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THREAD about some of the #economic/#technology chatter we’re hearing from the media/public/govt while the #China-#India boundary situation has been playing out 1/
For one, there are once again calls in India to boycott Chinese products (seen these before, including during Doklam) with hashtags like #boycottmadeinchina, #boycottchina and #boycottchinesegoods. Also saw these recently when COVID-related anti-China sentiment was peaking 2/
The boycott calls have been spurred to some extent by Sonam Wangchuk (inspiration for Aamir Khan’s character in 3 Idiots), who has called for a #GrabYourWallet response by Indians. Some “influencers” have since claimed they have deleted Chinese apps 3/
indianexpress.com/article/trendi…
There have also been reports of Chinese app TikTok trying to block some related content in India. Comedian Saloni Gaur, for instance, said her video (bit.ly/3ch0lri) was blocked (then unblocked) & she’s reconsidering using the TikTok platform 4/
Meanwhile, an app “Remove China Apps,” which claims to ID & help remove Chinese apps on smartphones, has become the no. 1 most downloaded free app on the Google Play Store in India (worth noting that TikTok remains among the top 5). 5/
gadgets.ndtv.com/apps/news/remo…
The desirability/feasibility of boycotting Chinese goods has been much debated in India. And it continues to be the subject of discussion, including on news channels… 6/
China/economic angle goes beyond the public. On Modi govt policies of the last yr, Home Minister @AmitShah just noted the opposition to RCEP (which he linked to China in Nov 2019) & mentioned China’s “role in the coronavirus situation” as reinforcing the RCEP decision 7/
From the Chinese side, Global Times has said that if “India leans toward US,” Sino-Indian economic ties “will suffer a devastating blow” that “the crippling Indian economy cannot afford.” But China might offer support if India behaved "rationally" 8/
globaltimes.cn/content/119009…
During Doklam, we saw calls for boycotts, & GT & China Daily assert it’d hurt India more. Chinese emb said sthg similar in 2016, implying boycotts cld -vely impact Indian mkt access in China, Chinese investment in India, & broader bilateral relations
livemint.com/Politics/qKjD4… 9/
These calls and threats are coming, of course, on the heels of India's decision on greater scrutiny for Chinese FDI (and potentially FPI reut.rs/3gfnXQ2) 10/
Serious move away from Chinese apps/tech cld be impactful given IN mkt size. But whether boycotts are feasible or not, boundary + coronavirus situation is likely to reinforce Indian concerns abt econ dependence on China & shape views on Huawei/5G (that were already hardening) 11/
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Tanvi Madan
@tanvi_madan
THREAD: Referenced in the Indian defence minister's interview today, here's spring 1998 iview w/ India DefMin George Fernandes, where he was v blunt (& prescient) abt China.

Q: China is potential danger no. 1?
A: Potential threat no. 1, shall we say.
1/
1998. Def Min Fernandes: there's reluctance to face the reality that China’s intentions need to be questioned..
Q: What is this reluctance due to?
A: ..primarily rooted in having to face the challenges which accepting this situation or this reality will kind of confront u with 2/ Image
In the 1998, Fernandes agreed that "Chinese military activities are beginning to encircle India." Mentioned:
- nukes, Sukhois, elongated airfields in Tibet,
- nuclear, missile know-how to Pak
- training Burmese military
- Coco Isl facilities
- Harbor construction in Burma 3/
Read 11 tweets
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Tanvi Madan
@tanvi_madan
THREAD. On the rhetoric we've seen - or not seen - from China & India during the ongoing boundary tensions.

Bottom line: thus far, both govts have largely been restrained in their rhetoric. This is a good thing & a contrast from Doklam/2017 when Beijing's stmts were v heated 1/
1st, recapping what we've seen from the two sides. The Indian govt has said v little on the record about the 🇨🇳🇮🇳 boundary situation. What it has said has been either reiteration of India's stance & C-I mechanisms or downplaying the situation or even attempts to be even-handed 2/
Initially, there was this statement from the Indian army chief re the two earlier incidents in early May. It was striking cuz of its acknowledgment of "aggressive behavior" on both sides, & trying to keep it local (& de-link it w/ other China-rel steps) 3/
Read 25 tweets
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Tanvi Madan
@tanvi_madan
THREAD: On the US govt's response to the China-India boundary incidents & how India will see it.

In some ways, US is faced w/ a Catch-22:
- say nothing & Indians (esp US sceptics) say, "what kind of partner are you?"
- say something & GoI worries abt its escalatory potential 1/
We've seen 2 comments thus far from Amb. Alice Wells, PDAS @State_SCA re the PRC-IN situation. One was yesterday morning, where she called China's behavior "disturbing" & representative of its broader actions (SCS) & how it uses its power 2/
news18.com/news/world/us-…
The second (lengthier) comment from Amb. Wells came in a conversation with @RichardRVerma yday afternoon. 3/
Read 14 tweets

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