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Cases Deaths Population Deaths/million
Italy: 86,498 9,134 60 million 152
U.S.: 101,657 1,581 230 million 7

Which country would you rather be in right now, Chris?
You're a poor excuse for a 'journalist.'
Corrected:
Cases Deaths Population Deaths/million
Italy: 86,498 9,134 60 million 152
Spain: 64,285 4,940 47 million 106
U.K.: 14,745 761 64 million 12
U.S.: 101,657 1,581 330 million 5
Proactive mitigation measures are in place now. For the most part they are similar to those in European countries. The difference in the U.S. is three-fold:
a) we started earlier
b) we have a better quality emergency healthcare system
c) we have a higher hospital ICU capacity
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More from @bansisharma see all

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Bansi Sharma
@bansisharma
Gov. Cuomo announced this today.
Look forward to results.
NY Stats
Two Days Don't A Trend Make; BUT ...

New York just might have turned a corner (fingers crossed).

Number of new hospitalizations as well as the number of new ICU admissions has gone down over the last two days.

If this trend continues, NY has enough ventilators already to cope.
Read 3 tweets
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Bansi Sharma
@bansisharma
We shouldn't exaggerate the threat of coronavirus if we have facts and reason to adjust our thinking.

At the same time, let us not hide behind the 'pre-existing conditions' (i.e. comorbidities) to explain away deaths that would not have happened for years without coronavirus.
Facts as I understand them. Coronavirus is:

a) extremely deadly if you are over 80.
b) vanishingly non-fatal if you are healthy and below 50.
c) very dangerous to people with comorbidities at any age.

The set of people that fall into that (c) category is very large.
We have ~6 million people over age 80. With great care, it should be relatively easy to isolate them from being infected.

Not so easy to isolate non-elderly people with comorbidities for any length of time, because their numbers are enormous.
Read 5 tweets
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Bansi Sharma
@bansisharma
1. Case Against Wholesale Lockdown

There are honest differences of opinion between those advocating for a wholesale national lockdown, or alternatively broad-scale regional lockdowns, and those advocating for minimalist and/or no lockdowns but only diligent mitigation measures.
2. Both sides have their hearts and minds in the right place. I believe the difference is predominantly in the the underlying assumptions each side makes. I have vacillated between the two sides as new information emerges.
3. In this thread I will make the case against lockdowns and explicitly state the assumptions the case is based on. If the assumptions are false, then the conclusion will be false too. I intend to catalyze a discussion about the assumptions, not about the conclusion.
Read 19 tweets

Related threads

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Dr. Dena Grayson
@DrDenaGrayson
⚠️#Italy reports 793 new #coronavirus deaths, its biggest single-day increase. #COVID cases total >53,000 with >4,800 dead, and the rate of increase keeps growing with >50% of cases and deaths in the past week.

“Bodies have piled up in churches.”😰

nytimes.com/2020/03/21/wor…
While #coronavirus cases and deaths in #Italy keep growing, the curve appears to be flattening.

Italy locked down its north on 3/8 when it had 7,375 #COVID19 cases and 366 deaths.

On 3/11, the whole country was locked down: 12,462 cases and 827 deaths.

📸@jburnmurdoch
Apologies, here is the latest chart of #coronavirus cases, via @jburnmurdoch.

Read 6 tweets
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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
Right well, the most historic day in parliament since the last one is about to kick off. You can follow along here parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/ff…
I'll be covering it, ageing in real time, pretty much throughout, apart from when I dash out for vaping, Gregg's sausage rolls, and eventually probably gin and tonics.
Loads of shit to get through before the crucial debate. It's basically a timetable from the depths of hell.
Read 284 tweets
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Antonello Guerrera
@antoguerrera
Why the Italian populist government has basically collapsed, why Salvini (League) & Di Maio (5 Star Movement) were destined to break up and why the next general election will be decisive for the future of #Italy - and Europe.

A short thread (like when I used to work in Italy😊)
1. First of all, I was one of the very first commentators in Italy predicting a coalition between Di Maio and Salvini despite it sounded absurd then, getting many critics for that.()

So, when I say it was destined to break up, it's for a different reason.
2. Secondly, to be clear, the high speed railway TAV dispute (in some way similar to the British HS2) is just the tipping point of longstanding crisis between the two coalition parties. TAV surely sparked the ultimate crisis but Salvini and Di Maio were incompatible on much more.
Read 30 tweets
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Antonello Guerrera
@antoguerrera
How #Italy has plunged into the maybe worst political crisis of its recent history and why this man below, one of the most xenophobic & eurosceptic leaders, Matteo Salvini, is the real winner so far and might become the game changer of Italian politics in the future. THREAD 🇮🇹
1. Let's start from the second point. Why a far right leader like Salvini, who distinguished himself in the past for his rash and violent attacks against migrants and Europe, is supposed to gain more votes and getting more and more decisive in the next months? Let's see.
#Italy
2. First reason of all: the worldwide populist Zeitgeist. Ok, but there are many more specific reasons related to Italy and what happened in the last few months. In a few words, Salvini has won all his political bets, so far. And he is getting more and more influential.
#Italy
Read 34 tweets
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Antonello Guerrera
@antoguerrera
What is going on in #Italy after March 4th elections and the subsequent political deadlock? A quick and concise update on the thrilling party negatiotions/talks that officially started yesterday. Thread coming up shortly. 🇮🇹
1. Here I am (sorry I had to get some food at the 24h supermarket 😊). Well, the deadlock stays but there are some very interesting news that, at least, keep new elections at bay for now. And, beside the M5S-LEGA populist liaison, there is a new potential alliance at sight
#Italy
2. But let’s go through it. The first thing is that M5S populist and young leader Di Maio has explicitly opened to an alliance either with right-wing LEGA or with centre-left PD (Renzi’s party). “Let’s make a coalition pact like in Germany” Di Maio said.
#Italy
Read 17 tweets
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Antonello Guerrera
@antoguerrera
Hello all. Sorry for the late hour, but I wanted to give you just some quick updates on #Italy’s political deadlock. As I had hinted here in the past, despite many discarded it in the 1st place, a sort of “populist” collaboration between LEGA and M5S is more likely
I tell you why
1. Today LEGA leader Salvini and M5S leader Di Maio had a phone call. It is the 1st actual, concrete contact between the two after #Italyelection2018, after pretending to ignore each other. It was “a frank and kind call”, they said. But what did they discuss on the phone?
2. Well, according to official statements, they primarily discussed the question of the two Parliaments speakers (House of reps + Senate, it is the first stel after elections), stressing the fact that the matter is “unrelated” to the formation of a potential government
#Italy
Read 23 tweets

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