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1/4 #GOC modelling numbers help us to visualise how the epidemic might unfold over the coming months, so we can plan accordingly. Predicted outcomes (best-case vs. worst-case scenarios) of these models are dependant on our actions. #COVID19 #StayHome bit.ly/2wpzsCu
2/4 The numbers are hard to bear but knowing what the options are, I know we are all convinced that crushing this epidemic curve is the right way out of a bad trajectory. #FlattentheCurve ➡️ #PlanktheCurve #CrushtheCurve bit.ly/3ecOEUw
3/4 This is because our actions (#publichealth measures, #StayHome, #PhysicalDistancing) are key parameters or assumptions used in the model to predict future outcomes, like the rate of growth/direction of the #COVID19 epidemic trajectory. #PlanktheCurve
4/4 Accuracy of a model’s predicted outcome (e.g. a best-case scenario curve) depends on how strictly we follow measures to #SlowTheSpread of #COVID19. One thing is clear: If we want a best-case scenario outcome, we have to give our best effort. #TeamCanada
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