1. Where Could Bitcoin Peak In The 2021 Bull Market?

The #Bitcoin Halving is a major catalyst for Bitcoin's price

After every Halving, #BTC tends to rally to new All Time Highs

So where could Bitcoin rally to in this Bull Market?

Here's everything you need to know...
2. Let’s take a look at how previous Halvings have affected the price of #Bitcoin

The first #BTC Halving spurred 13,378% growth in Bitcoin’s price... Image
3. The second #Bitcoin Halving spurred a 12,160% rally Image
4. If history repeats itself, how much could #BTC rally after its third Halving?

A 12,160% rally from Bitcoin’s mid-December 2018 bear market bottom of $3,150 would result in a ~$383,000 #Bitcoin Image
5. By the same token...

A 13,380% rally would lead to a ~$420,000 #Bitcoin: Image
6. If you like this thread, you'll really like my newsletter

rektcapital.substack.com/p/bitcoinhalvi…
7. But now that the third Halving is in the books...

Let’s dissect the #Bitcoin Market Cycle into two parts:

• The Pre-Halving stage

• The Post-Halving stage

And let's strictly focus only on post-Halving price performance across history

Let's start with Halving 1...
8. After Halving 1, #BTC rallied +2193% Image
9. However, #Bitcoin experienced two distinct Market Cycles after Halving 1

First #BTC rallied +2193%

Then a -80% Bear Market followed

And after that, Bitcoin rallied +1742% Image
10. Overall, Bitcoin rallied +9881% across two Market Cycles in the several months after Halving 1 Image
11. And what about price performance after #Bitcoin Halving 2?

Bitcoin rallied +4080% in the months after Halving 2 Image
12. So how could Bitcoin’s Third Halving affect Bitcoin’s price?

If history were to repeat and #BTC were to rally 1742%-2193% after Halving 3 like it did in the months following Halving 1...

#Bitcoin would reach either $150,000+

Or $188,000 ImageImage
13. And what if we extrapolated Bitcoin’s post-Halving 2 performance (+4080%) to Bitcoin’s potential post-Halving 3 price appreciation?

A +4080% rally after Halving 3 would result in a ~$342,000 #Bitcoin Image
14. If you found the information in this thread valuable...

You should check out my newsletter which is dedicated to unbiased cutting-edge #Crypto insights

Feel free to sign-up:

rektcapital.substack.com

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More from @rektcapital

16 Jan
1. We often hear about WHERE might #Bitcoin peak in this Bull Market...

But we rarely talk about WHEN they might happen

Let's take a look at the curious role of time in the context of each of #BTC's Halvings...
2. How many days did #Bitcoin bottom before its first ever Halving?

378 days

How many days did #BTC top out after its first ever Halving?

364 days...
3. What about Bitcoin Halving 2?

How many days did #Bitcoin bottom before its second Halving?

546 days

How many days did #BTC top out after its second Halving?

518 days...
Read 8 tweets
17 Dec 20
1. "Which Altcoin should I buy?"

"When should I buy it?"

Knowing when to buy one Altcoin is one thing

Knowing when to time your exposure to Altcoins as a whole is another

Here is a thread about how to use investor Money Flow behaviour to know which Altcoins to buy and when:
Here is how money flows in #Crypto:

1. Fiat (e.g. USD, EUR, GBP)

2. #Bitcoin

3. Large Cap Altcoins (e.g $ETH)

4. Mid Cap Altcoins

5. Low Cap Altcoins

6. #BTC again

7. Fiat
3. Generally, when money is flowing towards $BTC, it is flowing away from Altcoins as a whole

It is during this time that BTC enjoys an uptrend & Altcoins experience downside

This is mostly due to investors panic-selling Altcoins in an effort to chase an exponential BTC uptrend
Read 12 tweets
7 Nov 20
1. #Bitcoin is just finishing up its current Four Year Cycle

Which means #BTC is just under two months away from confirming further exponential growth in this #Crypto Bull Market

Here's what you need to know...
2. $BTC's price action behaves in Four Year Cycles

Each candle represents a year

Candle 1 ensures exponential growth where BTC breaks to a new ATH

Candle 2 is where BTC is in a Bear Market

Candle 3 is where BTC bottoms out

Candle 4 is where BTC recovers & begins a new trend
3. Candle 4 serves a crucial purpose in setting the stage for the new Four Year Cycle

Its primary aim is to eclipse the previous resistance that effectively prompted a bear market for BTC's price a few years earlier (i.e. “Candle 2”)

That resistance is ~$13,900
Read 11 tweets
11 Mar 20
#CoronaVirusUpdate - A thread

I watched Joe Rogan's podcast with Michael Osterholm, an internationally recognised expert in infectious disease epidemiology

Episode is 1hr 30mins long

To raise awareness about the #CoronavirusOutbreak here are the cliff notes from that episode
#coronavirus can be transmitted just by breathing

Just by breathing & sharing air you can infect or get infected

Which is why this coronavirus pandemic can be 10x worse than a bad seasonal flu year

It will primarily affect the older population with underlying health problems
Risk factors include obesity & high blood pressure

Incubation period of the #coronavirus is 4 days

That means that someone may have become infected with the coronavirus but won't have symptoms for 4 days

But during this time that person is highly infectious
Read 21 tweets
21 May 19
$QNT #quant #qnt

Negative Price Discovery

The blue diagonal resistance has been a point of rejection for QNT since mid-Feb '18

There are two ways QNT could end its downtrend:

a) Breaching this blue diagonal

b) Showing strong market reaction at any of the green supports

$BTC
$QNT #quant #qnt

Epic +68% breakout 🔥

QNT has a tendency of offering short-lived upside wicks past the blue diagonal downtrending resistance, so a 1D close past this resistance is needed to confirm the end of the almost 4-month downtrend

$BTC
$QNT / $BTC, #quant #qnt

Following QNT's breakout past the multi-month downtrend line, it retraced fully for a double bottom rebound

Since then QNT has rallied almost 300%

QNT is now at its most significant resistance region to date, with a visible cluster of resistance ahead
Read 11 tweets

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