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News of the struggle between the free world & #China in the #IndoPacific Geo-Politics & the military balance of power Support #HongKong #Taiwan & #India
Twitter author Profile picture Balliastic Profile picture TheoryofDecadence Profile picture Twitter author Profile picture Bijay Agrawal Profile picture 14 added to My Authors
27 Sep
1) All out war broke out this morning between #Azerbaijan & #Armenia after Azerbaijan launched an offensive along the entire Line of contact between Azerbaijan and disputed Artsakh (Nogorno Karabagh).

#Turkish UAVs & mercenaries from #Syria are also involved in the offensive. Image
2) #Armenia has declared martial law and total military mobilization following clashes with Azerbaijan over the Nagorno-Karabakh region, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan said on Sunday. (Reuters)

#Armenia deploys ‘BM-30 Smerch’ MLRS on the border👇 Image
3) Video showing an #Azerbaijan Army T-72 tank getting destroyed by an anti-tank missile fired by the #Armenian Army
Read 25 tweets
27 Sep
" #India Has Doubled or Tripled Its Troops Near the #LAC; Can Easily Cross Into #China In A Few Hours": Retired #Chinese General Warns the #PLA

He said China should be on alert for surprise attacks from the #Indian Army.
swarajyamag.com/news-brief/ind…
In an article published on Li Jian, retired Chinese lieutenant-general Wang Hongguang said India only needs 50,000 soldiers to “maintain” the LAC but it has “added 100,000 more soldiers in Ladakh” instead of withdrawing troops.
“India has doubled or tripled its troops near the Line of Actual Control; they are mostly stationed within 50km of Chinese territory, and they could easily cross into China in a few hours,” he said, saying China should be on alert for surprise attacks from the Indian Army.
Read 4 tweets
26 Sep
" #India Has Doubled or Tripled Its Troops Near #LAC; Can Easily Cross Into #China In A Few Hours": Retired #Chinese General Warns #PLA

swarajyamag.com/news-brief/ind…
In an article published on Li Jian, retired Chinese lieutenant-general Wang Hongguang said India only needs 50,000 soldiers to “maintain” the LAC and that it has “added 100,000 more soldiers in Ladakh” instead of withdrawing troops.
In a warning to the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), a retired Chinese army officer has said that the Indian Army has “doubled or tripled” its troops near the Line of Actual Control (LAC) and could “easily cross into China in a few hours”.
Read 5 tweets
26 Sep
Food shortages in #China might push #XiJinping to take drastic actions against #Taiwan and elsewhere

China has encountered a perfect storm of disasters this year. On top of the pandemic, torrential rains have destroyed 6 million hectares of farmland.
economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/internati…
China is believed to be on the brink of a major food shortage, which might trigger a strategic contest over food security and push Chinese President Xi Jinping already under intense pressure, toward drastic measures, potentially spelling trouble for Taiwan & others.
On top of the COVID-19 pandemic, torrential rains have caused catastrophic flooding in the Yangtze River basin, China’s largest agricultural region. Floodwaters are estimated to have destroyed the crops on 6 million hectares of farmland.
Read 4 tweets
25 Sep
#US #China feud escalates as #American diplomat accuses Communist Party of turning ‘local epidemic into global pandemic’

Trump has repeatedly blamed America’s geo-strategic rival over spread of coronavirus
independent.co.uk/news/world/ame…
US-China relations took another blow on Thursday when an American diplomat accused China of covering up the origins of the coronavirus pandemic during a heated United Nations (UN) Security Council meeting.
Kelly Craft, US ambassador to the UN, said Communist Party officials actively suppressed knowledge of the virus, which has gone on to claim hundreds of thousands of lives and cripple economies across the globe.
Read 4 tweets
25 Sep
New Intelligence: #Chinese Copy Of #USNavy’s Unmanned Sea Hunter USV

A picture on Chinese social media sheds light on a Chinese project to develop a drone-ship remarkably simila to the US Navy’s Sea Hunter trimaran

The Chinese copy machine never rests...
navalnews.com/naval-news/202…
The uncrewed Sea Hunter has been designed under the Continuous Trail Unmanned Vessel (ACTUV) program. The uncrewed surface vessel’s (USV) primary mission is to track quiet diesel electric submarines. It is designed to ‘lock on’ to a submarine and trail it continuously.
Compared to the Sea Hunter, the Chinese vessel is slightly longer (based on measurements in satellite images) and wider. So it may have a higher displacement. It is narrower overall however due to the closer placed trimaran outriggers.
Read 6 tweets
24 Sep
The #USNavy Has Drifted Badly Off Course

Over the last 4 years, the Navy’s civilian leaders failed to define a compelling vision for the Navy’s future, reform a broken ship design & acquisition system, or build a diverse, high-performing leadership team.
defenseone.com/ideas/2020/09/…
The last three major surface warship programs have been disasters.

The construction of the USS Ford aircraft carrier has been plagued with delays, cost overruns, and technology failures.
The hyper-expensive Zumwalt-class destroyer program was cancelled after construction of three prototypes, not the 30 originally planned, because the costly ships serve no clear naval purpose.
Read 4 tweets
24 Sep
As #US Views Of #China Grow More Negative, #Chinese Support For Their Government Rises

Popular satisfaction with the Chinese state has grown since the central government quickly brought the pandemic under control through sometimes brutal methods😲🤦
npr.org/2020/09/23/913…
Negative US opinion extends to Chinese firms as well. An August poll of 2,200 US adults led by Morning Consult, found over half of respondents "saw China as a 'major threat' to America's technology and innovation, making it the country with the highest-perceived threat level"
In China, though, the coronavirus pandemic appears to have solidified public approval for the government — even after an early outpouring of public anger. "Surprisingly, [the coronavirus epidemic] actually increased people's satisfaction and support for their government."
Read 5 tweets
24 Sep
#China Is Paying a High Price for Provoking #India

For #XiJinping, the COVID-19 pandemic seemed like an ideal opportunity to make quick progress on his expansionist agenda.

By provoking India, he may have bitten off more than he can chew. By @Chellaney
project-syndicate.org/commentary/chi…
It wasn’t nearly as clever a plan as Xi probably thought. Far from entrenching China’s regional preeminence, it has intensified the pushback by Indo-Pacific powers, which have deepened their security cooperation.
Xi’s real miscalculation on the Himalayan border was vis-à-vis India, which has now abandoned its appeasement policy toward China.

India is ready to fight. It has now matched Chinese military deployments along the frontier & activated its entire logistics network for winter.
Read 4 tweets
23 Sep
#China Is Paying a High Price for Provoking #India

For #XiJinping, the COVID-19 pandemic seemed like an ideal opportunity to make quick progress on his expansionist agenda.

But by provoking India, he may have bitten off more than he can chew.
project-syndicate.org/commentary/chi…
It wasn’t nearly as clever a plan as Xi probably thought. Far from entrenching China’s regional preeminence, it has intensified the pushback by Indo-Pacific powers, which have deepened their security cooperation.
Xi’s real miscalculation on the Himalayan border was vis-à-vis India, which has now abandoned its appeasement policy toward China.

India is ready to fight. It has now matched Chinese military deployments along the frontier & activated its entire logistics network for winter.
Read 4 tweets
23 Sep
#SouthChinaSea: Duterte’s #UN speech defending award wins praise – even from critics

While the move is welcomed, one expert says the speech won't change the status quo & could be a way to divert attention from domestic woes

A good read from @raissawriter
scmp.com/print/week-asi… Image
Mounting domestic pressure led Duterte to make his most strident defence yet of a 2016 arbitration ruling in favour of the Philippines’ claims in the South China Sea, as critics of the leader welcomed his maiden speech before the UN General Assembly on Tuesday.
“The Award is now part of international law, beyond compromise and beyond the reach of passing governments to dilute, diminish or abandon,” Duterte said in a pre-recorded speech aired in New York on Tuesday.
Read 4 tweets
23 Sep
The #USNavy Has Drifted Badly Off Course

Over the last 4 years, the Navy’s civilian leaders failed to define a compelling vision for the Navy’s future, reform a broken ship design & acquisition system, or build a diverse, high-performing leadership team.
defenseone.com/ideas/2020/09/…
The last three major surface warship programs have been disasters.

The construction of the USS Ford aircraft carrier has been plagued with delays, cost overruns, and technology failures.
The hyper-expensive Zumwalt-class destroyer program was cancelled after construction of three prototypes, not the 30 originally planned, because the costly ships serve no clear naval purpose.
Read 4 tweets
23 Sep
#IndiaChinaFaceOff: Worst-case scenario becoming 'new normal' in eastern #Ladakh?

Beyond the winter that has arrived at the high-altitude standoff zones in Ladakh, there is a growing view that the current border situation is solidifying into a new normal.
indiatoday.in/news-analysis/…
This was most manifested in the 13-hour talks held Monday between Indian and Chinese delegations in Chushul-Moldo. In a meeting that was literally a non-stop litany of divergences on specific demands from both sides, the two delegations emerged without any point of agreement.
While India hadn't pinned any hopes on a 'breakthrough' in the talks, there is little or no comfort in the oft-repeated belief that the very fact that talks are still happening is a good thing, and perhaps the only thing preventing the outbreak of a shooting war.
Read 5 tweets
23 Sep
#China 'must back off', says #Taiwan

Taiwan on Tuesday demanded that China "back off" and accused it of threatening peace, after a #Beijing official rejected a largely respected marine boundary following recent incursions.
dailymail.co.uk/wires/afp/arti…
Foreign minister Joseph Wu urged Beijing to "return to the civilised international standards" after a Chinese foreign ministry spokesman said there was no so-called median line in the Taiwan Strait "as Taiwan is an inseparable part of Chinese territory".
Wu told reporters: "The median line has been a symbol of preventing military conflicts and maintaining peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait for many years. The Chinese foreign ministry's comment is equivalent of destroying the status quo."
Read 4 tweets
22 Sep
#India, #China agree to stop sending more troops to frontlines in bid to defuse #LAC tensions

To agree is one thing, but for China to actually do it, that's a very different story......
timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/india-ch…
Military commanders from India and China have agreed to "stop sending more troops" to their disputed Himalayan border after high-level talks between the nuclear-armed neighbours, New Delhi said late Tuesday.
Military commanders have held several rounds of talks aimed at easing tensions following the June incident, with the sixth held on Monday. Little progress appears to have been made so far.
Read 4 tweets
22 Sep
#China lectures #Zimbabwe on environmental duty & transparency after Zimbabwe last week reversed its decision to license #Chinese companies to mine Hwange national park.

The licences were cancelled after dozens of elephants died from bacterial infection.
scmp.com/news/china/dip…
Zimbabwe last week banned 2 Chinese companies – Zhongxin Coal Mining Group & Afrochine Smelting – it had previously licensed for coal exploration at the Hwange national park after environmentalists took the government to court to avoid “ecological degradation” in parks.
“We don’t need new coal mines. Protecting biodiversity is vital for people, for the planet,” Andersen said.

The licences were cancelled last week, days after dozens of elephants died at the park from suspected bacterial infection.
Read 4 tweets
22 Sep
#US Army Journal calls for return to US bases in #Taiwan to raise cost of #Chinese invasion

Captian Walker D. Mills of the U.S. Marine Corps argues that this is necessary to make the U.S. government's stance clear to avoid a miscalculation with China.
taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4014519
Walker argues that China's intentions are difficult to predict and that the U.S. miscalculated in the case of the Korea War when it believed the communist country would not get involved.
He said that after the removal of U.S. bases in 1979 and the severing of the military alliance between the two countries, the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act put in place afterward made the nature of the relationship between the U.S. and Taiwan more ambiguous.
Read 4 tweets
22 Sep
Prominent critic of #China's coronavirus response Ren Zhiqiang jailed for 18 years

A #Chinese real estate developer who publicly called #XiJinping a "clown" for his handling of the pandemic has been sentenced to 18 years in prison in a corruption case.
sbs.com.au/news/prominent…
Ren Zhiqiang, who had become known for speaking up about censorship and other sensitive topics, disappeared from public view in March after publishing an essay online that accused Mr Xi of mishandling the outbreak that began in December in the central city of Wuhan.
Mr Ren labelled Xi a "clown" over a speech he made detailing the government's pandemic response on 23 February. He also said the speech revealed a “crisis of governance” within the party & that a lack of free press & speech had prevented the outbreak from being tackled sooner.
Read 4 tweets
22 Sep
In 3 Years, #China Doubled Air Bases, Heliports Along #India Border: Important Report

According to the report, China has ''started constructing at least 13 entirely new military positions near its borders with India". A massive build up.
ndtv.com/india-news/in-…
The 2017 Doklam crisis ''appears to have shifted China's strategic objectives, with China more than doubling its total number of air bases, air defence positions and heliports near the Indian border over the past three years".
China's upgrade of its military infrastructure is far from complete. "The expansion of military infrastructure is in most cases still underway, so the Chinese military activity that we are seeing along the border with India today is only the beginning of a longer-term intent".
Read 7 tweets
21 Sep
#Taiwan will 'definitely fire back' if fired upon by #China

#Taiwanese fighter jets will not fire first but will definitely fire back if China attacks: MND official

The Air Force is training its pilots not to take the first shot & avoid acting recklessly
taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4013459
In response to a recent wave of incursions by Chinese warplanes into Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ), the Air Force is training its pilots not to take the first shot, saying that if attacked, "We will definitely fire back."
The source said that in light of the recent encroachment of Taiwan's ADIZ, the military's approach is to avoid acting recklessly, as it is impossible to judge the true intentions behind their adversaries' movements.
Read 4 tweets
21 Sep
Will #Thailand’s bid to bypass Strait of Malacca ever be built & will #China play a part?

The Kra Canal idea linking the Indian & Pacific oceans goes back over 300 years. Bangkok is now studying a ‘land bridge’ instead

Sorry China, no canal for your navy
scmp.com/print/week-asi… Image
Instead of a canal, the country’s cabinet on Tuesday approved a 68 million baht (US$2.2 million) feasibility study to look into a rail and highway link that would potentially connect two deep water ports to be built on either side of the isthmus.
Transport Minister Saksiam Chidchob told Bloomberg last month the 100km land bridge would replace the canal project, which would cause too much destruction to the environment.
Read 4 tweets