First, CDC links pandemic spread with f2f campuses:
"university counties with in-person instruction (n = 79) experienced a 56% increase in incidence, comparing the 21-day periods before and after classes started."
56%!
Second, CDC links teaching online to *lower* pandemic spread:
"U.S. counties with large colleges or universities with remote instruction (n = 22) experienced a 17.9% decrease in incidence"
Chief of DC police:
-recounts afternoon's events
-protestors were violent towards cops
-"a riot was declared"
-one civilian shot; MPD to investigate
-everyone: get off the streets
To begin with, US #HigherEducation enrollment will probably be lower. It'll vary by institution and which scenario they follow (bryanalexander.org/scenarios/earl…), and some may enjoy growth, but overall should tick down compared w/fall 2020.
(2/n)
At the same time, many costs will go up.
Think about what's likely involved in opening up a campus: contact tracing, surveillance, doing perimeter temperature checks, frequent testing (assuming that's possible), and whatever "deep cleaning" means for a school.
I'm not sure how far down total enrollment will go.
There are lots of pressures:
-fear of reinfection for f2f classes
-suspicion of online class quality
-circulation of bad stories
It'll be uneven.
Community colleges, vo tech, some state schools could see an influx.