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Tim Hogan

@TimInHonolulu

27 Nov

1. Trump's snap-back to crazy this morning is jarring but predictable. First, I think his rash move to announce the Flynn pardon was driven by his need to get the cameras off of his lawyer leaking motor oil out of his skull. It did that. By now Trump has been briefed, likely by

2. Barr, and knows that the pardon is can be charged as a federal crime. Flynn will avoid what might have up to five years but Trump could be looking at twenty years for doing it. So he's stuck. He knows his only way to avoid the nightmare that awaits him is to remain president.

3. Like a child who can't let go of his blanky Trump clings to the idea that he's going to remain president. His self-destructive return to the dark discussion of a coup shows the depths of his terror. I've checked the docket in Judge Sullivan's case and nothing was

Read 4 tweets

Tim Hogan

@TimInHonolulu

26 Nov

@PressSec

I still have not seen any evidence beyond the @PressSec statement that Michael Flynn actually received a pardon. Nothing on the @WhiteHouse website, nothing on the DOJ site and nothing filed in the district court. Did WH lawyers remind Trump what a Flynn actually means for him?

@POTUS

This is not a complicated document to create & could use this form to make a few changes in a matter of minutes. Until I see something like this filed in DOJ system and presented to Judge Sullivan, I remind myself @POTUS @realDonaldTrump is the biggest liar in human history.

Read 7 tweets

Tim Hogan

@TimInHonolulu

20 Nov

@POTUS

1. A reminder, @POTUS @RealDonaldTrump as candidate is not the commander in chief. His corrupt inducement to #Michigan lawmakers is a crime for which @Trump and the lawmakers can be charged and, if a person with standing wants to file the mother-of-all-RICO's, those bribery

@FBIWFO

2. predicates can be added. I trust the @FBIWFO will have the evidence for the @JoeBiden @TheJusticeDept to be able to get rolling on January 20th. I would also think a lot of top @MIGOP will spend 2021 in court. And fun fact for @SenMikeShirkey @LeeChatfield. They just became

@USPS

3. infected by the Trump #RICO. By joining his conspiracy they are liable for all the reasonably foreseeable crimes that Trump has committed or will commit. I would think the DeJoy @USPS attack would stick and that they have their fingerprints on it.

Read 4 tweets

Tim Hogan

@TimInHonolulu

18 Nov

1. I grew up in an odd family. My parents lived in Shanghai during the post-war period in the final years of the long Chinese Civil War. My dad liked Chiang Kai-shek knew him well. My mom did not. The one thing they both agreed on was that the Sung family was corrupt.

2. My dad also insulted Madam Chiang and she had him breifly declared PNG. So, as I approached my 16th year around the time of the Tet Offensive, I had a unique view of revolution that has shaped my views ever since. I did not support the war in Vietnam. I did, however, support

3. our troops, respected our flag and voiced my dissent. My position was consistent with the views that were part of my upbringing: corruption destroys revolutions and America was foolish to not engage with socialist revolutions like the Viet Mihn and instead permit a foreign

Read 8 tweets

Tim Hogan

@TimInHonolulu

17 Nov

1. This scores a 80 out of 100 on my Wag-the-Dog meter.

Trump Sought Options for Attacking Iran to Stop Its Growing Nuclear Program nytimes.com/2020/11/16/us/…

@maggieNYT

2. First, the messenger is @maggieNYT who frequently acts a conduit. Second, the subject matter is usually SCI at least top secret if it was war planning. But officials were just dying to confirm it. Third the context. Trump desperately wants to change the tune both because

3. he's losing in court. He hates that. Finally his draw down in the region in the context of possible strike would be absurd. Esper may have been unwilling to play this game. In any event, this is Wag the Dog. 80% certain.

Read 4 tweets

Tim Hogan

@TimInHonolulu

16 Nov

1. In law school, I did research for my Torts professor. Wrote squibs for tort cases going back to Kingdom of #Hawaii. Read a lot of cases during the Hanson's disease (fka leprosy) and Bubonic plague epidemics. Hawaii gives the governor statutory power to cope with emergencies.

2. Since April, the Mayor's Emergency Orders imposed fines up to $5,000 for Covid19 order violations. There was some push-back during the great Koch astroturf uprising, but Hawaii kept on track though our daily counts have doubled to about 100 per day.

3. Recently I've noticed more Covid19 PSAs. The changes are noticeable and will help. Here you must wear masks in public. You can't go into stores without one. These are not personal choices. Like having to wear clothing, it's the law.

Read 4 tweets

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