Who will lead the Conference on the Future of Europe? THREAD

As no EU institution wants to lose control, the Parliament, Commission & Council may jointly lead #Cofoe

Ironically that’s how they’re going to lose control. For good.

My take to @MehreenKhn @FT
After more than 1 year of inter-institutional wrangling, the only way out seems to set up a tripartite management structure.

Unclear how this will translate into chairs, but confirms the top-down nature of the exercise:

it’s an EU-sponsored and EU led initiative 2/
But does #cofoe really need a chair or chairs to work?

Why those have to be politicians and not civil society representatives? Why bot a mix of the two as in @opengovpart ?

I’ve discussed it with @jameskanter @euscreams open.spotify.com/episode/55jWMr… 3/
Although a tripartite management appears a last-minute pragmatic solution to put an end to the inter-institutional conflict that has caused Cofoe’s spectacular delay, it might favor a more accountable process, through joint ownership

4/ #cofoe
Ultimately, citizens will be able to see which of the three institutions appear the less keen on following up on their proposals. In other words, who will put the genius back in the bottle?

5/ #cofoe
Ironically, expected inter institutional infighting renders the Conference on the Future of Europe extraordinary as the three EU institutions might actually lose control and be hold accountable all along #cofoe 6/

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More from @alemannoEU

14 Dec 20
Hungary & Poland just voted against #RuleofLaw mechanism, and reserved their right to challenge it before Court (as anticipated in #EUCO conclusions)

But there’s (much) more

THREAD
Hungary (not Poland) states that its veto remains on the whole #MFF and just been temporarily lifted pending the imminent Court’s case 2/
The Commission declares to be bound by #EUCO interpretative declaration in toto, which it green lights as legal under the EU Treaties.

Quod non. 3/
Read 6 tweets
14 Dec 20
What’s next in the adoption of EU budget, notably of its #RuleofLaw Regulation, following #EUCO?

(Spoiler: More, much more than is currently reported)

THREAD #MFF #NextGenerationEU
Although #EUCO conclusions on RoL Regulation are a political document, they’re legally relevant as they might potentially (yet illegally) amend the new #ruleoflaw mechanism.

For this they must however be ‘transposed’ by Commission & Parliament
verfassungsblog.de/to-save-the-ru…

2/
Here’s a preview of Parliament’s draft resolution to be adopted this week opposing #EUCO attempt at amending the RoL Regulation.

No reference to motion of censure against @vonderleyen but antagonistic tone against Commission is unprecedented 3/
Read 6 tweets
9 Dec 20
Hungary/Poland lift their veto on EU budget, after being reassured that new #RuleOfLaw mechanism won't be applied to them until a judgment of ECJ will define 'methodology' to be applied.

This is not only unprecedented, but also LEGALLY questionable THREAD #EUCO 1/ Image
The draft #EUCO Conclusions, a non-legally binding political declaration, de facto suspend application of #RuleOfLaw mechanism.

As such, notably point 2 c), could be challenged by an EU institution, such as the European Parliament, before @EUCourtPress as ULTRA VIRES 2/ Image
Regardless of whether #EUCO conclusions will be challenged, the inaction of the Commission while omitting to apply #RuleOfLaw mechanism pending the Court's judgement might also be challenged before the ECJ.

Art. 5 of the rule of law mechanism says that the Commission "shall" 3/ Image
Read 8 tweets
17 Mar 20
🆘 As ~150 million Europeans are homeconfined, Germans & Belgians walk freely across their cities. British kids still go to school. Shops are open in Sweden.

How to make sense of these conflicting realities when we — EU citizens — are all equally affected by #COVID2019 ? THREAD
How do we assimilate that each European country and people contributing differently to the attainment of a shared aim: the containment of the disease in a border-free Europe? #COVID2019 #CoronavirusOutbreak
But who’s really to blame for the current EU uncoordinated situation on #COVID2019 ? The EU cannot close schools, or lock down European cities. It cannot even close borders to curb the spreading of the virus. Only its member countries can do that (and some just did) #COVID2019
Read 4 tweets
8 Mar 20
🆘 What scares me the most about #COVIDー19 ? Disregard for Risk vs Risk trade-offs: 1. if you close schools kids stay with grandparents (sensitive group) 2. if you recommend masks people wash less their hands 3. If you announce red zones, people flee with the virus #Coronavirus
A case study of total disregard for risk vs risk tradeoffs is: Italy, where no #COVID2019 measure has been considered against its unintended consequences. An illustration? Think of the increased risk exposure of senior population to virus generated by school closures #Italy
The unfolding of #Coronavirus reveals an embarrassingly modest risk literacy of our decision-makers, whose decisions are disregarding libraries of risk perception and communication studies #availabilityheuristic #probabilityneglect #COVID2019
Read 4 tweets
29 Jan 20
Conference on the Future of Europe: after the European Parliament & the Commission, now it’s the Council set to prepare its blueprint. Here’s an initial analysis based on council first discussion document THREAD #CoFoE #EUCO Image
If the European Parliament proposed a top-down blueprint, leaving aside NGOs’ participation in exchange for citizens’ agoras, the Commission watered down that model by invoking the “successful citizens dialogues” as THE approach to follow Image
The Council discussion document on #CofoE departs even further from the EP blueprint:

- no explicit reference to Agoras or other form of citizens’ assemblies (but citizens’ dialogues mentioned at template) Image
Read 5 tweets

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