Some "conspiracists" always get it right!

Conspiracist, January 2020: "#RaTG13 virus looks like BtCoV/4991 described in an old paper that you didn't cite!" 📄

Average scientist, January 2020: 😴

Shi Zhengli, July 2020: "Yes, it was the same virus."

#SARSCoV2 #SARS2origins

1/
Conspiracist, May 2020: "Look, these sequences in database are dated 2017/2018. So you didn't sequence RaTG13 this year, as you wrote in the paper!" 🔬

Average scientist, May 2020: 😴

Shi Zhengli, July 2020: "Yes, actually we got the sequence in 2018."

2/
Conspiracist, May 2020: "Have a look at these Chinese theses we found on the internet: RaTG13 was found in a #mineshaft were people died of #pneumonia!" 😱

Average scientist, May 2020: 😴

Shi Zhengli, June 2020: "Oh yes we found it there, but.. well, the cause was a fungus"

3/
Conspiracist, June 2020: "A fungus? But the theses say the cause was an unknown #virus!" 📖

Scientist, June 2020: 😴

Shi Zhengli, November 2020: "Well, you're right, actually we thought it was a virus."

4/
Conspiracist, May 2020: "What if there were other #SARS-like viruses in that mine, besides RaTG13?" ❓

Average scientist, May 2020: 😴

Shi Zhengli, November 2020: "Ha yes, there were other 8 SARS-like viruses there, but we only published one of them"

5/
Conspiracist, July 2020: "Hey but this #pangolin paper is cheating with data!" 📊

Average scientist, July 2020: 😴

Nature editors, November 2020: "This is a serious matter. Let's investigate this paper."

6/
Dear scientists, please stop labelling as #conspiracists those people who are simply doing the job that you're supposed to do.

We all have a civic duty to promote #transparency and fight scientific misconduct. Don't stay silent! Speak up against bad science.
Addendum: the dates of the "conspiracist" discoveries are more like educated guesses: the real exact dates are lost under thousands of tweets sent this year!

By the way, I am collecting those dates and create a more precise timeline (thanks @franciscodeasis for helping me!).

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More from @emmecola

13 Sep
La virologa cinese #LiMengYan dice che #SARSCoV2 è stato creato in un #laboratorio di #Wuhan. Senza vedere le prove (che lei sostiene di avere), mi risulta difficile credere alla sua tesi. 1/
nypost.com/2020/09/11/chi…
La scienziata, infatti, sostiene che #SARS2 sia una #chimera dei virus dei #pipistrelli ZC45 e ZXC21.

Ora, è vero che a Wuhan facevano chimere a scopi di ricerca, ma questi due virus sono troppo diversi da SARS2 per essere i suoi antenati diretti. 2/

Il nuovo #coronavirus infatti ha una similarità dell'87% con questi due virus, troppo poco per essere il risultato di una loro ricombinazione (il virus più simile a SARS2 è #RaTG13). 3/
Read 6 tweets
29 Apr
Il modello di @istsupsan che ha guidato le decisioni del governo sulla fase 2 è un modello SIR stocastico strutturato per età. Uno dei punti di partenza è questa tabella, che quantifica i contatti medi degli italiani in base a età e luogo del contatto. 1/
La suddivisione dei lavoratori in base al settore di attività (es. edilizia, manifattura) si basa su dati INAIL. Il modello fa molte assunzioni: ad esempio ipotizza che i contatti nel tempo libero passino dal 10% (dati Google) al 34% in caso di apertura di bar e ristoranti. 2/
Le simulazioni prevedono due modalità di trasmissione della malattia: uno immagina che siamo tutti ugualmente suscettibili all'infezione, l'altro ipotizza che gli anziani siano più suscettibili della fascia 15-64, che a sua volta è più suscettibile dei bambini. 3/
Read 7 tweets

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