Thread by @BensOscarMath

0/92: Here is my 92-part analysis of the 92nd Academy Award nominations.

1/92: BEST PICTURE
93% of Best Picture winners have a Best Director nomination. 89% have a screenplay nomination. 82% were up for Best Film Editing. Only @TheIrishmanFilm, @JokerMovie, and @ParasiteMovie got all three of those.

@TheIrishmanFilm @jokermovie @ParasiteMovie 2/92: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is the first Best Picture title to contain the word “Once,” “Upon,” or “Time” (though Alexander's Ragtime Band contains “time” as a compound). Hollywood appeared in the title of Hollywood Revue of 1929.

@TheIrishmanFilm @jokermovie @ParasiteMovie 3/92: @1917 is the first Best Picture nominee with a number as the entire title.

@TheIrishmanFilm @jokermovie @ParasiteMovie @1917 4/92: Only five Best Picture titles have been shorter than @1917:
Z (1969)
JFK (1991)
Ray (2004)
Up (2009)
Her (2013)
1917 could tie the record for shortest winning title, currently held by Gigi (1958) and Argo (2012).

@TheIrishmanFilm @jokermovie @ParasiteMovie @1917 5/92: @TheIrishmanFilm runs for 209 minutes, making it the 6th longest Best Picture nominee, and the longest of the last half-century.
Cleopatra (1963): 248 minutes
Gone with the Wind (1939): 238
Lawrence of Arabia (1962): 222
The Ten Commandments (1956): 220
Ben-Hur (1959): 212

6/92: @ParasiteMovie is the 12th foreign language film to be nominated for Best Picture. The others are 0/11 in winning the category.

7/92: If you were to watch all Best Picture nominees from every year, you would spend the 2nd most time on 2019 (21 hours and 15 minutes), after the 21:57 it would take to finish 1935’s 12 movies.

8/92: Bradley Cooper (@JokerMovie) joins Warren Beatty as the only people with 3+ nominations for Best Picture (as a producer), at least one for writing, and at least one for acting.

@jokermovie 9/92: Robert De Niro (@TheIrishmanFilm) becomes the 8th person with career nominations for Best Picture, Actor, and Supporting Actor. Others:
-Brad Pitt
-Bradley Cooper
-Denzel Washington
-George Clooney
-Leonardo DiCaprio
-Matt Damon
-Paul Newman

@jokermovie @TheIrishmanFilm 10/92: @EmmaKoskoff (@TheIrishmanFilm, @JokerMovie) and David Heyman (@OnceInHollywood, @MarriageStory) are the 6th and 7th producers with 2+ noms in the same year. Others:
-Francis Ford Coppola: 1974
-Fred Roos: 1974
-@MeganEEllison: 2013
-Scott Rudin: 2010
-Steve Golin: 2015

@jokermovie @TheIrishmanFilm @emmakoskoff @OnceInHollywood @MarriageStory @meganeellison 11/92: Every Best Picture-nominated film has at least four nominations, and every non-Best Picture-nominated film has fewer than four. That has never happened before.

12/92: Perfect! My mathematical predictions for @THR go 9/9 in predicting the 2019 Best Picture nominees! You can read the full story here: hollywoodreporter.com/news/oscar-nom…

@THR 13/92: BEST DIRECTOR
The first 90 winners of Best Director were English-language films. There could now be 2 foreign-language winners in a row, if @ParasiteMovie can repeat Roma’s win.

14/92: This is Martin Scorsese’s (@OnceInHollyood) 9th Best Director nomination, second place behind William Wyler’s 12. Scorsese won once, for The Departed (2006).

15/92: Sam Mendes (@1917) could join @AlfonsoCuaron and Frank Borzage as the only directors with multiple wins and no losses at the Oscars.

16/92: The four favorites all sail into the Best Director race. Among the candidates fighting for the last slot, Todd Phillips (@JokerMovie) gets the nod.

@jokermovie 17/92: BEST ACTOR
Since the creation of the SAG Awards in 1994, every Best Actor winner first got a SAG nom. That narrows the Oscar field down to Joaquin Phoenix (@JokerMovie), Adam Driver (@MarriageStory), and @LeoDiCaprio (@OnceInHollywood).

18/92: Joaquin Phoenix (@JokerMovie) is the first person with a Best Actor or Best Actress nomination for their role in a comic book movie.

19/92: Joaquin Phoenix (@JokerMovie) becomes the 9th male actor with 4 nominations this century. Others:
-Bradley Cooper
-Christian Bale
-Daniel Day-Lewis
-Denzel Washington
-George Clooney
-@TheJeffBridges
-@LeoDiCaprio
-Philip Seymour Hoffman

@jokermovie @TheJeffBridges @LeoDiCaprio 20/92: @LeoDiCaprio (@OnceInHollywood) becomes the first male actor this century with 5 Oscar nominations (all 5 of his were for leading roles). Five actresses had already achieved this:
-Meryl Streep (9)
-Amy Adams (6)
-Cate Blanchett (6)
-Judi Dench (5)
-Kate Winslet (5)

21/92: Adam Driver (@MarriageStory) is the only person nominated in an acting category both of the last two years.

@MarriageStory 22/92: Jonathan Pryce and @AnthonyHopkins (The Two Popes) are the first two people in Oscars history to be nominated for playing popes.

23/92: Four of the top five get Oscar nominations, while @AntonioBanderas (Pain and Glory) upsets Golden Globe winner Taron Egerton for the fifth spot.

24/92: BEST ACTRESS
Saoirse Ronan (@LittleWomen) is now the 7th living actress who has 4+ nominations and is still looking for her first win, along with Amy Adams, Annette Bening, Glenn Close, Jane Alexander, Marsha Mason (@SeriouslyPerky), and Michelle Williams.

25/92: Jo March from @LittleWomen joins Esther Blodgett (A Star Is Born), Leslie Crosbie (The Letter), and Queen Elizabeth I (Elizabeth) as the only characters with multiple Best Actress nominations. In addition to Saoirse Ronan, Winona Ryder was nominated for the 1994 version.

@LittleWomen 26/92: Renee Zellweger (@JudyTheFilm) becomes the 7th actress with 3+ Best Actress nominations and a win for Best Supporting Actress, along with Meryl Streep, Ingrid Bergman, Jessica Lange, Judi Dench, Cate Blanchett, and Vanessa Redgrave.

27/92: @CharlizeAfrica (@BombshellMovie) becomes the 6th actress this century with 3+ Best Actress nominations and a win, along with Cate Blanchett, Jennifer Lawrence, Kate Winslet, Meryl Streep, and Nicole Kidman. Streep has 7 nominations; the others have 3.

28/92: Scarlett Johansson is the 9th person with noms for Lead & Supporting Actress in the same year. Others:
Fay Bainter (1938)
Teresa Wright (1942)
Jessica Lange (1982)
Sigourney Weaver (1988)
Emma Thompson (1993)
Holly Hunter (1993)
@_JulianneMoore (2002)
Cate Blanchett (2007)

@_juliannemoore 29/92: All five nominees with greater than a 50% chance to get Best Actress nominations heard their names called this morning.

30/92: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Al Pacino (@TheIrishmanFilm) joins Geraldine Page, Jack Nicholson, and Meryl Streep as the only actors with 4+ nominations for both lead actor/actress and supporting actor/actress.

31/92: Joe Pesci (@TheIrishmanFilm) could join Walter Brennan, Jason Robards, and Peter Ustinov as the only actors with 2+ Best Supporting Actor wins on 3+ nominations.

32/92: @TheIrishmanFilm is the 19th film with multiple nominations for Best Supporting Actor. Six of those have won the category:
-The Last Picture Show (1971)
-The Godfather II (1974)
-Julia (1977)
-Ordinary People (1980)
-Terms of Endearment (1983)
-Three Billboards (2017)

33/92: Brad Pitt (@OnceInHollywood) and Joaquin Phoenix (@JokerMovie) join the list of living male actors with 4 nominations and 0 wins, along with:
-Bradley Cooper
-Ed Harris
-Warren Beatty
-Willem Dafoe

34/92: @TomHanks (@ABeautifulDay) could tie Daniel Day-Lewis, Jack Nicholson, and Walter Brennan for the most Oscars (3) among male actors.

35/92: Another perfect category for data! No mathematical upsets this morning for Best Supporting Actor nominations.

36/92: BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
@LauraDern (@MarriageStory) joins Amy Adams, Emma Stone, Jacki Weaver, and @OctaviaSpencer as the only people with multiple Best Supporting Actress nominations this decade. Dern was also nominated for Wild (2014).

37/92: Four of the top five contenders get in, but @JLo gets overlooked. @MsKathyBates (@RJewellFilm) pulls off the surprise.

38/92: BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
@ParasiteMovie could become the 6th foreign-language script to win Best Original Screenplay.
Marie-Louise (1945)
The Red Balloon (1956)
Divorce Italian Style (1962)
A Man and a Woman (1966)
Talk to Her (2002)

39/92: Quentin Tarantino (@OnceInHollywood) will try to tie Woody Allen for the most Original Screenplay wins with 3. Tarantino has already won for Pulp Fiction (1994) and Django Unchained (2012).

40/92: @KnivesOut and The Two Popes will each try to become the first screenplay nominee (original or adapted) to win a screenplay race in which it’s the only non-Best Picture nominee.

41/92: The four Original Screenplay favorites are all officially Oscar nominees. @1917 claims the last slot.

@1917 42/92: BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Greta Gerwig (@LittleWomen) is the 25th person – and first woman – to have career nominations for Best Director, Best Original Screenplay, and Best Adapted Screenplay. Her Director and Original Screenplay nominations came for Lady Bird (2017).

43/92: Steven Zaillian (@TheIrishmanFilm) receives his 4th Adapted Screenplay nomination, trailing only Billy Wilder (7), John Huston (6), and Eric Roth (5).

44/92: Anthony McCarten (The Two Popes) is the 11th person with 2+ noms for Best Picture and Best Adapted Screenplay:
-Ernest Lehman
-Ethan Coen
-Fran Walsh
-Francis Ford Coppola
-Joel Coen
-Martin Scorsese
-@TheOliverStone
-Paul Thomas Anderson
-Peter Jackson
-Stanley Kubrick

45/92: In the final category whose nominees I predicted for @THR, all five Best Adapted Screenplay leaders went on to receive nominations.

46/92: BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The @BAFTA Awards and the @ProducersGuild have at least nominated every Best Animated Feature winner since they added animated categories. Only overlaps with the Oscars: Missing Link and @ToyStory 4.

47/92: The @ToyStory franchise has a chance to become the first to win multiple Oscars for Best Animated Feature.

48/92: BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
@HoneylandDoc is the first film in Oscars history to be nominated for both Documentary Feature and Foreign Language Film (now called International Feature Film).

49/92: Julia Reichert (@AFactoryFilm) returns to the Oscars with her first Documentary Feature nomination since Seeing Red (1983). That 36-year gap is the longest in this category, breaking Arthur Cohn’s record of 19 years between nominations.

50/92: BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM
After the @GoldenGlobes didn’t nominate The Secret in Their Eyes (2009) for Best International Film, they’ve nominated each of the last 9 Oscar winners. @ParasiteMovie, Les Miserables, and Pain and Glory are the three Oscar overlaps.

51/92: @ParasiteMovie is the 7th film nominated for both Best International Film and Best Picture (Z, The Emigrants, Life Is Beautiful, Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon, Amour, Roma). All but The Emigrants of those won Foreign Language Film; none won Best Picture.

@ParasiteMovie 52/92: @ParasiteMovie is South Korea’s 31st submission to the Academy Awards, and the first one to be nominated for Best International Feature.

53/92: @HonelyandDoc is North Macedonia’s second Oscar nomination for Best International Feature. Their first submission, Before the Rain (1994), was nominated, and then 14 submissions in a row were not nominated until Honeyland broke that streak.

54/92: Les Miserables is France’s 40th nomination for Best International Film, the most of any country.

55/92: Pain and Glory is Spain’s 20th nomination for Best International Film. Only France (40) and Italy (31) have more.

56/92: BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
John Williams (@StarWars) receives his 52nd Oscar nomination. Across all categories, only Walt Disney has more, with 59.

@starwars 57/92: Thomas Newman (@1917) scores his 15th nomination, still in search of that first win. Sound mixer Greg Russell is the only person in Oscar history with more noms (16) without a win. Composer Alex North and art director Roland Anderson each had 15 nominations but no wins.

58/92: This is @RandyNewman’s (@MarriageStory) 9th nomination for Best Score, the most of any living composer without a win aside from his cousin Thomas (@1917). Randy does have two wins for Best Song.

59/92: There have been 28 Oscar categories in which two people with the same last name went up against each other. Five of those were members of the Newman family competing for Best Score, including this year’s race between Thomas (@1917) and @RandyNewman (@MarriageStory).

60/92: Hildur Guðnadóttir (@Hildurness, @JokerMovie) is the seventh female composer to be nominated for Best Score.
-Angela Morley (0 wins/2 nominations)
-Marilyn Bergman (1/1)
-Rachel Portman (1/3)
-@AnneDudleyMusic (1/1)
-Lynn Ahrens (0/1)
-Mica Levi (0/1)

@hildurness @jokermovie @annedudleymusic 61/92: Alexandre Desplat (@LittleWomen) gets his 11th nomination since 2000, second-most after John Williams’ 14.

62/92: BEST ORIGINAL SONG
@CynthiaErivo (“Stand Up” from @HarrietFilm) would become the 16th EGOT winner with an Oscar trophy.

63/92: Kristen Anderson-Lopez (@Lyrikris10) and Robert Lopez (“Into the Unknown” from @DisneyFrozen II) are going for their 3rd Best Song win on their 3rd nomination. No one has ever won each of their first 3 Best Song nominations before.

64/92: @RandyNewman is nominated for Score for @MarriageStory and Song for @ToyStory. The last person to be nominated in these categories in the same year for different films was … Randy Newman. (1998: Pleasantville/Bug’s Life for Score, Babe for Song).

65/92: YouTube links to the Best Song nominees:
I Can’t Let You Throw Yourself Away:
I’m Gonna Love Me Again:
I’m Standing with You:
Into the Unknown:
Stand Up:

66/92: BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Nancy Haigh (@OnceInHollywood) earns her 8th P.D. nomination, tying Dante Ferretti for the most since 1990. Dennis Gassner (@1917) receives his 7th in that timespan, remaining one behind. Haigh and Gassner teamed up to win an Oscar for Bugsy (1991).

@OnceInHollywood @1917 67/92: BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Roger Deakins (@1917) earns his 15th nomination for Best Cinematography, tying Robert Surtees for third most all-time. Only Leon Shamroy (18) and Charles Lang (18) have more.

68/92: Robert Richardson (@OnceInHollywood) is now the 11th person with 10+ nominations for Best Cinematography. If he wins his 4th trophy, he would tie Leon Shamroy and Joseph Ruttenberg for the most wins all-time.

69/92: BEST FILM EDITING
Thelma Schoonmaker (@TheIrishmanFilm) earns her 8th film editing nomination, tying her with Michael Kahn for the most all-time. If she were to win the Oscar, she would become the first editor with 4 victories.

70/92: @ParasiteMovie is the 8th foreign language film to be nominated for Best Film Editing. Others:
Z (1969)
Das Boot (1982)
Life Is Beautiful (1998)
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (2000)
City of God (2003)
Babel (2006)
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly (2007)

71/92: BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
This marks the 10th Visual Effects nomination for Dan Sudick (@Avengers: Endgame). Last year, he set a new record for most VFX nominations without a win. Roger Guyett (@StarWars) is in 3rd place on that list, achieving his 6th nomination this morning.

72/92: Robert Legato (@DisneyLionKing) is going for his 4th VFX Oscar on his 5th nomination. If he wins, that 80% rate would be the 3rd best all-time in any category (min. 4 nominations), after sound engineer Mark Berger (4/4) and costume/makeup/VFX director Richard Taylor (5/6).

73/92: BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Sandy Powell (@TheIrishmanFilm) earns her 15th Costume Design nomination, tying her with Irene Sharaff for 3rd place. Charles LeMaire had 16 nominations. And way out in front is Edith Head with 35.

@TheIrishmanFilm 74/92: This is Jacqueline Durran’s (@LittleWomen) 7th Costume Design nomination this century, behind only Sandy Powell’s 11 and Colleen Atwood’s 9. No one else has more than 3 nominations in that span.

75/92: BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
This is the first year with five Makeup/Hair nominees. The previous high was four in 1999, when Topsy-Turvy won.

76/92: BEST SOUND EDITING
This is @WylieStateman’s (@OnceInHollywood) 8th Sound Editing nomination, one shy of Richard Hymns and Alan Robert Murray for the most all-time. Stateman is still looking for his first win.

77/92: This is @MattheWood’s (@StarWars) 5th Sound Editing nomination, including Episodes 7, 8, and 9 of Star Wars. Only @WylieStateman (@OnceInHollywood) has more nominations (8) without a win.

78/92: BEST SOUND MIXING
Paul Massey (@FordvFerrari) has a chance to become the second sound mixer this century to win back-to-back Oscars, having won for Bohemian Rhapsody a year ago. Michael Minkler won for Black Hawk Down (2001) and Chicago (2002).

79/92: SHORT FILM CATEGORIES
@HairLoveShort, a contender in the Best Animated Short category, broke the record for the most money any short film (live-action or animated) has ever raised on @Kickstarter.

80/92: MULTI-CATEGORY
Total number of nominations: 124
Number of nominated films: 53
Number of categories: 24
Average nominations per film: 2.3

81/92: This year’s 124 non-honorary nominations are the most across all categories since 1956. The reason for the uptick this year was expanding the Best Makeup and Hairstyling category to five nominees.

82/92: Four films reached double-digit nominations (@JokerMovie, @1917, @TheIrishmanFilm, @OnceInHollywood). The previous record in one year was three.
1964: Mary Poppins, Becket, My Fair Lady
1977: Julia, The Turning Point, Star Wars

83/92: Four different films with the title @LittleWomen (1933, 1949, 1994, 2019) have been nominated for an Oscar, tying A Star Is Born. Three films with the title Hamlet have Oscar nominations, and all other titles are at two or lower.

@LittleWomen 84/92: Here are the nomination totals for films with more than one nomination.

85/92: Here is the complete Oscar record for the three @StarWars trilogies by episode.
Green = win. Red = loss. Yellow = TBA.

@starwars 86/92: It was a terrific morning for math, as my model's nominee predictions for @THR went 40/44, including a 9/9 sweep in Best Picture. Here is the full article: hollywoodreporter.com/news/oscar-nom…

87/92: This is the 7th Oscar ceremony without a host:
-1938 (Best Picture: You Can’t Take It with You)
-1968 (Oliver!)
-1969 (Midnight Cowboy)
-1970 (Patton)
-1988 (Rain Man)
-2018 (Green Book)
-2019 (???)

88/92: HONORARY
Geena Davis (@GDIGM) will receive the Jean Hersholt Humanitarian Award. She joins Audrey Hepburn, Elizabeth Taylor, and Angelina Jolie as the only actresses to win a competitive Oscar & the Hersholt. Davis won Supporting Actress for The Accidental Tourist (1988).

89/92: @WesleyStudi’s Honorary Award makes him the first Native American actor to receive an Academy Award.

90/92: Lina Wertmüller was the first woman nominated for Best Director for her work on Seven Beauties (1977).

91/92: Honorary Award recipient @David_Lynch is one of seven people with 3+ Director nominations and an Adapted Screenplay nomination since 1980. Others:
-Alexander Payne
-David O. Russell
-James Ivory
-Joel Coen
-Martin Scorsese
-@TheOliverStone

92/92: That wraps up my 92-part thread on the 92nd Academy Awards nominations. For more coverage:
-Follow @BensOscarMath on Twitter throughout awards season!
-Look for my predictions in The Hollywood Reporter (@THR)!
-Check out my new book, Oscarmetrics! amazon.com/Oscarmetrics-B…