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Navroop Singh Profile picture
@TheNavroopSingh
Sep 13, 2020 • 3 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
#DonaldTrump (@realDonaldTrump )is the probably one of the rarest American presidents who hasnt started a war like his predecessors like Obama, Bush or Clinton. Instead he has hearlded a new era in thw Middle East brokering peace between #Israel & #UAE and #Bahrain.
Initiating a dialogue with #KimJongUn of North Korea. To give credit his clarity of #ForeignPolicy has been umatched as he goes after #China something which is broadly supported in #India #Japan #Taiwan #Australia & #Vietnam.
Last but not the least he has even initiated peace talks with #Taliban to end the #AfghanWar !!

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More from @TheNavroopSingh

Navroop Singh Profile picture
Apr 27
This has full blessings of DC Deep State & My Best Friend, egging Asim Munir to do it and then pretending being neutral. Using American Hindus to tweet & be pro India.

American motives are clear to destroy China's access to Gulf Region, from Iran Coast to Gwadar to Myanmar. Bandar Abbas, Gwadar (BLA & TTP) & Myanmar rebels groups.

Our best friend in ME Is known to hire terror groups in Balochistan to target Iran. For them BLA & TTP is a fair play to incite Munir to go after Indian Targets in Kashmir. Helps DC out to forment chaos on Gulf shorline from Iran to Pakistan, disrupt CPEC & draw China in a Indo-Pak escalation to blow apart Indo-China detente.

The only beneficiary of chaos in South Asia is USA & its permanent aircraft carrier in Middle East. If India is smart it won't fall for a full scale war & if China is smart it would stay out of it quiet. Both are looking to do exactly the same.

Our interests do not converge with China on BRI & CPEC but a full scale conflict and standoff is a no go zone. Bibi's PR managers doing a YouTube video & Western Osnit handles are dead give away hyping for an eventual conflict.
I have discussed this with @iAsura_ in our podcast which should be released soon Post editing. Its nothing new even Queen Victoria's main aim was to stop Russian Empire's access to Persian Gulf. Thats been Anglo American aim for a century now.

South Asia has been a victim of the #GreatGame ! It doesn't mean India should not Retaliate. It should keep all options open but without getting dragged into a full scale kinetic conflict. All options must be used on table to turn the terror tap off. Stay solid with ur government & defence establishment.
If India gets into a full scale war now its economy drags, budgets go haywire and CPEC will be a target in POJK. That might make China intervene. Blowing up Indian Detente with China in Ladakh and possible supply chains squeeze on manufacturing.

This benefits USA, if China intervenes India will get fully titled towards USA with F35s on table. If China doesn't intervene Pak is smashed, CPEC dented. Either way China is a loser in this and USA a big gainer.

Also if China intervenes the trade between two countries of critical supply chains may get impacted forcing many American companies to near-shore & re-shore in America's rather than ally shoring in India.

Watch it carefully, retaliate for sure but in a manner where it hits them hard, economically, ecologically and limited targeted cross border action not going beyond an escalation threshold to invite a full scale conflict.
Read 4 tweets
Navroop Singh Profile picture
Mar 5
What is Trump’s strategy with this MadMan tactics of Tariffs ! Lets decode the plan & risks involved:

1) US has 7 Trillion $ of Debt which it has to pay in next 6 months in 2025. If the US cannot pay then it has to get it Refinanced.

2) Certainly Trump Admin does not want it Refinanced when 10 Year yield is at 4.8%. Scott Bessent would like to see it at around 3% 10 yield for refinancing debt.

3) For that need to bring down the 10 year yield.

4) DOGE needs to cut federal spending & outlays

5) Drill Oil & get OPEC+ to boost Oil Output which would counter balance any inflation Tariffs may induce.

6) Tariffs increase volatility in the markets, the madman tactics make investors dump risky assets like Equity and shift to long term UST Bonds.

6) As long term bonds buying increases, yields go down, while market crashes/corrects.

7) Federal Expenditure Cuts, Softening labour market during slowing economy, Inflation collapse due to bearish Crude makes the Fed Pivot to cut rates.

8) Fear of recession, de-growth, low inflation, rising unemployment, falling 10 years yields mean Fed gets room to cut Rates.

9) Fed Cuts rates, American debts get renewed at lower interest rates which reduces further issuances.

10) Bessent is aiming for

2-2.5% inflation,
3-3.5% 10 year UST yield
2.5-3.5% GDP Growth
2.75-3% Deficit/GDP
1-1.5 % Fed Funds Rate

11) Another factor which could be deflationary is Adoption of AI as it increases productivity but reduces the usage of Manpower. AI trend is Deflationary overall.

12) Thus an AI boom is on the Horizon & Deep Seek actually helps achieve those conditions. Now think what you want but these AI models were released based on NVIDIA GPUs much like Deep Seek V2 will also be.

13) Tariffs have other motives too like to re-balance trade deficit & stop currency devaluation.

14) The Twin Objective is to Re-Industrialise America & decrease the deficit.

15) Deficit part we talked about. Re-Industrialisation is done via capex but for capex cost of servicing debt needs to come down & DOGE needs to make Government leaner.

16) For Re-Industrialisation of America -

◼️Create Sovereign Wealth Fund & Monetise the Asset side of US Balance Sheets.
◼️Give tax cuts to corporates & middle class to cushion blow of markets & temporary pain.
◼️Nudge PVT sector to start investments & incentivise investment in America
◼️Cut Deficit & cost of servicing debt.
◼️Aim for a Mara Lago Accord to Devalue Dollar making American exports cheaper and competitive.
◼️Capital Controls & mandating re-investment a portion of profits in USA by American Corporates

17) However these short term pain in markets, jobs, unemployment to get DXY to weaken, 10 Year yield to come down and Fed to cut rates are frought with too many risks

🔶 Foreign Countries retaliate US with tariffs & consumer’s suffer leading to decline in GDP growth.
🔶Inflation goes out of hand remains sticky due to Tariffs & Tax Cuts.
🔶Countries flatly refuse to co-operate to Devalue of Dollar
🔶 A Stock market crash wiping out trillions of dollars might shake up confidence in US Economy leading to a rollback or a pause in Tariffs.

18) All this could prolong the short term pain as too many variables need to fall in line for a smooth operation to rescue American Economy

19) And if even one things misfires, it a could lead to a recession (looks less as of now) & that could blow up for Trump in Mid-Terms as he has a window of 1 year to act & act fast.

20) So kindly bear with disruption for Short Term unless Trump Admnst screws up its implementation & we all are royally fucked.

21) Meantime, Global Economies suffer along with USA, markets will stay volatile for next few months.

22) US markets will go in correction while Fed rate cuts & Tax Cuts would induce more discretionary spending good for IT sector specially opting for Adoption of AI.Image
23) Trump’s commerce secretary has announced that a compromise with Mexico & Canada may be found soon this comes post announcement of retaliatory tariffs by Canada, suspension of StarLink contract in Ontario and 3.4 trillion $ wipeout in S&P post announcement of Trade Tariffs.

24) Cutting Ukraine funding, withdrawing American troops, defunding International Bodies, winding up USAID, cutting down IRS manpower is all part of saving revenue, focus on re-building of US.

25) Its America First with American Exceptionalism in a bid to realise America’s Manifest Destiny by applying Monroe Doctrine.

26) The Madman tactics are securing only & only American interests for what be the costs for Europe or Global Economy. Its America First even if it means US bearing short term pain.

27) Goal is clear, America for Americans; rest can pay, invest and reside or just get out. We dont want freeloaders on our System.

28) A leaner Govt with an Industrialised America leading the Tech race as a Manufacturing power sitting in majestic isolation between two oceans.

29) The Wall Street gets to fund all sides of spectrum to hedge them against each other when it comes to Geo-Political conflicts or dispute.

30) America will build a system of security architecture in Indo-Pacific while reducing presence in Europe once peace deal with Russia is signed on Ukraine.

31) Use of Tariffs & Security Guarantee’s as tools to leverage support for American objectives from Mara Lago Accord, Devalued Dollar, Lesser Trade Barriers, Make in America.

32) And countries who dont co-operate will face fury of American might from Tariffs to Capital Controls to Secondary Sanctions to restricted access to American capital markets.

33) Russians are willing to work with USA, India is willing to strike trade deal, Europe is re-arming itself yet has different priorities i.e. Russia and Turkey unlike USA who sees China as the worthy challenger.

We are in for chaotic yet fascinating times. Fasten ur seatbelt’s !
Addendum:

34) Russia is also co-operating USA in OPEC+ (Saudis) increasing Crude Output moving it towards disinflationary regime with crude lowering around 60$ per barrel.

35) Putin is also negotiating as an Mediator with Iran for USA on Nuclear Issue. A Russian military team has already reached Tehran. Even Iran doesn’t want conflagration at this moment.
Read 4 tweets
Navroop Singh Profile picture
Jan 28
In one stroke CCP, disrupted the American tech industry sowing doubts & confusion by releasing a prototype build on smuggled NVIDIA Chips via Singapore.

To scale it for complex jobs it needs more NVIDIA H100 which can't be reverse engineered. Making it Open Source to disrupt the American market, sow doubt in investors about 500 Billion $ investment with this cheap prototype.

A perfect psyops targeted at Trump Admnst about to unleash Trade War and Tariffs, develop low cost AI tool to capture the market in non American bloc, attracting more investment and research into Chinese AI industry, application of it in Military technologies.

If you cant replicate or scale it, then let me disrupt it by leaking a basic prototype causing a Trillion $ dollar loss with just 5 million $. #HybridWarfare & #PsyOps at its best ! #TechWar #ColdWar2.0
Did Communists in Silicon Valley help & time it against Trump much like Communist in State Department abetted rise of CCP just after WW2. Alger Hiss & General Marshal et all !

Did the leaky establishment also collaborate in this bid to damage the Silicon Vally Czars backing Trump and his grand plans with Techno-Liberatarian elite !
#DeepSeek has been trained on Nvidia H800 but is running inference on the new home Chinese chips made by Huawei, the 910C.

Unfortunately CCP cant scale DEEPSEEK for complex tasks it will need thousands of NH100 NVIDIA GPUs and we are expecting more tighter US controls not only on China but also Singapore or any country where China can smuggle it through.

American Tech giants still control proprietary technology to innovate further but the Chinese are trying to disrupt with low scale AI which Huawei can build.

The 910Cs developed by Huawei are an alternative to the H100 GPUs. It is one of the hardest to re-engineer in Industrial Chain. 910c dont give that performance and does not have good interconnect which is critical for training.

Due to export restrictions on lithography machines which create GPUs by USA, its difficult for CCP to scale up. Yet Huawei is catching up.

Its aim is to build 920c to match B200 flagship of NVIDIA GPU. DEEPSEEK would run train on V4 model on 32k 910c. Huawei would struggle to meet demand to scale it up but the Chinese have made a statement to the world and American tech giants by launching this #HybridWarfare & #PsyOps !

We are indeed in a new era of #TechWar & AI Race. Expect #America to tighten more semiconductor chip sharing technology & controls on chips for GPUs, Data Centers.Image
Read 9 tweets
Navroop Singh Profile picture
Jun 26, 2024
The Gold thing comes out of FATF Report published in July 2015 on the growing use of gold in place of cash & traditional financial markets as a method for laundering funds as regulators & law enforcement measures have become more successful in the traditional financial markets. Image
In 2023 in Compliance with FATF mandates Govt issues fresh guidelines for Anti-money laundering, countering the financing of terrorism, and combating proliferation financing guidelines for dealers in precious metals and precious stones, 2023 qua Bullion & Diamond Trade.
As per the provisions of the PMLA, all designated Non-Financial Businesses and Professions (DNFBPs), which include dealers in precious metals and precious stones (DNMS) who are the Reporting Entities (REs),
Read 18 tweets
Navroop Singh Profile picture
Apr 14, 2024
Iran is no pushover. The IRGC and its paramilitary wing of Shia Militias took control of Iraq & Syria with help of Hezbollah, Assad & Russia eliminated ISIS & stamped down Al Nusra in Syria and the Free Syrian Army propped up by Gulf Arab States, US & Turkey.
It has militias in Yemen like Houthi’s having ballistic missiles of 1000Km + targets. Gave handful to UAE-Saudi coalition in Yemen. Blocking and targeting ships in Red Sea. Hezbollah has big network in South & Central America in drug running with drug cartels, arms supplies.
Iran now has developed Robust MIC which is also helping Russia in Ukraine with Drone capabilities, Missile Technologies and Cyber Warfare divisions. Its nuclear program is very close to achieving the Nuclear Bomb now. Has agreements with China & aiming one with Moscow.
Read 4 tweets
Navroop Singh Profile picture
Apr 14, 2024
Despite Bush considering Iran as part of Axis of Evil it had a clear policy of not targeting Iranian Generals and Personals. But then Mossad broke the understanding rather went a step further in 2007-08 recruiting Jandullah terrorist in Balochistan to target Iran.
Mossad conducted False Flag operations inside Iran via Balochistan recruiting Terrorist groups to target Iran posing as CIA agents. When Washington DC got to know of it, the Bush Administration went ballistic on activities of Mossad. CIA memos of 2007-08 reveal.
The memos detail CIA field
reports saying that Israel’s recruiting activities occurred under the nose of
U.S. intelligence officers, most notably in London, the capital of one of
Israel’s ostensible allies, where Mossad officers posing as CIA operatives met
Jundallah officials.
Read 12 tweets

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