Immer noch zu viele Mythen über #Covid19. Wenn diese evidenz-basiert wiederlegt werden und sich noch mehr Leute selbst überzeugen, dass ihre Zurückhaltung und Vorsicht sich für Gesundheit, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft lohnt, dann wird #NoCovid möglich werden. #MachtMitbeiNoCovid
All jene, die #NoCovid für unmöglich halten, und sich krampfhaft daran abarbeiten, dass Deutschland doch keine Insel sei, sollten sich fragen, wie viele weitere Lockdowns hierzulande möglich (leistbar und akzeptabel) sein werden. 0/
Was genau soll nach dem Lockdown passieren? Wie sieht die Strategie im Hinblick auf die neuen Virusmutanten aus? Was, wenn die Impfung nicht die gewünschte Entspannung bringt?
Der Vergleich hinkt in Deutschland. Ja, Deutschland ist keine Insel--so what? Best practices, Ansätze, Grundprinzipen von erfolgreichen Pandemie-Strategien kann man sich überall abschauen, sie adaptieren und interpretieren 2/
"While Britain’s pandemic plan assumes a new virus will be unstoppable, Asian countries focused on containment in a bid to minimise mortality " telegraph.co.uk/global-health/…
The epic failure of Western countries was already in the making for a long time. It is not only due to undecided political leaders, but also due to a deficient epidemiological knowledge base with which experts have cognitively framed the pandemic in the crucial first 2-3 month.
The same holds true for the a 2013 German pandemic scenario developed for the Parliament dipbt.bundestag.de/dip21/btd/17/1… Nowhere does it feature the idea that suppression/containment should be a priority or even could be a viable strategic option.
"There were no provisions to supervise the agents’ activities beyond their work with Swiss authorities. What is more, because the agents’ unofficial status probably meant they were travelling on tourist visas," ...
"they could have had access to the whole Schengen area, said Peter Dahlin, the director of Safeguard Defenders." theguardian.com/world/2020/dec…
Germany's tabloid @BILD reports that by now 94% of all infections in Berlin are untraceable. Local health administrations often do lack (after obviously useless months of preparation) basic software and data processing tools bild.de/politik/2020/p…
Looking at the rising positive share of tests, #Covid19 is out of control. And yet, it is still not the top priority for authorities to mobilize resources and keep health agencies from collapsing and improve their speed and efficiency in coping with rising numbers infections
Now, we are in the middle of an escalating epidemic situation that was of course utterly unpredictable 😱 t-online.de/gesundheit/kra…
Its difficult to explain why so many leading Western #epidemiologists and #virologists, against all advice from East Asia, still openly or indirectly suggest that "herd immunity" should be the ultimate strategic rational for Western governments responding to #Covid_19 /1
China's 82 (?) years old hero-scientist Zhong Nanshan notes: "Vaccination is the way to acquire immunity. Herd immunity won’t work – the cost and sacrifices are too huge,” ... referring to the situation when a large percentage of a population has become immune to an infection."/3
Beyond the international "blame game" heating up, epidemiologists, virologists and health studies researchers need proper data and/or plausible estimates on many aspects of the pandemic. Since China is weeks ahead of the curve, its data are critical to understand #Covid_19 better