Indiana sets its fourth single-day #coronavirus case record in eight days, topping 2,000 for the first time with 2,328. The count is inflated by about 300 cases which weren't uploaded previously due to tech issues, but would still be a record even without them.
The 7-day positivity rate, which runs a week behind, leaps to 5.8% from 5.4, as the recent surge starts hitting the average; it normally doesn't move by more than .1 or .2 in a day. It's the highest the rate has been since Aug 9. Among 1st-time patients, the rate jumps to 10.4%.
Today's batch of tests came back 7.6% positive; among 1st-time patients, it's 19.3%, the highest since May 5, when there were only about 2,500 tests. Today's update included 12,000 1st-time tests (30,000 total).
22 newly reported Indiana #coronavirus deaths bring the death toll to 3,654. @StateHealthIN has also identified one more presumptive #COVID19 death, for a total death toll of 3,887.
1,311 Hoosiers are hospitalized with #coronavirus, 44 fewer than yesterday but the 12th straight day over 1,000. Of those, 378 are in intensive care, unchanged from yesterday.

10 of the 22 newly reported deaths occurred yesterday; the others date back as far as September 24.
16 counties, three more than yesterday, have positivity averages over 10%, including four -- Fountain (20.7%), Warren, Brown and Kosciusko -- above ISDH's 15% red line.
12 of the 16 counties above 10% were rated as high (Fountain) or near-high risk on ISDH's weekly #COVID score. Brown isn't among them due to a small number of cases, despite high %; other 3 omissions reflect a 3-day gap between the daily data and those used to figure the score.
The 3 days between positivity rates reported today and those used to figure the weekly score put Gibson County in the orange near-high risk zone, even though today's average slips to 9.7%. Nine more counties are below 10% but rated orange due to high case numbers.
Owen County has Indiana's lowest positivity average at .5%.
Marion County's positivity rate edges up to 5.2%. Johnson and Hancock are over 6%, Hendricks at 3.2%, Indy's other neighbors in the 4s. The highest averages remain primarily (though not entirely) in SW, NE and western Indiana.

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More from @WIBC_EricBerman

15 Oct
.@IndyMayorJoe: local capacity limits & midnight closing order for bars and restaurants will continue. Unlike much of Indiana, Indy #coronavirus numbers aren't rising, but they aren't dropping much either, hovering at or just above 5%. @Marion_Health wants sustained rate below 5.
Hogsett reiterates recommendation, announced previously, to "get creative" with #Halloween celebrations rather than face-to-face #trickortreating.
Hogsett: "One of the great challenges of the #COVID era is putting our neighbors' health ahead of our own comfort. I can't make anyone do that, but I can and will ask."
Read 12 tweets
15 Oct
Indiana sets its third new single-day record in a week for new #coronavirus cases, with 1,962. 7.7% of today's batch of tests came back positive; among 1st-time patients, it's 18.5%. The 7-day positivity average, which runs a week behind, continues an 18-day rise, to 5.4%.
The 5.4% 7-day positivity average is the highest since September 7. The average for 1st-time patients jumps to 9.9%, the highest since May 21.
23 newly reported Indiana #coronavirus deaths bring the state's death toll to 3,632. @StateHealthIN has also identified five more presumptive #COVID19 deaths, for a total death toll of 3,864.
Read 10 tweets
14 Oct
Primarily historical #thread:

This makes 3.5 #INGov polls in the last month. The first of those got a ton of attention: the Change Research poll which showed Holcomb's lead shrinking to 6 points and Libertarian Don Rainwater pulling 24%. Since then:

1/
Change Research: Holcomb 36/Myers 30/Rainwater 24

Internal R poll (per @lerdody): Holcomb 60/Myers 21/Rainwater 6

Crowdfunded @surveyusa poll released today: Holcomb 55, Myers 25, Rainwater 10

Unspecified poll per @AttyAbdul: Holcomb "mid-50s," Myers "mid-20s," Rainwater 8

2/
Any of those polls except the first would make Holcomb a shoo-in for reelection. But all of them would make Rainwater the most successful Libertarian #INGov candidate ever. In fact, since the 1851 constitution, only one 3rd-party candidate has ever managed even 6%:

3/
Read 12 tweets
14 Oct
After skipping last week, @GovHolcomb is again holding a #coronavirus briefing, about to get underway. Among other things, he's expected to announce whether his #MaskUp order will be extended; it's currently set to expire Saturday.
Tech crew appears to have forgotten some things in the hiatus. :)
.@GovHolcomb: when we went to Stage 5 three weeks ago, #COVID numbers were trending in right direction; most counties at low risk, infection rates and hospitalizations dropping. But...
Read 30 tweets
14 Oct
1,172 new Indiana #coronavirus cases, the lowest one-day total in eight days; the last five days were the five highest ever. 6.1% of today's batch of tests came back positive, and 15.7% of 1st-time tests; both are the lowest in three days.
The 7-day positivity average, which runs a week behind, holds steady at 5.3% for a third straight day; it's the highest since Sep 8. The rate for 1st-time tests jumps to 9.6%, highest since May 27.
14 newly reported Indiana #coronavirus deaths bring the death toll to 3,609. Counting presumptive #COVID19 deaths, the total death toll is 3,836.
Read 12 tweets
5 Oct
835 new IN #coronavirus cases, fewest in six days (though Mondays are typically lower, and the 7-day average remains above 1,000 for a fifth straight day). 7 newly reported deaths bring the death toll to 3,454; counting presumptive #COVID19 deaths, the total death toll is 3,681.
The 7-day positivity average, which runs a week behind, continues an 8-day rise to 4.8%, highest in nearly 3 weeks. For 1st-time patients, the rate is 8.5%, highest since July 18. Today's batch of tests came back 5.4% positive; 11.5% among 1st-time patients.
1,019 Hoosiers are hospitalized with #coronavirus, the first time over 1,000 since August 6, and the highest total since May 31. Of those, 309 are in intensive care, the first time over 300 since August 11 and the highest total since that date.
Read 7 tweets

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