@KatharineDC Here's an example of why @BBCNews is gaining a reputation for bias

Bias is a subtle tool

Either lazy journalism means the writer missed Y7-11 have the most cases of any age (>2%) or they were trying to create the impression of a problem that is overhyped

Bias

1/
2/

Relatively few is wrong

Look at @ONS data: you see only 6th Form - 24 even come close to 2%

NB: These @ONS demographics seem to carry bias too

Why not count all school children?

ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…

Look at the Half Term Dips in Y12 - 24!

Universities don’t have HT…
3/

Perhaps the author tried to convey something else & failed

No idea how you would analyse this, but maybe more isolations do occur in students relative to adults who test positive

But this is a symptom of the problem 👇
4/

Educational settings are responsible for a QUARTER of all #COVID19 cases, likely largely because social distancing is neither possible nor practised.

@BBCNews journalists should be examining whether schools are a reservoir of #COVID in the community...
5/ Surely its beneath @bbhuwpym’s department to be complicitsweeping the problem of children driving transmission under the carpet, while other sectors are trashed for a problem that could be planned around?

@cbicarolyn
@theflva
@nhbfsocial
@_ukactive
@NEUnion
@NASUWT
@EISUnion
6/

I hope media bias will be addressed in the inevitable public enquiry

Until then I hope @Channel4News & @Independent will at least start to investigate this issue

👇
7/

@bbcnews seems to be part of the problem at the moment giving cover for lies and distortion by @BorisJohnson & @CMO_England:



🤥

Anyone would think there was a licence negotiation coming up…

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More from @ConcernedofBri1

26 Nov
Schools or Partying?

On 12/11 coronavirus cases spiked to 33k cases, it remains the only day where over 30k have been reported...

But the partying narrative is part of the agenda to keep schools open 'at all costs'

Please read on, it's going to take c. 10 min to post...

1/
2/

We know .gov have been pushing journalists to infer its was due to pre-lockdown partying

For example @nicktriggle's piece from 16/11, but this appears to be lazy journalism.

3/

If we look at data y swab date, a more worrying picture emerges.

We can clearly see there are TWO days with more than 30k cases.

The first and highest on record is actually 2/11. This is the Monday after #lockdown2 was announced.
Read 14 tweets
27 Oct
1/

.@DogLady2020 I just checked back in on the prediction from 21 days ago & the 7 day average is 200 deaths per day

😖

Third time in a row I have been a bit under (181 yesterday, then we had catch up Monday) but a reasonable prediction for 14/11 is 300 - 400 deaths a day

😬
2/

Previous estimates have been based on the 7 day average of cases reported.

Shifting to 7 day average of cases by swab date gives an expected average of 206 deaths/day today - spookily accurate.

WARNING: We don't know the average yet as swab date lags by c. 4 days
3/

We are on day 57 👆

Looking at another measure - the log of cases reported so far 👇 you can see the orange line (deaths by date of death) is higher than the rolling average reported (blue)

This is because fatalities are rising - but note the last 5 days are unreliable
Read 11 tweets
21 Oct
@adamhamdy It looks very much like schools are being used to drive this by the back door.

A bit more thinking to do about 👇

It shows %age rise in 7 day average across UK but you can clearly see spikes a week after schools went back in different regions, then unis

(1/n)
@adamhamdy 2/n

From last night's press conference @BorisJohnson seems to think we just need to try a bit harder to follow rules

However, since mid-July there have been around 15% extra cases each week

This seems to have jumped to more like 25% as schools returned

@adamhamdy @BorisJohnson 3/n

The large spike at the end encompasses two things:

-case backlog being added
-uni return

BUT we seem to have rebounded to around 25% extra cases each week again (early days)

Importantly, it's unclear how much of the sharp fall is unis dealing with 'their virus'
Read 8 tweets
20 Oct
Two things we learned from @BorisJohnson

1. He doesn't understand how infection numbers reduce

"unis did a great job of getting their virus under control"

If true, they did it by locking students in their halls...

🤦‍♀️🤥

#COVID19

2. He doesn't really get exponential growth.

Apparently the R is only a bit above 1 so it's all okay.

It's around 1.3 to 1.5, higher than the lead into this debacle from mid August on. So numbers not going south yet.

🤦‍♀️🤬

Both bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-5…
17.54pm

(2/3)
(3/3)

There is a great primer on exponential growth here:



Please watch it.

More importantly, please get friends, journalists and politicians to watch too.

#JonathanVanTam #JVT said deaths baked in for 3 weeks.

You can expect 160-320 on 11/11 😰
Read 4 tweets
19 Oct
.@WelshGovernment appears to believe older children higher transmission risk for #COVID19

@educationgovuk guidance last updated 1/10 doesn't mitigate this or aerosol transmission- clear its schools' job to assess

🤔

Squeaky bum time for school leaders

gov.uk/government/pub… ImageImageImage
Because Government #dontmentiontheschools you mightn't have noticed 👆

As any of the people below will remind you, @NAHTnews @ASCL_UK @SchoolGovNet @SchoolGov are responsible for school H&S:

@HoppySaul
@adamhamdy
@EdnaKrabapple1
@paysupplystaff
@Kateliveco1G

😷
Expand below to compare over 3 weeks

Year 7-11 children consistently 2nd highest group & still on exponential increase, while unis seem to be getting on top of their outbreaks

Now 1% of secondary children infected with #COVID19

@adamhamdy @ToryFibs: herd immunity by backdoor? Image
Read 4 tweets

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