While all eyes are on the fallout of the Jan 6 #insurrection the #SARSCoV2 virus is spreading across America at breakneck speed. During the time the entire @WhiteHouse has been focused on false claims that #Trump won -- since Nov 3 -- the US caseload has more than 2X'ed.
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On Election Day Nov. 3, US cumulative #COVID19 cases was 9.6 million. Today it's 22.1 M -- that's an ^ of 12.5 million cases.
And American deaths?
Election Day total = 231,600
Jan 9 = 373,500
So, 141,900 Americans have died while @WhiteHouse focused on "stolen election"
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On Election Day Nov. 3, US cumulative #COVID19 cases was 9.6 million. Today it's 22.1 M -- that's an ^ of 12.5 million cases.
And American deaths?
Election Day total = 231,600
Jan 9 = 373,500
So, 141,900 Americans have died while @WhiteHouse focused on "stolen election"
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3/
Given a 36% undercount in deaths in the US, due to delays in reporting + failure to test/diagnose, real #COVID19 toll today is more than a half million.
Since Jan 1st we've added 3700-4K deaths/day and 270K-300K cases/day. If we stay this course, by Valentines Day...
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Given a 36% undercount in deaths in the US, due to delays in reporting + failure to test/diagnose, real #COVID19 toll today is more than a half million.
Since Jan 1st we've added 3700-4K deaths/day and 270K-300K cases/day. If we stay this course, by Valentines Day...
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4/
The US tolls will see 9.2 million more cases, topping 32 M cumulatively.
And (horrors) another 136,000 officially tabulated deaths, or 509K cumulative.
Using the 36% undercount est., deaths cld be 690,000.
NOW, what about the UK variant mutant form of #SARSCoV2 ?
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The US tolls will see 9.2 million more cases, topping 32 M cumulatively.
And (horrors) another 136,000 officially tabulated deaths, or 509K cumulative.
Using the 36% undercount est., deaths cld be 690,000.
NOW, what about the UK variant mutant form of #SARSCoV2 ?
MORE
5/
In UK + Ireland the mutant form of #SARSCoV2 has caused an astronomical surge in new cases, and is up to 80% more contagious.
55 separate indivs. in USA, w/no UK travel histories, have shown they carry that strain. We only genomically screen 0.3% of viral samps. in US.
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In UK + Ireland the mutant form of #SARSCoV2 has caused an astronomical surge in new cases, and is up to 80% more contagious.
55 separate indivs. in USA, w/no UK travel histories, have shown they carry that strain. We only genomically screen 0.3% of viral samps. in US.
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6/
It is prudent to ASSUME the mutant is widespread in USA & act accordingly. Don't wait for more "proof." And unless we go on lockdown, the dreadful forecast of 1 million #COVID19 American deaths by May 1 is reasonable. #Vaccines will mitigate IF >1/2 of the nation...
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It is prudent to ASSUME the mutant is widespread in USA & act accordingly. Don't wait for more "proof." And unless we go on lockdown, the dreadful forecast of 1 million #COVID19 American deaths by May 1 is reasonable. #Vaccines will mitigate IF >1/2 of the nation...
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Is fully immunized before April. But the current pace of rollout will see only 30% of Americans #COVID19 vaccinated by June 1st.
Every tactic to stop this epidemic must be done FAR more aggressively, properly and faster. We are running out of time.
Is fully immunized before April. But the current pace of rollout will see only 30% of Americans #COVID19 vaccinated by June 1st.
Every tactic to stop this epidemic must be done FAR more aggressively, properly and faster. We are running out of time.
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