How a Draghi's government would look like and entail for Italy?

Already depicted a major vindication by Matteo Renzi, the 4th technocratic government of Italy is set to produce major consequences for the Italian political system

A THREAD Image
1. A Draghi's government marks a major failure of the Italian political system and its class incapable to work meaningfully work in the country's interests

It's motivated by FEAR, and DISTRUST in the electoral democratic process.
2. Mario Draghi is the man who saved Europe during the Eurozone crisis, and today might be the only man able to save Italy having advocated for / inspired the formula underpinning Next Generation EU ft.com/content/c6d2de…
3. His unexpected entry into Italian political realm makes virtually ALL political forces somehow unease.

The winner of 2019 elections (with largest number of seats in Parliament) - the M5S - likely to split

The right might abstain (support)

PD/Forza Italia to support it
4. Draghi might have a narrow support within the existing parliament at least in his first days… and then gain a modus operandi enabling his government to 'institutionalize' beyond 9 August (natural expiration date)
5. From Aug 9, President Mattarella will no longer be able to call for snap election (white semester) as outgoing

Interestingly, the most likely candidate to replace him is: Mario Draghi (!)

(gossip is that Draghi might miss that boat as a result - but unlikely to care)
6. As the past teaches us (DINI/CIAMPI/MONTI), technocratic solutions carry high costs in the long term, notably in terms of political disaffection and might lead to strengthen the right parties that today call for snap elections
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More from @alemannoEU

5 Feb
A group of academics denounced the lack of transparency regarding appointments to the European Public Prosecutor's Office @EUProsecutor

Very few noticed it then

The Council failed to motivate why it chose some candidates over others in 🇧🇪 🇵🇹 🇧🇬 THREAD

euractiv.com/section/justic…
@ProfPech and I filed a request to Council to gain access to those docs

No response

NOW the EU Parliament @EPPGroup @RenewEurope GUE @TheProgressives @GreensEFA made same request and likely to get the docs

agenceurope.eu/en/bulletin/ar… 2/
In the meantime the council appointment decision has been challenged before the @EUCourtPress by Belgian (excluded) candidate

Will the EP follow suit? 60-delay expired 3/
Read 4 tweets
5 Feb
Mario Draghi’s influence on the EU project - as a PM sitting in #EUCO - might potentially be consequential

This will however highly contingent on the NATURE of his government

THREAD #Draghi
The first round of consultations suggests that a Draghi’s government might be:

1. Technocratic (made of independent experts of his will): LEAST likely

2. Hybrid (experts + political figures): MORE likely

3. Political (political figures picked by supporting parties)
By kicking off on a narrow initial majority, Draghi’s government set to rely on ‘variable majorities’:

on each file it will have to find a different constellation of support 3/
Read 6 tweets
30 Jan
The Council eventually agreed on its position on the Conference on the Future of Europe.

Despite being more conservative, it essentially confirms the nature of the blueprint put forward by the EP (12/19) and Comm (01/20)

#CoFoE’s launch IMMINENT via Joint Declaration THREAD ImageImage
When compared with the EP/Comm templates, the Council differs as:

1. No commitment to revise EU Treaties (EP did)

2. No reference to institutional reform (electoral law, SpitzenK)

3. Tripartite management (Sassoli+vdl+Michel) 2/ Image
When compared with the EP/Comm templates, the Council confirms :

1 EU-led consultation exercised jointly by 3 institutions

2 List of issues, but open to ‘other topics’

3 No direct involvement of civil society, but

-multilingual digital platform(s)
-citizens’ panels MS+pan-EU Image
Read 7 tweets
22 Jan
Who will lead the Conference on the Future of Europe? THREAD

As no EU institution wants to lose control, the Parliament, Commission & Council may jointly lead #Cofoe

Ironically that’s how they’re going to lose control. For good.

My take to @MehreenKhn @FT
After more than 1 year of inter-institutional wrangling, the only way out seems to set up a tripartite management structure.

Unclear how this will translate into chairs, but confirms the top-down nature of the exercise:

it’s an EU-sponsored and EU led initiative 2/
But does #cofoe really need a chair or chairs to work?

Why those have to be politicians and not civil society representatives? Why bot a mix of the two as in @opengovpart ?

I’ve discussed it with @jameskanter @euscreams open.spotify.com/episode/55jWMr… 3/
Read 7 tweets
14 Dec 20
Hungary & Poland just voted against #RuleofLaw mechanism, and reserved their right to challenge it before Court (as anticipated in #EUCO conclusions)

But there’s (much) more

THREAD
Hungary (not Poland) states that its veto remains on the whole #MFF and just been temporarily lifted pending the imminent Court’s case 2/
The Commission declares to be bound by #EUCO interpretative declaration in toto, which it green lights as legal under the EU Treaties.

Quod non. 3/
Read 6 tweets
14 Dec 20
What’s next in the adoption of EU budget, notably of its #RuleofLaw Regulation, following #EUCO?

(Spoiler: More, much more than is currently reported)

THREAD #MFF #NextGenerationEU
Although #EUCO conclusions on RoL Regulation are a political document, they’re legally relevant as they might potentially (yet illegally) amend the new #ruleoflaw mechanism.

For this they must however be ‘transposed’ by Commission & Parliament
verfassungsblog.de/to-save-the-ru…

2/
Here’s a preview of Parliament’s draft resolution to be adopted this week opposing #EUCO attempt at amending the RoL Regulation.

No reference to motion of censure against @vonderleyen but antagonistic tone against Commission is unprecedented 3/
Read 6 tweets

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