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The range of possible futures ahead of us is vertigo-inducing. I can imagine a world where we lock down and manage to flatten the curve and get a handle on things in a few weeks and take it from there and a world where this is something we live with for a year.
I think there’s data and expertise to support both, though bulk of public health experts are more in the latter camp.

But the big questions right now are: when and if Italy flattens and what’s on the other side of their curve *and*
Does China see another outbreak as it opens back up?

We don’t have answers to either.
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