#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – APRIL 14

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,428,603 (+67,842)

- Cases: 70,751 (-1,001)

- Deaths: 869 (-69)

- Currently Hospitalized: 41,185 (+33)

- Currently in ICU: 7,992 (+92)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Raw metric changes today were pretty flat. Decreases in reported cases/percent positive. Increases in reported deaths and hospitalizations/ICUs. One nice piece of news: Michigan’s hospitalizations dropped today for the first daily decrease since 3/10.
Busy tonight, so no regionals except Michigan (which is thankfully 5 days removed from its peak positive testing percentage).
I accidentally put -69 for raw deaths in the quoted tweet. It should say +69.

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More from @TheLawyerCraig

13 Apr
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – APRIL 13

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES Image
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,330,264 (+22,755)

- Cases: 76,267 (+16,481)

- Deaths: 804 (-24)

- Currently Hospitalized: 41,152 (+1,054)

- Currently in ICU: 7,899 (+204)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Some big plus signs up there (and one important minus sign). Received a few non-pipeline dumps in cases today, but I’m not pulling them out of the numbers. Most are just the slinky effect in action (AL dumped from as far back as Oct, but only 1150 total cases).
Read 18 tweets
12 Apr
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – APRIL 12

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES Image
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,310,181 (-120,202)

- Cases: 62,454 (-6,110)

- Deaths: 397 (+17)

- Currently Hospitalized: 40,098 (+905)

- Currently in ICU: 7,698 (+140)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
I am still laughing my ass off at the Deadliest Catch + NASCAR + CMT thing. Her sincerity is what got me the most. I thought it was kind of endearing—had to check the notes for a bit to be like, “Are these the right names for these things?”
Read 19 tweets
5 Apr
It's interesting to compare states with a high percentage of the B.1.1.7 variant of #Covid19, but which are located in different regions of the US.

There are 5 states that have shown >50% #B117 for more than 2 weeks now, and their trends are quite different.

Thread 🧵
The first 5 states that have hit >50% of #B117 are Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, and Texas. This is according to the @my_helix 5-day moving average
(Link: public.tableau.com/profile/helix6…)
I first started looking at this site after reading @DrEricDing's thread tracking the #B117 percentages—specifically noting Florida, Georgia, and Michigan as growing threats. This was a little over two weeks ago, here:
Read 11 tweets
3 Apr
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – APRIL 3

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,620,530 (+90,643)

- Cases: 66,023 (+9,090)

- Deaths: 758 (-57)

- Currently Hospitalized: 36,913 (-398)

- Currently in ICU: 7,003 (-47)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
As I said last night, we’re looking at volatility for a little while (see quoted thread). And this isn’t just a holiday thing, but a Sat-Mon thing going forward. States’ weekend reporting has become spotty and inconsistent.
Read 12 tweets
2 Apr
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – APRIL 2

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,683,615 (-271,539)

- Cases: 65,599 (-7,631)

- Deaths: 944 (-461)

- Currently Hospitalized: 37,311 (+108)

- Currently in ICU: 7,050 (-29)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Before popping the cork at seeing those large minus signs in key metrics, please read my thread from earlier today (quoted). As if on cue, a few states that normally report on Fridays didn’t report at all. Others likely reported less-than-complete data.
Read 17 tweets
2 Apr
For those who follow my daily #Covid19 data updates, it's time for another period of likely volatility based on holiday reporting. Based on past holidays, here's what should happen:

(Thread)
Starting as early as today, reported numbers for tests, cases, and deaths will likely be lower than they would otherwise have been without a holiday.

This does *not* necessarily mean that (1) they will drop, or (2) every state/region will see the same amount of volatility.
This artificial deflation will likely continue through ~Tuesday of next week.

Then, the opposite happens! For 3-4 days, states generally report their current "pipeline" numbers PLUS any backlog numbers. We should see that from ~Wed-Sat of next week.
Read 7 tweets

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