1. The Communist Party would like you to believe that they are getting the coronavirus outbreak under control. Yes, the no. of recoveries has exceeded deaths; the daily tally of new infections and deaths has declined steadily since Feb. 12. But it's too soon to conclude anything.
2. Public health experts say in many epidemics, we often see more than one peak. The biggest question to me is that most of China isn't back at work yet. Read this @caixin article:
caixinglobal.com/2020-02-18/few…
caixinglobal.com/2020-02-18/few…
3. Travel bans are not sustainable. What happens when the government lifts restrictions on its people, and, most importantly, in Hubei?
4. @vwang3 takes a hard look at the numbers. nyti.ms/2V3TGfe “It could be unwise for anybody in China, or outside China, to be complacent that this is coming under control at this point in time,” said Prof. Malik Peiris, chief of virology at the University of Hong Kong.
5. The rise in cluster cases outside China is very worrying and speaks to the transmissibility of the virus. Public health experts are watching what happens outside China very closely because these cases are very well documented.
6. Experts from the Chinese University of Hong Kong looked at the first 56 confirmed cases in Hong Kong and discovered there was an average delay of 6.5 days from the onset of symptoms to the person being isolated -- they could have infected many others during that time.
7. In some cases, the patient wasn't isolated until two weeks after symptoms emerged, CUHK co-author Kwok Kin-on told journalists. rfa.org/english/news/c…
8. There's a lot we don't know about the virus. But we know how we can reduce the risk of infectious diseases: Wash your hands. Don't touch your eyes and nose. Avoid mass gatherings.
9. @niubi is right when he says: Watch what the government does, not what it says. When it says it's fine for people to go back to school and work and travel freely, I'll be more reassured.
10. Some 330 million (!) migrant workers are not back at work yet. Of this, 100 million will return in March if the virus is brought under control, the government said. scmp.com/economy/china-…
