Craig Profile picture
12 Apr, 19 tweets, 5 min read
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – APRIL 12

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES Image
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,310,181 (-120,202)

- Cases: 62,454 (-6,110)

- Deaths: 397 (+17)

- Currently Hospitalized: 40,098 (+905)

- Currently in ICU: 7,698 (+140)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
I am still laughing my ass off at the Deadliest Catch + NASCAR + CMT thing. Her sincerity is what got me the most. I thought it was kind of endearing—had to check the notes for a bit to be like, “Are these the right names for these things?”
I expected to see a large drop in cases today as compared to last Monday. It’s essentially the opposite of yesterday’s increase. Because several states doubled up last Monday, it was nearly certain we’d drop by thousands over last week.
Very small increase in reported deaths compared to last Monday (which was reporting Easter’s numbers), so I’m still happy with our number today. We’ll be coming down off our 7-day-averaged artificial high for the next couple days (and should clear fully by Friday).
Glimmer of hope in MI? We’re 3 days beyond 7-day-averaged peaks for cases & % positive. Hospitalizations jumped 343 coming off the non-reporting weekend today, but that number was 753 the first day following last weekend (though it was a 3-day weekend then).
Vaccine update—another record today! Also, I just noticed that @CohoKelly is a single follower shy of 4K. His data presentation is simple and clean. You should give him a follow.
I’ll get the regionals up shortly tonight. Give me a little bit.
MICHIGAN Image
TEXAS Image
CALIFORNIA Image
FLORIDA Image
SOUTHEAST
(AL, AR, GA, KY, LA, MS, NC, SC, TN) Image
SOUTHWEST
(AZ, NM, NV, OK, UT) Image
PACIFIC NORTHWEST/ROCKIES
(CO, ID, MT, OR, WA, WY) Image
GREAT PLAINS
(IA, KS, MN, MO, ND, NE, SD) Image
GREAT LAKES
(IL, IN, OH, WI)
*Removed MI from trend data, but peaks still include MI data Image
MID-ATLANTIC
(DC, DE, MD, PA, VA, WV) Image
NORTHEAST
(CT, MA, ME, NH, NJ, NY, RI, VT) Image

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More from @TheLawyerCraig

15 Apr
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – APRIL 14

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES Image
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,428,603 (+67,842)

- Cases: 70,751 (-1,001)

- Deaths: 869 (-69)

- Currently Hospitalized: 41,185 (+33)

- Currently in ICU: 7,992 (+92)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Raw metric changes today were pretty flat. Decreases in reported cases/percent positive. Increases in reported deaths and hospitalizations/ICUs. One nice piece of news: Michigan’s hospitalizations dropped today for the first daily decrease since 3/10.
Read 6 tweets
13 Apr
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – APRIL 13

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES Image
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,330,264 (+22,755)

- Cases: 76,267 (+16,481)

- Deaths: 804 (-24)

- Currently Hospitalized: 41,152 (+1,054)

- Currently in ICU: 7,899 (+204)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Some big plus signs up there (and one important minus sign). Received a few non-pipeline dumps in cases today, but I’m not pulling them out of the numbers. Most are just the slinky effect in action (AL dumped from as far back as Oct, but only 1150 total cases).
Read 18 tweets
5 Apr
It's interesting to compare states with a high percentage of the B.1.1.7 variant of #Covid19, but which are located in different regions of the US.

There are 5 states that have shown >50% #B117 for more than 2 weeks now, and their trends are quite different.

Thread 🧵
The first 5 states that have hit >50% of #B117 are Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, and Texas. This is according to the @my_helix 5-day moving average
(Link: public.tableau.com/profile/helix6…)
I first started looking at this site after reading @DrEricDing's thread tracking the #B117 percentages—specifically noting Florida, Georgia, and Michigan as growing threats. This was a little over two weeks ago, here:
Read 11 tweets
3 Apr
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – APRIL 3

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,620,530 (+90,643)

- Cases: 66,023 (+9,090)

- Deaths: 758 (-57)

- Currently Hospitalized: 36,913 (-398)

- Currently in ICU: 7,003 (-47)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
As I said last night, we’re looking at volatility for a little while (see quoted thread). And this isn’t just a holiday thing, but a Sat-Mon thing going forward. States’ weekend reporting has become spotty and inconsistent.
Read 12 tweets
2 Apr
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – APRIL 2

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,683,615 (-271,539)

- Cases: 65,599 (-7,631)

- Deaths: 944 (-461)

- Currently Hospitalized: 37,311 (+108)

- Currently in ICU: 7,050 (-29)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Before popping the cork at seeing those large minus signs in key metrics, please read my thread from earlier today (quoted). As if on cue, a few states that normally report on Fridays didn’t report at all. Others likely reported less-than-complete data.
Read 17 tweets
2 Apr
For those who follow my daily #Covid19 data updates, it's time for another period of likely volatility based on holiday reporting. Based on past holidays, here's what should happen:

(Thread)
Starting as early as today, reported numbers for tests, cases, and deaths will likely be lower than they would otherwise have been without a holiday.

This does *not* necessarily mean that (1) they will drop, or (2) every state/region will see the same amount of volatility.
This artificial deflation will likely continue through ~Tuesday of next week.

Then, the opposite happens! For 3-4 days, states generally report their current "pipeline" numbers PLUS any backlog numbers. We should see that from ~Wed-Sat of next week.
Read 7 tweets

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