Share this page!

Tim Hogan Profile picture
Twitter logo
17 Nov, 4 tweets, 2 min read
1. This scores a 80 out of 100 on my Wag-the-Dog meter.

Trump Sought Options for Attacking Iran to Stop Its Growing Nuclear Program nytimes.com/2020/11/16/us/…
2. First, the messenger is @maggieNYT who frequently acts a conduit. Second, the subject matter is usually SCI at least top secret if it was war planning. But officials were just dying to confirm it. Third the context. Trump desperately wants to change the tune both because
3. he's losing in court. He hates that. Finally his draw down in the region in the context of possible strike would be absurd. Esper may have been unwilling to play this game. In any event, this is Wag the Dog. 80% certain.
4. I'd also look at the record of that alleged Thursday meeting. The posted @WhiteHouse schedule had no mention of acting SecDef Christopher C. Miller or Joint Chiefs Chair Milley there. The meetings scheduled were Pence for 12:30 lunch and 4:00 pm with Pompeo and Mnuchin.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Tim Hogan

Tim Hogan Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TimInHonolulu

Tim Hogan Profile picture
18 Nov
1. I grew up in an odd family. My parents lived in Shanghai during the post-war period in the final years of the long Chinese Civil War. My dad liked Chiang Kai-shek knew him well. My mom did not. The one thing they both agreed on was that the Sung family was corrupt.
2. My dad also insulted Madam Chiang and she had him breifly declared PNG. So, as I approached my 16th year around the time of the Tet Offensive, I had a unique view of revolution that has shaped my views ever since. I did not support the war in Vietnam. I did, however, support
3. our troops, respected our flag and voiced my dissent. My position was consistent with the views that were part of my upbringing: corruption destroys revolutions and America was foolish to not engage with socialist revolutions like the Viet Mihn and instead permit a foreign
Read 8 tweets
Tim Hogan Profile picture
16 Nov
1. In law school, I did research for my Torts professor. Wrote squibs for tort cases going back to Kingdom of #Hawaii. Read a lot of cases during the Hanson's disease (fka leprosy) and Bubonic plague epidemics. Hawaii gives the governor statutory power to cope with emergencies.
2. Since April, the Mayor's Emergency Orders imposed fines up to $5,000 for Covid19 order violations. There was some push-back during the great Koch astroturf uprising, but Hawaii kept on track though our daily counts have doubled to about 100 per day.
3. Recently I've noticed more Covid19 PSAs. The changes are noticeable and will help. Here you must wear masks in public. You can't go into stores without one. These are not personal choices. Like having to wear clothing, it's the law.
Read 4 tweets
Tim Hogan Profile picture
15 Nov
Why does he want O'Brien out of town? @FBIWFO
Pottinger is @robertcobrien's Deputy: "He is said to be close to retired Army Lt. Gen. Michael T. Flynn, Trump’s incoming national security adviser, having served in Afghanistan together. The two co-authored a critical report,
“Fixing Intel: A Blueprint for Making Intelligence Relevant in Afghanistan,” in January 2010, which investigated problems with the U.S. intelligence effort." web.archive.org/web/2017013102…
Read 4 tweets
Tim Hogan Profile picture
13 Nov
The @SenateGOP failure to provide stimulus in the lame duck makes the #GeorgiaSenateRunoff a vote for whether the people of Georgia want government help to survive the pandemic the @GOP caused to get out of control. That's how I'd pitch it. With healthy dose of #ACA. @JoeBiden
If @TheDemocrats make clear how much each voter will get under the @JoeBiden plan if the #Democrats gain control of the Senate we can slam back on all the #Socialism baloney with an old-fashioned @GOP style giveaway. This time to voters not just to businesses and the wealthy.
Send a mailer to every #Georgia registered voter an estimate of how much @SenateDems majority puts in their pockets by month taking both seats & how much the #GOP will give them. Spoiler alert, it's nothing. A few hundred dollars. Promise unemployment, health care.
Read 5 tweets
Tim Hogan Profile picture
12 Nov
1. Syria can be saved. But #Turkey's maligned influence in #Syria and the region must end. We can end the fighting in #Idlib by making it a #semiautonomous region. An #SDF force comprised of mostly of #SunniArabs but with Christians #Ezidis & Kurds can bring peace in the north
2. and in #Idlib with US air and #logistic support. Let #Assad stay if he wins a free and fair election. Otherwise, the #Alawite 17% minority dictatorial rule will end. Remember: #SDF protected #Daesh from harm when they surrendered on the Eastern Euphrates.
3. SDF can work as they do now with the Govt. forces if the shared goals are peace, secular and gender equality under a democratic Constitution. Other than unrepentant #Daesh and Al-#Qaeda who will likely flee to Turkey to continue #Jihad with continued support of Erdogan regime,
Read 6 tweets
Tim Hogan Profile picture
12 Nov
1. #Coup #LawyersForTrump engaged in frivolous litigation as part of the @GOP announced coup are getting smart. On Snell & Wilmer withdrawal in #Arizona, does anyone know if they sent something ex parte for court to review in camera? That could indicate client crime or fraud.
2. Thomson Reuters Westlaw Today says that the only remaining large firms doing the Trump litigation are Jones Day and Porter Wright. The article addresses mail-in ballot suit that Jones Day filed in June. Does anyone have link to that case? Is it still pending?
3. Here's the Thomson Reuters article.
today.westlaw.com/Document/Ief14…
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get email notifications when new thread is out from this Author!

Check out other threads from this Author!

Read all threads by @TimInHonolulu