What is missing in the #Artsakh ceasefire agreement is any tiny bit of humanity towards or hope for #Armenia|ns. All humanitarian parts of the UN resolutions and the Madrid Principles have been left out on purposed (as #Aliyev smilingly announced).
(sorry being negative!)
UN res. 822 (2) urges both parties to immediately resume negotiations fopr the resolution of the conflict within the #OSCE Minsk Group.
The now signed deal makes no mention of this. #Artsakh's future won't be determined by the OSCE anymore, but AZ, RU, AM and TR. Bad news!
UN res. 822 (3) called for unimpedent access of international humanitarian relief and adherence with humanitarian law.
This was left out, too. #Azerbaijan and #Russia will now decide if humanitarian relief is allowed or hum law will be adhered to. Bad news, too.
UN res 853 (2) condemned attacks on civilians and bombing of inhabited areas.
The new treaty does not condemn anything and has no clause that calls for justice for war crimes, crimes against humanity, etc. - which happened daily according to @hrw.
UN res 853 (5) calls for the resoration of all transport, economic and energy links.
The new deal only speaks of the #Nakhchivan-#Azerbaijan road and the #Lachin corridor. Other borders stay shut, #Armenia remains (almost) locked up.
UN res 853 (10) urged other states to refrain from selling arms to the region.
The new deal makes no mention of that. #Turkey, #Israel and others will keep shipping arms to #Azerbaijan, now all the way to #Shushi. #Russia keeps selling to both.
The Madrid Principles (2): demanded "an interim status for Nagorno-Karabakh providing guarantees for security and self-governance"
There is no interim status and no guarantees for security or self-governance in the future in the new deal. There is just insecurity.
The Madrid Principles (4) further demanded a "future determination of the final legal status of Nagorno-Karabakh through a legally binding expression of will"
The expression of will of the people plays no role in the current treaty. Aliyev made clear there will be no referendum.
Madrid Princ (6) called for "international security guarantees that would include a peacekeeping operation."
The peacekeepers are not "international" anymore - but Russia and Turkey.
Tiny correction - the new deal speaks of "unblocking all economic and transport links", too. But as #Turkey has not signed it, this is just binding for #Azerbaijan and #Armenia.
If the #OSCE Minsk Group would have done their job, the #Armenia-#Turkey border would open, too.
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There was clearly no alternative for #Artsakh and #Armenia to signing the deal. As #Shushi fell, constant shelling of #Stepanakert would have followed and a complete loss would have followed. It was the only chance to safe some lives, at least.
Yet, that treaty is horrible:
Most of the lost territory was sparsely populated (Agdam, Kalbajar and Lachin Rayons of #Azerbaijan). They were always kept as buffers, mostly. Losing them surely weakens #Aartsakh, but at the same time was always calculated for.
I've reached out to all my friends in #Artsakh over the last few hours. They confirm heavy fighting throughout the night in and around #Shushi, as well as on the outskirts of #Stepanakert.
The battle for Shushi either way will be a decisive one...
Journalists and thousands of civilians have been evacuated from #Stepanakert overnight and in the morning. Of my 20+ friends in #Artsakh, only one remains on the ground. #Shusha is almost deserted by now, obviously.
The reason is simple: #Shushi isn't 'just' a historical and cultural centre of large symbolic value. It's also the decisive location for the war. "Whoever controls Shushi controls #Artsakh" is a well-known saying locally.
Can I be and should I be neutral?
A brief thread on #Artsakh/#Armenia/#Azerbaijan, neutrality and what it means.
Through my work at @CONIFAOfficial I first heard about #NagornoKarabakh in 2014, when they wanted to join the organisation. I had no idea where or what it is.
I did my homework and read about a hundred articles, watched documentaries and read a book about the region. It depressed me, as most stories were about wars, ethnic cleansing and human rights violations.
Still, I decided to see it myself when Nagorno Karabakh invited me...
It was my first time leaving the EU and the first time traveling alone (without my parents or my girlfriend). I was naturally nervous and I haven't heard of my host for days when I landed in Yerevan and thus had no idea if they'll pick me up.
I see that video of "Swedendemocratic" Charlie Weimers making the rounds on Armenian Twitter now and it makes me shuckle.
This neo-fascist party is not your ally - they are against you. They just happen to Turkey a tad more than you. #Artsakh#Artsakhnow
His party, and he himself, are not only deeply islamophobic (and thus now happily side with Armenia not for Armenia's sake, but to "weaken the enemy"), it is also full of hate against Romanians, e.g., and basically every other non-Swedish:
This party and their EU parliamentary faction would be the first to vigorously fight against helping #Armenian refugees. It would be the first to block any humanitarian help for #Armenia, if that would come with costs.