1,172 new Indiana #coronavirus cases, the lowest one-day total in eight days; the last five days were the five highest ever. 6.1% of today's batch of tests came back positive, and 15.7% of 1st-time tests; both are the lowest in three days.
The 7-day positivity average, which runs a week behind, holds steady at 5.3% for a third straight day; it's the highest since Sep 8. The rate for 1st-time tests jumps to 9.6%, highest since May 27.
14 newly reported Indiana #coronavirus deaths bring the death toll to 3,609. Counting presumptive #COVID19 deaths, the total death toll is 3,836.
.@StateHealthIN has also posted its weekly #COVID scores, combining positivity & number of cases. Pike County, in the high-risk red zone last wk due to a #nursinghome outbreak, drops to orange (moderate to high). Fountain County, w/IN's highest positivity at 23.2%, is now red.
Besides Fountain (red), 21 counties are in the orange zone; 24 counties are in blue (low risk).

3 weeks ago: 58 blue, 32 yellow, 2 orange
2 weeks ago: 56 blue, 32 yellow, 4 orange
Last week: 39 blue, 44 yellow, 8 orange, 1 red
Today: 24 blue, 46 yellow, 21 orange, 1 red
While 22 counties are scored orange or red, only 14 have positivity rates of 10% or more. 9 of the 22, including Vanderburgh, Elkhart, Delaware and Henry, are orange due to high numbers of cases. (Brown County is at 12.5% but is yellow because that reflects few cases/few tests.)
Dearborn County is in yellow despite 10.4% positivity due to the five-day gap between #COVID score data and the positivity data. Risk levels are based on Sunday's data and had Dearborn at 9.1%.
Cass County still has Indiana's highest overall per-capita infection rate, due to the outbreak at the Logansport Tyson Foods plant back in April. One in 18 residents has been infected. The county is back in orange, this time (like Pike) due to #nursinghome outbreaks.
Statewide, #longtermcare had 753 new cases in the last week (457 residents, 296 staffers); 68 of the 110 Indiana #COVID19 deaths reported this week were #LTC residents. LTC residents have accounted for 59% of Indiana's total #coronavirus deaths (not counting presumptive cases).
Broadly speaking, the orange and red counties are clustered in southwest, northeast, western and eastern Indiana. The blue (low-risk) counties are those between Indy and Lake County, and those SE and immediately SW of Indy (Marion and Lake Counties themselves are both yellow).
1,357 Hoosiers are hospitalized with #coronavirus, 69 more than yesterday and the most since May 14. Of those, 396 are in intensive care, 14 more than yesterday and the most since May 29.
Benton County has the lowest positivity average in the state at .4%.

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More from @WIBC_EricBerman

16 Oct
Indiana sets its fourth single-day #coronavirus case record in eight days, topping 2,000 for the first time with 2,328. The count is inflated by about 300 cases which weren't uploaded previously due to tech issues, but would still be a record even without them.
The 7-day positivity rate, which runs a week behind, leaps to 5.8% from 5.4, as the recent surge starts hitting the average; it normally doesn't move by more than .1 or .2 in a day. It's the highest the rate has been since Aug 9. Among 1st-time patients, the rate jumps to 10.4%.
Today's batch of tests came back 7.6% positive; among 1st-time patients, it's 19.3%, the highest since May 5, when there were only about 2,500 tests. Today's update included 12,000 1st-time tests (30,000 total).
Read 10 tweets
15 Oct
.@IndyMayorJoe: local capacity limits & midnight closing order for bars and restaurants will continue. Unlike much of Indiana, Indy #coronavirus numbers aren't rising, but they aren't dropping much either, hovering at or just above 5%. @Marion_Health wants sustained rate below 5.
Hogsett reiterates recommendation, announced previously, to "get creative" with #Halloween celebrations rather than face-to-face #trickortreating.
Hogsett: "One of the great challenges of the #COVID era is putting our neighbors' health ahead of our own comfort. I can't make anyone do that, but I can and will ask."
Read 12 tweets
15 Oct
Indiana sets its third new single-day record in a week for new #coronavirus cases, with 1,962. 7.7% of today's batch of tests came back positive; among 1st-time patients, it's 18.5%. The 7-day positivity average, which runs a week behind, continues an 18-day rise, to 5.4%.
The 5.4% 7-day positivity average is the highest since September 7. The average for 1st-time patients jumps to 9.9%, the highest since May 21.
23 newly reported Indiana #coronavirus deaths bring the state's death toll to 3,632. @StateHealthIN has also identified five more presumptive #COVID19 deaths, for a total death toll of 3,864.
Read 10 tweets
14 Oct
Primarily historical #thread:

This makes 3.5 #INGov polls in the last month. The first of those got a ton of attention: the Change Research poll which showed Holcomb's lead shrinking to 6 points and Libertarian Don Rainwater pulling 24%. Since then:

1/
Change Research: Holcomb 36/Myers 30/Rainwater 24

Internal R poll (per @lerdody): Holcomb 60/Myers 21/Rainwater 6

Crowdfunded @surveyusa poll released today: Holcomb 55, Myers 25, Rainwater 10

Unspecified poll per @AttyAbdul: Holcomb "mid-50s," Myers "mid-20s," Rainwater 8

2/
Any of those polls except the first would make Holcomb a shoo-in for reelection. But all of them would make Rainwater the most successful Libertarian #INGov candidate ever. In fact, since the 1851 constitution, only one 3rd-party candidate has ever managed even 6%:

3/
Read 12 tweets
14 Oct
After skipping last week, @GovHolcomb is again holding a #coronavirus briefing, about to get underway. Among other things, he's expected to announce whether his #MaskUp order will be extended; it's currently set to expire Saturday.
Tech crew appears to have forgotten some things in the hiatus. :)
.@GovHolcomb: when we went to Stage 5 three weeks ago, #COVID numbers were trending in right direction; most counties at low risk, infection rates and hospitalizations dropping. But...
Read 30 tweets
5 Oct
835 new IN #coronavirus cases, fewest in six days (though Mondays are typically lower, and the 7-day average remains above 1,000 for a fifth straight day). 7 newly reported deaths bring the death toll to 3,454; counting presumptive #COVID19 deaths, the total death toll is 3,681.
The 7-day positivity average, which runs a week behind, continues an 8-day rise to 4.8%, highest in nearly 3 weeks. For 1st-time patients, the rate is 8.5%, highest since July 18. Today's batch of tests came back 5.4% positive; 11.5% among 1st-time patients.
1,019 Hoosiers are hospitalized with #coronavirus, the first time over 1,000 since August 6, and the highest total since May 31. Of those, 309 are in intensive care, the first time over 300 since August 11 and the highest total since that date.
Read 7 tweets

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