A detailed analysis on Twitter war amid recent #Armenia-#Azerbaijan border medium.com/dfrlab/patriot…
1M tweets of pro-Azeri hashtags, highly artificial & manipulated VS 31K of pro-Armenian organic flow.
Roots of artificial tweets flood takes to #AliyevJugend#Ireli youth movement.
Hashtags analyzed using Coefficient of Traffic Manipulation, tool developed by @DFRLab.
"pro-#Armenia tags displayed ebb & flow in mentions volume more characteristic of organic traffic, while pro-#Azerbaijan tags demonstrated sharp peaks — mostly consisting of retweets at 2pm"
Organic flow rate must be below 12 (like pro-#Armenia hashtags did), while #Ireli hashtags scored up to 60. Bunch of fake new registered users posted same anti-#Armenia messages thousands of times, faking effect of mass support to #Azerbaijan.
A retweets/like group was found related to #Azerbaijan General Union to Youth for Support (GUYS) organization, that recruits volunteer work online. Guy on screen is the founder.
Same manipulation committed multiple times in #Azerbaijan & #Armenia votes, border clashes, initiate pseudo public support in a nastiest miserable way.
Tons of them tweeted those hashtags in my page these days in every comment. Shall we fight this at all or just ignore or report?
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#Armenia says, #Azerbaijan shelled #Stepanakert & outskirts.
Then Azerbaijan says, Karabakh shell #Ganja.
Then Armenia says, Azerbaijan shells Khnatsakh, Artsvanik & David Bek (Armenia). 2 drones are downed in Armenia.
No shelling for some days. So who started this now?
#Azerbaijan media shares vid of #Armenia|n Grad in action, claim Armenians target Ganja & Mingechaur.
Armenian Grad has 20km range.
Distance to Ganja: 40km, Mingechaur: 50+.
I trust @ShStepanyan. And there are more important targets, than civilian houses.
One of the most dangerous aspects of war - is endless cycle of revenges. Murder, and revenge, and revenge for revenge, w/ no end. Previous war revenges had already passed away in 30 yrs. No we are gaining new ones. And why is this for? For #Aliyev revanchism?
#Azerbaijan killed 2 #Armenia|n captives, likely #Hadrut district. Video shows an old & a younger man are ordered to approach to Azeri soldiers w/ hands in the air. Next video shows both, old man face covered w/ blood, but moving. Then soldiers gunshot them.
"Families gathered at #Syria-#Turkey border, waiting for drivers to dispense 52 Syrian men bodies, killed in war 600m away. They were mercenaries, recruited by Turkey-backed militias to fight on behalf of #Azerbaijan against #Armenia, relatives said" washingtonpost.com/world/middle_e…
And another flight route to Baku from Bagram, #Afghanistan these day. Afghanistan is very likely provides mercenaries/weaponry to #Azerbaijan.
Air siren wailing in #Stepanakert. Video taken from the open-air cafe, I always go when visiting #Karabakh.
Streets empty, people are in basements under air strike.
This woman's father, husband, brother and son are at front line. They are safe and brave. It's a war. We are going to win like in previous war, she says.