but the fact is, it is providing a distorted picture of the GE match ups that is not statistically sound & it should not be done, period, full stop. And as I note above,
it is not a 0 cost practice. These polls, and the media coverage they generate, actually impact the race and affect voter perceptions of candidates and the race. That is why it is imprudent to use the data in this way w/o giant disclaimers. Something I am thinking of taking to
the next @AAPOR conference.
